Elated-Cat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

339

lifetime

Volume

$3.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-05 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

75% 43% +$37

Crypto

12% 9% +$119

Other

9% 0% $-10

Tech

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No		-304	$-5	3¢	$-8	$-3	05-30 17:21
2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	No		+91	$1	1¢	$1	$-0	06-05 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$355	303	303	+0	open	—	04-22 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$273	333	333	+0	Down	+$253	05-12 23:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	10	$243	259	259	+0	open	—	04-24 22:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$185	2,437	2,437	+0	open	—	04-24 17:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	2	$147	101	101	+0	open	—	05-25 11:34
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	5	$136	228	30	+198	Yes	+$86	04-27 19:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	11	$132	153	153	+0	open	—	04-25 17:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	13	$132	144	144	+0	open	—	04-25 16:14
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	4	$115	2,138	2,138	+0	open	—	04-23 23:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	3	$114	98	98	+0	open	—	04-22 17:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$111	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 18:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	6	$90	1,821	1,571	+250	open	—	05-25 23:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	3	$88	54	54	+0	open	—	04-20 16:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	4	$82	161	0	+161	open	—	04-20 01:12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$80	168	168	+0	open	—	05-12 15:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	9	$77	120	120	+0	open	—	04-25 17:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$68	100	100	+0	No	$-2	05-04 19:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$62	460	460	+0	open	—	05-25 23:59
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	4	$52	483	483	+0	Yes	$-42	05-06 20:22
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	2	$50	479	0	+479	open	—	05-28 15:08
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$47	106	106	+0	open	—	05-28 14:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	4	$46	113	113	+0	open	—	04-24 19:26
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	2	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	05-29 15:12
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$40	251	251	+0	open	—	04-23 22:20
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$40	58	0	+58	open	—	05-12 15:19
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	1	$35	84	0	+84	open	—	06-02 12:57
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$33	374	374	+0	open	—	05-19 01:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	6	$33	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$31	662	0	+662	Up	$-31	05-13 00:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$31	42	0	+42	open	—	05-23 00:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:38:54	2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xe0426a…
06-05 17:32:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	256	3¢	$8	0xa97838…
06-05 16:05:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x46dec5…
06-02 12:57:31	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	BUY	84	42¢	$35	0x2995a5…
06-02 01:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xfade7b…
06-02 01:34:16	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x596a49…
05-30 18:11:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xcbe08b…
05-30 18:08:30	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	No	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x425402…
05-30 17:21:17	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	SELL	304	2¢	$5	0xf75810…
05-29 20:35:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	412	3¢	$14	0xaa1866…
05-29 20:20:07	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x8e434f…
05-29 15:15:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3afccb…
05-29 15:12:46	Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	32	80¢	$26	0x5f66a5…
05-29 01:20:52	Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x857c09…
05-28 15:08:55	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	215	11¢	$24	0x9ee3ea…
05-28 14:17:13	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	21¢	$22	0x40efb6…
05-28 01:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xde7191…
05-28 01:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xaf205e…
05-28 01:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x26d75c…
05-28 00:27:02	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	264	10¢	$26	0x2481a2…
05-28 00:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcce152…
05-26 20:58:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xba6a85…
05-26 18:54:29	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0x8c76f4…
05-26 00:28:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x4e5586…
05-25 23:59:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	434	2¢	$8	0xb74d22…
05-25 23:48:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x19e4bf…
05-25 23:44:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	430	1¢	$3	0xa8855e…
05-25 23:44:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	1,571	1¢	$22	0xf2dae3…
05-25 23:30:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	434	2¢	$10	0xbc3dbd…
05-25 23:23:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$35	0x4d6521…
05-25 23:16:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	556	4¢	$25	0xae1cc2…
05-25 23:15:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x2f6f33…
05-25 23:14:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	429	3¢	$12	0x15bcc1…
05-25 23:12:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7f91e3…
05-25 11:51:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	565	1¢	$7	0xb820c8…
05-25 11:34:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	101	86¢	$87	0x548222…
05-23 08:45:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x69378d…
05-23 00:09:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x78b7b3…
05-23 00:06:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0xad2aff…
05-22 22:28:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xd8ee3b…
05-22 22:23:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xa6fcf7…
05-22 22:19:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6c3d1d…
05-22 20:56:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x07a660…
05-22 20:55:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xc11fc5…
05-22 20:54:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0x138b69…
05-22 20:50:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x00d9a3…
05-22 20:49:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x17fd45…
05-22 20:49:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x86d747…
05-22 20:49:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f44c3…
05-21 22:33:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x7d0181…
05-21 22:32:20	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	762	1¢	$6	0x95b194…
05-21 13:56:36	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	397	3¢	$11	0xa6cde9…
05-21 13:53:24	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x2a449f…
05-21 13:52:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x612926…
05-21 13:49:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x99a281…
05-21 13:48:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x55a160…
05-20 23:36:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	101	59¢	$60	0x27c8a4…
05-19 22:04:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x60643c…
05-19 22:03:52	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	325	1¢	$3	0x3e151d…
05-19 21:59:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xefbaab…
05-19 21:57:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdcc68f…
05-19 21:56:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a8221…
05-19 21:56:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6beda0…
05-19 21:56:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4a41c9…
05-19 20:07:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	2¢	$3	0x734789…
05-19 01:04:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	374	1¢	$3	0x9bb9ec…
05-17 22:08:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x873731…
05-17 22:05:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4dbe8b…
05-17 22:01:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x04b502…
05-17 21:59:36	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xcf999f…
05-17 20:54:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	333	2¢	$6	0xc73cb5…
05-17 09:35:12	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xcbc494…
05-17 08:58:08	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc8aa64…
05-17 08:57:17	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7f2ce2…
05-17 08:53:12	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0x208d83…
05-17 08:48:50	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x663c1f…
05-17 08:45:46	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xe43255…
05-15 17:19:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xff6fe9…
05-15 17:19:06	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb92444…
05-14 15:15:11	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x456ec9…
05-14 15:15:04	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	SELL	1,038	0¢	$3	0x9addee…
05-13 16:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe29a0a…
05-13 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa7740a…
05-13 15:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	411	0¢	$1	0x2b8837…
05-13 15:58:51	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x2e16f4…
05-13 15:58:04	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	SELL	142	2¢	$3	0x11e773…
05-13 15:57:06	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xfd408e…
05-13 13:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	814	0¢	$1	0xedef26…
05-13 01:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x154a08…
05-13 01:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc635ef…
05-13 01:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd4f720…
05-13 01:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0xb11b95…
05-13 01:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcfb5be…
05-13 00:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x03fc61…
05-13 00:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xa52c34…
05-13 00:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x968a77…
05-13 00:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0xdfd9e9…
05-13 00:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3acb55…
05-13 00:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe835a1…
05-13 00:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xdb9e22…