Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$734

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

$1.11K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-09 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

57% 70% -$336

Politics

28% 81% +$253

Sports

15% 80% +$816

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+612	$600	98¢	$603	+$3	10-28 06:11
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No		+540	$500	94¢	$505	+$5	11-09 01:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$2.0K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$27	03-05 13:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$1.8K	961	961	+0	No	+$159	04-01 05:40
will uae strike iran by march 31	6	$1.6K	1,288	805	+483	No	+$111	03-10 00:52
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	4	$1.5K	825	825	+0	No	+$140	04-01 05:41
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	4	$1.4K	1,648	1,648	+0	Yes	+$449	06-11 06:17
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	3	$1.4K	2,698	2,396	+301	No	+$327	06-14 03:07
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.0K	592	592	+0	No	-$41	04-17 16:21
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$1.0K	1,005	121	+884	No	+$78	03-13 02:16
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	7	$1.0K	866	866	+0	No	-$169	04-17 16:22
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	1	$1000	1,138	0	+1,138	No	+$138	06-09 06:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$800	842	0	+842	No	+$42	06-16 03:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$800	920	0	+920	No	+$120	04-22 05:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$738	478	478	+0	No	-$62	04-17 16:23
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$642	345	345	+0	No	+$42	03-31 00:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	6	$605	694	0	+694	No	+$89	04-06 12:44
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	1	$600	648	0	+648	No	+$48	06-11 02:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$600	612	0	+612	open	—	10-28 06:11
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$527	648	0	+648	No	+$121	03-31 02:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$510	638	0	+638	No	+$128	04-06 12:43
AI bubble burst in 2026?	1	$500	540	0	+540	open	—	11-09 01:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$500	781	0	+781	No	-$500	06-15 00:31
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	2	$500	577	0	+577	No	+$77	04-17 16:22
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$500	546	0	+546	No	+$46	04-17 16:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$499	0	502	-502	No	-$3	06-18 06:37
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	3	$495	321	321	+0	No	-$105	04-11 13:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$404	207	207	+0	No	+$4	04-17 16:23
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$363	335	335	+0	No	-$237	04-08 07:30
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	3	$254	267	0	+267	No	+$13	01-09 12:44
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	2	$208	109	109	+0	No	+$8	04-01 07:17
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$203	105	105	+0	No	+$3	04-17 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 01:26:07	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	540	93¢	$500	0x11dde4…
10-28 06:11:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xdf951e…
10-28 06:11:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1faff2…
06-18 06:37:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$499	0x579179…
06-16 03:22:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	842	95¢	$800	0x0a1688…
06-15 00:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	781	64¢	$500	0x7f011b…
06-14 03:07:33	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	301	20¢	$60	0x8a5053…
06-11 06:17:25	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	1,648	58¢	$949	0x77e139…
06-11 02:54:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	648	93¢	$600	0xc54e70…
06-11 02:08:30	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	651	31¢	$200	0x923ebe…
06-11 02:07:30	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	655	31¢	$200	0x5947fc…
06-11 02:07:21	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	342	29¢	$100	0x006d45…
06-09 06:59:33	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	2,396	37¢	$887	0x6e9c34…
06-09 06:57:54	Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	1,138	88¢	$1,000	0xfe097f…
06-07 15:58:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	2,396	21¢	$500	0x6a47f6…
04-22 05:24:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	920	87¢	$800	0x351dff…
04-17 16:24:28	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x9778e2…
04-17 16:23:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$204	0x6f1aaf…
04-17 16:23:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	478	71¢	$338	0xb91a88…
04-17 16:23:06	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	125	34¢	$42	0x84f31a…
04-17 16:22:50	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x61efd2…
04-17 16:22:44	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0xd3acb7…
04-17 16:22:20	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	274	17¢	$48	0x07577c…
04-17 16:22:12	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	92¢	$99	0x2b2ef3…
04-17 16:21:52	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xd76236…
04-17 16:21:46	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	105	96¢	$100	0x80a5e0…
04-17 16:21:40	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0x21b551…
04-17 16:21:30	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	87¢	$90	0x0172d6…
04-17 16:21:22	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	592	85¢	$504	0x9d9a4f…
04-11 13:03:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	274	37¢	$100	0xf56522…
04-11 13:02:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	593	65¢	$384	0xbcfdf3…
04-11 13:02:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	321	61¢	$195	0x3198b8…
04-09 05:59:29	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0xd81f2d…
04-09 00:38:49	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	160	93¢	$149	0xd9359b…
04-08 07:30:23	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	335	19¢	$63	0x8cb80e…
04-07 00:40:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xbb98b8…
04-06 12:46:37	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xb96fd8…
04-06 12:45:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x43fe2f…
04-06 12:45:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9b6b49…
04-06 12:44:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xf45f67…
04-06 12:43:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc04688…
04-03 01:02:01	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe1c3b1…
04-02 15:55:55	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xcbac5e…
04-02 14:57:13	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x285681…
04-02 14:55:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xf4de9b…
04-02 14:54:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x664860…
04-02 14:54:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x047bb1…
04-02 14:49:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1a731d…
04-02 13:11:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xc5eb92…
04-02 13:08:13	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6aad9d…
04-02 13:07:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0615a2…
04-02 13:07:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xd5297f…
04-01 15:58:51	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x985774…
04-01 15:56:13	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xaab602…
04-01 15:55:57	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4e29ff…
04-01 15:55:45	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x82a5e1…
04-01 15:55:29	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xef8680…
04-01 15:54:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x361ae5…
04-01 15:53:45	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xf2d7b5…
04-01 14:46:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xb2a424…
04-01 07:17:01	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0xc5edcc…
04-01 05:56:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x93c01c…
04-01 05:50:05	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x0d99a5…
04-01 05:49:53	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf3a4ee…
04-01 05:48:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x8209aa…
04-01 05:47:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x77a987…
04-01 05:43:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	91	90¢	$82	0xfa1d3e…
04-01 05:41:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	825	99¢	$819	0xc377ee…
04-01 05:40:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	932	100¢	$928	0x1150c8…
04-01 05:40:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xae3f6d…
03-31 03:16:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0xd41e6d…
03-31 03:16:01	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xa21272…
03-31 03:15:15	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x34fb09…
03-31 03:13:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xae0c22…
03-31 02:52:47	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	404	98¢	$397	0x17594b…
03-31 02:51:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x365f88…
03-31 02:50:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x2e6abd…
03-31 00:37:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	362	83¢	$300	0x943751…
03-31 00:37:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	345	99¢	$342	0xc9a08a…
03-29 13:49:46	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	91	91¢	$82	0x8bd9dc…
03-25 00:26:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x991746…
03-25 00:25:39	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xe57491…
03-16 07:01:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xf23d4d…
03-16 06:58:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x8cf206…
03-16 00:27:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x6513a0…
03-13 02:18:19	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0x59d19a…
03-13 02:16:27	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa62f7f…
03-13 02:16:09	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0xf04266…
03-13 00:37:55	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	320	96¢	$307	0x213ba6…
03-12 12:56:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x14b565…
03-12 12:56:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xece586…
03-12 12:55:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xc95631…
03-11 16:56:41	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x05364e…
03-11 16:56:05	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x07c534…
03-11 14:48:49	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6c335e…
03-11 14:18:37	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xbfaa70…
03-11 00:43:21	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x035e55…
03-10 00:53:17	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	409	90¢	$368	0xa84a2f…
03-10 00:52:59	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	483	76¢	$368	0xd5db3c…
03-10 00:34:27	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	276	89¢	$245	0xbfef3a…