Unlined-Significance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$254

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 09-09 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

47% 19% +$35

Other

46% 31% -$51

Crypto

4% 22% -$4

Tech

2% 50% +$1

Sports

2% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+12	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-21 12:46
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+9	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	06-01 18:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$50	50	50	+0	Yes	+$48	05-22 06:41
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	4	$25	30	30	+0	Yes	+$9	06-15 09:49
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	06-15 04:30
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	3	$12	19	0	+19	No	-$12	06-15 10:52
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	2	$12	18	0	+18	No	-$12	06-15 09:46
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 07:50
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	06-07 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 2?	1	$8	20	0	+20	No	-$8	06-01 19:06
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	2	$8	16	0	+16	No	-$8	06-15 09:50
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	2	$5	233	0	+233	No	-$5	06-05 18:55
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	3	$5	62	62	+0	No	+$1	06-15 10:52
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 18:48
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	2	$3	112	0	+112	Yes	-$3	05-12 20:32
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$3	429	0	+429	open	—	06-14 05:09
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	06-14 09:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$3	26	26	+0	open	—	09-09 09:29
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	2	$3	80	0	+80	No	-$3	05-12 20:55
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1,059	0	+1,059	No	-$2	05-22 10:44
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$2	4	0	+4	Boston Red Sox	-$2	05-22 13:16
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$2	61	0	+61	open	—	06-05 18:43
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	2	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	06-01 18:25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-17 16:57
Will Trump Leave China on May 17?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-15 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 12?	1	$1	137	0	+137	No	-$1	05-11 18:42
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	06-11 23:54
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	12	0	+12	Yes	-$1	05-21 06:15
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-15 08:26
Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" this week?	1	$1	78	0	+78	Yes	-$1	05-11 18:52
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-22 10:44
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	05-21 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 09:29:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x7a3d7c…
06-15 10:52:37	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x52a7b7…
06-15 10:52:00	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$3	0xbc7e39…
06-15 09:50:07	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2c2dfd…
06-15 09:49:42	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x440ba0…
06-15 09:46:22	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xd7f9c3…
06-15 09:45:52	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf55ff0…
06-15 09:44:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0xfd38b7…
06-15 04:32:15	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb4aa2e…
06-15 04:31:58	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa63559…
06-15 04:31:48	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7effce…
06-15 04:30:42	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8681bd…
06-14 09:30:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9b0aa7…
06-14 07:51:49	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9e3d6d…
06-14 07:50:27	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x578c1f…
06-14 05:15:25	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x58783e…
06-14 05:09:16	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x852bec…
06-11 23:55:40	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb912aa…
06-11 23:55:28	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x482590…
06-11 23:55:10	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa261c9…
06-11 23:55:03	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb3154d…
06-11 23:54:52	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3fc8e9…
06-07 22:16:48	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xddb97f…
06-07 21:01:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xc9d15f…
06-05 18:55:19	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	2¢	$4	0x32ed30…
06-05 18:49:06	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x151e62…
06-05 18:43:24	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xc89aed…
06-03 19:49:00	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xc77386…
06-03 19:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xebbbd3…
06-03 19:35:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9a6dc2…
06-01 19:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc61759…
06-01 19:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc6f7d5…
06-01 19:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd26f24…
06-01 18:50:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9d65fe…
06-01 18:49:24	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9439af…
06-01 18:48:16	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x05173c…
06-01 18:25:54	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf3fb25…
06-01 18:25:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3fde6e…
05-22 13:16:24	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x10207c…
05-22 13:13:52	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x82b7d1…
05-22 12:59:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x736bba…
05-22 12:31:03	Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during swearing-in?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc088e8…
05-22 10:44:30	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcae342…
05-22 10:44:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe70dc1…
05-22 10:43:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd700a3…
05-22 10:22:15	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb40d82…
05-22 10:19:57	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x499805…
05-22 06:41:48	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x7acf8d…
05-21 12:46:14	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x35b8d7…
05-21 12:46:05	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x703fa6…
05-21 11:59:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x78999b…
05-21 06:15:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3ba53e…
05-21 06:14:26	Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7a65b1…
05-21 06:10:24	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x40364c…
05-20 20:55:24	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1be291…
05-19 21:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ded08…
05-19 11:33:59	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x24b9c0…
05-18 15:03:31	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x3492a3…
05-18 15:02:39	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Alexandra Eala	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x21eeae…
05-18 10:34:50	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Just Players	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x769a6b…
05-18 10:34:28	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	DN SOOPers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x344c5b…
05-17 16:57:10	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x93639e…
05-17 11:51:39	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa50e03…
05-17 11:48:19	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc7b0c6…
05-17 11:41:25	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x734842…
05-17 11:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfe9f9c…
05-17 11:39:17	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x88febf…
05-17 11:37:53	Will Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x225794…
05-17 11:37:48	Will Trump post "Shit" or "Fuck" or "Fucked" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xebcb04…
05-16 20:39:15	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8453e2…
05-16 13:28:00	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf6429e…
05-16 07:50:11	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x2e44d0…
05-15 08:27:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	289	0¢	$1	0xb4266c…
05-15 08:27:02	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x55e0d7…
05-15 08:26:33	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c2ea1…
05-15 08:24:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4e9174…
05-15 08:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x915921…
05-15 08:16:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6a2948…
05-15 08:13:01	Will Trump Leave China on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9c22e8…
05-15 08:12:20	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8bbd81…
05-15 08:11:05	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0xfc4cb7…
05-13 22:24:58	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x992690…
05-13 22:24:40	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x144929…
05-13 04:08:32	T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Vanuatu	Cook Islands	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6ba54f…
05-12 20:55:37	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x52c68b…
05-12 20:53:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x160a04…
05-12 20:47:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2c5435…
05-12 20:39:52	Will King Charles say "Trump" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x69bfd8…
05-12 20:34:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x43370c…
05-12 20:33:09	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf742bc…
05-12 20:32:39	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9871ba…
05-11 19:54:57	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x500752…
05-11 19:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x08eb2d…
05-11 19:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe01c1b…
05-11 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x46e362…
05-11 19:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5017d1…
05-11 19:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4308aa…
05-11 18:52:45	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x35d953…
05-11 18:52:29	Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" this week?	No	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x5c478c…
05-11 18:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x442ce4…