Caring-Vagrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,399

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-01 04:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

77% 96% +$1

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:01:14	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1fd63…
07-01 04:00:44	grok 4pt4 released by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4c8f6…
07-01 02:18:34	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c572b…
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46c3c4…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c6932…
06-30 10:12:44	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cb85f…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ddbbb…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd85fd2…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5412a3…
06-29 19:42:49	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe29c16…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b5705…
06-29 16:24:08	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fe994…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b438c…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee3ba6…
06-28 20:55:58	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7654cb…
06-28 11:18:25	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28	Honvéd	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3adcf7…
06-28 03:40:19	world cup goal contributions h2h valverde vspt fernandes 20260604014429764	Bruno	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ff009…
06-27 22:56:41	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd794a1…
06-27 22:56:37	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4ddd0…
06-27 20:38:35	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33990f…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x989e13…
06-27 17:15:14	cs2 biga berg 2026 06 27	BIG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02f247…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea5217…
06-27 12:57:02	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x260b13…
06-27 02:30:01	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcda90…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ad0cd…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e8679…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcddf09…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cb7dc…
06-25 11:18:02	cs2 dep dm2 2026 06 25	DEPO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc56ca…
06-25 04:14:46	mlb oak sf 2026 06 24 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeba54f…
06-25 02:00:44	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1128fa…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e1fb2…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb057f…
06-25 00:02:05	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17f6c9…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6baf9f…
06-23 19:01:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x519b1d…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a5726…
06-23 17:00:29	r6siege rbls fnc 2026 06 23	Rebels Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71f14a…
06-22 19:05:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fd5ec…
06-21 13:51:44	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a916e…
06-20 22:06:25	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd44b76…
06-20 20:06:44	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b87a5…
06-20 19:14:40	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6a75f…
06-20 05:14:19	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dfd89…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8686ec…
06-20 02:33:19	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ea21a…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3f05c…
06-20 00:27:26	mlb cws det 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e5a65…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9a897…
06-19 13:20:08	kbo ssg nc 2026 06 19	NC Dinos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa24d31…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3b337…
06-18 18:10:40	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37ff60…
06-17 22:04:56	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4e466…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb8aff…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44fb36…
06-17 19:04:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c0f39…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54ef62…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9b8a8…
06-17 16:06:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x143df8…
06-17 12:14:08	cs2 tdk nem 2026 06 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56e869…
06-17 00:03:32	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9ed8b…
06-16 14:06:23	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88739f…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x339b94…
06-15 18:13:09	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x798959…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc64c1…
06-15 12:34:04	atp tarvet safiull 2026 06 15 set handicap away 1pt5	Tarvet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7b19c…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x499b66…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97af92…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e19f3…
06-14 06:13:18	will there be a double breen bang during the 2026 nba finals	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ac954…
06-14 00:06:07	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42293…
06-13 21:08:39	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 3pt5	Qatar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc47857…
06-13 11:58:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26fadc…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34b40d…
06-12 21:09:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11b11b…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08c9b0…
06-12 21:01:34	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 goals jonathan david gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb363fd…
06-12 20:26:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x656df3…
06-12 20:18:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5c474…
06-12 20:17:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x936d1a…
06-12 13:30:06	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x306085…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbaf2d4…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e9f89…
06-11 16:53:28	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb648e1…
06-11 13:30:30	r6siege hltaur she 2026 06 11	Soul's Heart Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x800173…
06-10 20:16:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb29481…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8314d5…
06-10 18:19:57	lol es1 anb 2026 06 10 game1	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x441ef4…
06-10 12:26:01	crint rwa zim 2026 06 10	Zimbabwe High Performance Xi	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f5d23…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d48ec…
06-08 21:37:13	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73c9e6…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c3a22…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77c7cd…
06-07 22:56:36	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 nrfi	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a80d2…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x669373…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0e729…
06-07 19:14:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5175b…
06-07 17:38:57	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x509e07…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65135c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:21
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 15:23
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:33
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:10
cs2 leo2 brute 2026 04 07 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 18:04
highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 25c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
atp shevche turcanu 2026 03 30 first set winner Shevchenko vs Turcanu	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-31 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 3c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 13:54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 16:26