Several-Disappointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

141

Trades

671

lifetime

Volume

$9.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$293

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-30 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

65% 63% -$27

Other

35% 63% +$25

Sports

0% 0% -$46

Tech

0% 0% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	+200	$144	95¢	$190	+$46	10-29 12:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-61	-$44	57¢	$-35	+$9	10-27 10:08
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	+60	$35	54¢	$32	-$3	10-29 08:33
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	+60	$31	50¢	$30	-$1	10-29 08:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-92	$5	6¢	$-6	-$10	07-09 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	22	$373	226	226	+0	open	—	09-22 09:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	15	$358	243	304	-61	open	—	10-27 10:08
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$243	217	217	+0	Yes	+$27	03-20 18:55
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	9	$209	248	106	+142	Yes	+$41	05-10 18:22
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	22	$188	265	265	+0	No	+$2	06-16 19:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	5	$181	182	182	+0	open	—	09-22 20:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$179	100	100	+0	Yes	+$21	02-28 07:48
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$178	140	140	+0	open	—	10-28 08:10
Israeli Knesset election annulled?	2	$144	200	0	+200	open	—	10-29 12:13
khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	4	$138	100	100	+0	No	+$62	03-01 05:27
will likud be in the next israeli government	4	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 21:56
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	8	$131	183	123	+60	open	—	10-29 08:33
saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	4	$119	64	64	+0	No	+$3	04-03 08:34
houthi military action against saudi arabia by march 31	4	$118	64	64	+0	No	+$5	04-03 08:35
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	10-29 08:31
will netanyahu be pardoned by february 28	3	$116	60	60	+0	No	+$1	02-19 10:43
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$115	203	295	-92	open	—	07-09 21:20
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	4	$110	59	59	+0	No	+$6	03-15 18:20
will uae strike iran by march 31	5	$108	94	94	+0	No	-$24	03-26 12:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	7	$107	59	59	+0	No	+$6	05-18 12:09
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	6	$104	135	135	+0	No	+$44	03-09 17:13
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	2	$95	227	227	+0	Yes	-$5	09-07 11:16
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?	6	$95	150	50	+100	No	-$5	06-07 07:26
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$93	107	74	+33	No	+$11	03-08 05:54
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	3	$89	80	20	+60	No	+$8	05-21 04:48
israel x syria security agreement by march 31	5	$86	50	50	+0	No	+$4	02-28 17:10
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	6	$85	49	49	+0	No	+$6	05-17 11:34
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	5	$84	51	51	+0	No	+$18	03-07 16:11
Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	5	$82	78	78	+0	open	—	10-29 10:55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$81	100	100	+0	Yes	+$21	04-07 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:57:40	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	150	7¢	$11	0x85b9eb…
10-30 18:46:03	Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5a2515…
10-30 17:43:21	Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x83100f…
10-30 17:19:43	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x992f34…
10-30 17:19:43	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x60e362…
10-30 11:35:34	Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x4ab533…
10-30 07:07:12	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0xc4feef…
10-30 07:07:12	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa71179…
10-29 13:22:07	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x28e3f9…
10-29 13:11:40	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	69	25¢	$17	0x6ae449…
10-29 12:13:38	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x96a0e9…
10-29 12:09:37	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x212bfd…
10-29 11:49:55	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x7fbcbe…
10-29 10:55:01	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	SELL	78	62¢	$48	0xdd75e9…
10-29 10:20:58	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd3a601…
10-29 10:07:44	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xe5124f…
10-29 09:58:08	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x272dee…
10-29 09:48:10	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0xcc1d98…
10-29 08:36:07	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x50f4da…
10-29 08:33:44	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xb9ce7e…
10-29 08:31:55	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x5a66c2…
10-29 06:42:26	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xf33dbf…
10-28 20:13:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x5d2a83…
10-28 17:04:02	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x7a451e…
10-28 16:11:20	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf86954…
10-28 16:11:20	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1888ea…
10-28 14:22:53	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xff54fe…
10-28 08:13:46	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xcffcd8…
10-28 08:11:34	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x36cab0…
10-28 08:11:16	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0x123f90…
10-28 08:10:47	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0xd12b24…
10-28 06:03:04	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xe81510…
10-28 04:31:10	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4bd187…
10-27 23:02:32	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x71e5f3…
10-27 22:56:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xfcc18c…
10-27 22:45:56	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	70	89¢	$62	0x497639…
10-27 22:44:20	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x0b1d03…
10-27 21:24:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x1b4f53…
10-27 21:23:57	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x18f867…
10-27 21:23:48	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0x2fc497…
10-27 19:58:27	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc9e0ec…
10-27 19:57:54	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	140	34¢	$48	0x4452fa…
10-27 19:54:29	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x866578…
10-27 19:48:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x26bdf8…
10-27 19:45:35	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xc4e380…
10-27 19:43:35	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xad008c…
10-27 19:31:24	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x302982…
10-27 12:07:14	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x6c7cbc…
10-27 10:55:59	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0x7b34eb…
10-27 10:55:27	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xa0c30d…
10-27 10:42:33	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xb8d7fb…
10-27 10:08:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	37	72¢	$27	0xdfa8c0…
10-27 10:07:17	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4edfc4…
10-27 08:16:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0xbc477f…
10-27 08:01:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x515c25…
10-27 07:43:24	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0xe49bf5…
10-27 04:13:33	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xce248c…
10-27 03:12:44	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x96d118…
10-26 22:48:27	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x3590e1…
10-26 22:22:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa7d71e…
10-26 22:07:57	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x48f799…
10-26 21:57:45	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	43	59¢	$25	0x01d4a0…
10-26 21:56:38	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x344996…
10-26 11:17:50	Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x9378d4…
10-26 10:40:03	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	70	10¢	$7	0x3afd13…
10-25 16:40:17	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x1221aa…
10-23 09:51:08	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x22a5db…
10-23 08:35:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x75927a…
10-22 13:02:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x154554…
10-22 12:30:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xe50bf1…
10-21 12:46:09	Will Together be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6c4778…
10-20 12:55:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x173e9e…
10-18 16:54:14	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x8e2cfa…
10-18 12:45:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	95	18¢	$17	0xef2f8b…
10-17 23:25:42	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x7d43b2…
10-14 21:20:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x22036d…
10-14 21:15:10	will likud be in the next israeli government	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x7ab1c7…
10-13 18:46:45	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xb1dda2…
10-12 11:31:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe66a74…
10-12 11:31:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xb74074…
10-10 13:53:43	Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xb49afb…
10-08 15:47:06	Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xef8217…
10-01 09:12:24	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x110e28…
10-01 09:12:09	Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x58d8ba…
10-01 09:11:53	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x38a353…
10-01 07:50:26	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x165ebe…
09-30 19:41:29	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe0536b…
09-30 19:41:29	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb05a9f…
09-30 07:35:27	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2fd766…
09-30 07:31:35	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x030ecf…
09-22 22:21:10	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	80	64¢	$51	0x52cc3f…
09-22 20:42:24	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x62d7a2…
09-22 20:08:55	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	44	62¢	$28	0xf7957b…
09-22 20:07:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	50¢	$26	0x113737…
09-22 20:06:48	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x39f687…
09-22 20:06:09	Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x4cfe5d…
09-22 20:04:34	Will Together be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb53da1…
09-22 12:18:31	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x0bb82d…
09-22 09:45:45	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0x65f29b…
09-21 08:22:54	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0xcd0a65…