Stiff-Knitting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

558

Trades

1,272

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-08 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

58% 91% -$45

Politics

42% 83% +$22

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes		-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	05-08 13:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	13	$449	227	248	-20	No	-$3	01-31 05:47
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$414	212	212	+0	No	+$11	01-25 06:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$399	202	202	+0	No	+$4	01-24 05:49
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	6	$361	200	200	+0	Yes	+$33	02-09 17:14
will trumps remarks not air 537	16	$337	172	172	+0	No	+$1	03-27 17:11
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$269	142	142	+0	Yes	+$15	01-23 08:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	21	$253	128	128	+0	No	+$1	03-30 07:34
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	5	$232	120	120	+0	No	+$1	01-31 05:44
highest temperature in ankara on march 26 2026 8corbelow	2	$217	109	109	+0	No	$0	03-25 03:03
will melanias remarks not air 646	8	$208	109	109	+0	No	+$9	03-24 14:05
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	9	$208	119	119	+0	No	-$5	03-17 07:38
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	2	$202	221	0	+221	Yes	+$19	01-31 14:25
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	7	$198	103	103	+0	No	-$1	01-31 05:42
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	8	$195	140	136	+3	Yes	-$14	02-27 00:53
will trumps remarks not air 272 986	4	$184	92	92	+0	No	+$1	03-23 17:09
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	7	$165	99	99	+0	Yes	-$2	02-25 12:22
will iran strike france by march 31	7	$164	82	82	+0	No	+$0	04-04 06:41
highest temperature in denver on april 9 2026 62forhigher	3	$152	76	76	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 17:03
will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	7	$139	77	77	+0	No	-$1	01-29 19:58
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	6	$135	69	69	+0	No	+$2	02-08 13:36
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	6	$130	68	68	+0	No	+$0	02-08 13:36
will trumps remarks not air 689 631	3	$128	129	0	+129	No	+$1	03-27 17:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	4	$119	61	61	+0	No	+$2	03-03 02:16
will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	2	$117	167	5	+162	Yes	+$54	02-13 05:34
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 8c	1	$108	109	0	+109	No	+$0	03-24 14:34
highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 8c	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	03-25 03:05
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 04:16
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	11	$90	76	16	+60	No	+$1	03-15 02:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$89	54	53	+0	No	-$7	03-23 18:02
Iran leadership change by March 13?	17	$84	48	41	+7	No	+$3	03-15 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 13:19:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x493420…
05-08 13:19:39	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x236cd9…
05-08 13:19:34	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x02b015…
05-08 13:19:29	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9d43af…
05-08 13:19:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf41d4a…
05-08 13:19:18	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb22378…
05-08 13:19:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x075909…
05-08 13:19:04	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b65fd…
05-08 13:19:01	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd1a8a7…
05-08 13:18:55	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb03053…
05-08 13:18:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x170761…
05-08 13:18:45	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x4af151…
05-08 13:18:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x988614…
05-08 13:18:38	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee3720…
05-08 13:18:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2c66a0…
05-08 13:18:20	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa5f2ad…
05-08 13:18:17	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x75fb36…
05-08 13:18:10	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8e27bf…
05-08 13:18:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbc6997…
05-08 13:17:59	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x995d8c…
05-08 13:17:54	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xea391f…
05-08 13:17:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd9e792…
05-06 03:51:02	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x529dfe…
05-06 03:50:32	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x27f0fe…
05-06 03:50:26	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x3cd81c…
05-06 02:11:30	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9ef8b8…
05-04 07:51:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7a0176…
05-04 07:47:08	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x80b189…
05-04 07:45:42	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x022d6a…
05-04 03:23:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf44c25…
05-04 03:22:42	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x55abd1…
05-04 03:21:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb5ddfa…
05-04 03:18:18	Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x109255…
05-03 09:32:16	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b8a04…
05-03 04:30:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb6f1a7…
05-03 04:21:12	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x97d2a1…
05-03 04:00:50	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x537215…
05-03 03:50:38	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf92101…
05-03 03:37:24	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf5a7ea…
04-27 17:53:12	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b2fbf…
04-25 08:34:10	Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55da16…
04-25 08:25:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9a0cb6…
04-25 08:20:20	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37e2f5…
04-24 17:42:28	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x714cc9…
04-24 17:40:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7604fc…
04-23 01:12:50	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x336895…
04-23 01:12:40	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x248532…
04-21 13:50:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ccfec…
04-21 13:34:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04fe27…
04-21 13:34:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5dc8b5…
04-19 07:02:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x797d37…
04-17 13:46:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3dd800…
04-17 13:43:24	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3458c0…
04-16 14:40:56	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbe2038…
04-16 14:40:42	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xdf3726…
04-16 14:40:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdcb795…
04-15 15:00:34	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe69a47…
04-15 14:17:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc9812…
04-15 14:09:36	will trumps remarks not air 493	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xfe255d…
04-15 14:08:12	will trumps remarks not air 493	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xe80754…
04-15 13:43:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1080ca…
04-15 05:50:54	will trumps remarks not air 493	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x50e544…
04-15 05:50:34	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x84f40b…
04-15 05:50:30	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe23ecc…
04-15 05:32:58	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3333e7…
04-15 05:32:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2c3739…
04-15 05:24:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x23d294…
04-15 05:23:38	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9072a2…
04-15 04:37:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3603db…
04-15 04:37:20	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa8008e…
04-15 04:37:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x2014c9…
04-15 04:36:24	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x2bac20…
04-15 04:35:12	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x102426…
04-15 02:14:34	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x12ee48…
04-15 02:11:54	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd130f2…
04-15 01:36:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa3d59c…
04-15 01:00:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb370a2…
04-14 17:16:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5083df…
04-14 17:15:46	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbad79e…
04-14 15:43:35	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x013a78…
04-14 15:08:55	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x22cb26…
04-14 14:53:21	will trumps remarks not air 837	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x93d8a4…
04-14 12:07:29	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x106c77…
04-14 11:09:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6d1b0e…
04-14 11:04:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe5c0b5…
04-14 09:40:13	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd65073…
04-14 09:38:39	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9219da…
04-14 08:18:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x13aadc…
04-14 07:49:15	will trumps remarks not air 837	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6e18e3…
04-14 07:48:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xee71f9…
04-14 07:48:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9fe484…
04-14 05:54:07	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x467a60…
04-14 05:42:43	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x427b79…
04-14 04:10:43	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a848a…
04-14 04:10:25	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbe4640…
04-14 04:09:51	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1b2ae9…
04-14 02:21:25	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1d55ed…
04-14 02:21:15	Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5848e2…
04-14 02:20:59	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x93d245…
04-14 02:20:53	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7886b9…