Vapid-Inversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$311

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

41,384

lifetime

Volume

$40.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-18 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$0

Politics

29% 100% +$311

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 621 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$1.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-01 05:52
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	98	$1.3K	46,773	74,052	-27,278	open	—	02-25 02:09
highest temperature in london on january 31 11corhigher	3	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	01-31 13:25
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 9c	9	$1.0K	2,000	871	+1,129	open	—	02-08 12:58
highest temperature in ankara on february 10 2026 5c	7	$1.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	02-10 12:45
highest temperature in london on february 6 2026 11c	6	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-06 16:18
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 0 19	3	$711	360	359	+1	open	—	04-14 05:03
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	2	$597	300	300	+0	open	—	03-27 04:02
highest temperature in seoul on february 1 neg 1c	2	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	02-01 04:52
highest temperature in london on january 30 9c	4	$489	489	0	+489	open	—	01-30 14:21
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	42	$465	2,250	2,626	-376	open	—	01-24 18:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	21	$447	101	418	-317	open	—	04-27 10:26
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	70	$432	32,026	118,411	-86,386	open	—	02-18 00:36
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	26	$373	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	04-16 02:12
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	528	$369	152,885	133,262	+19,623	open	—	01-31 06:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	9	$346	326	325	+1	Yes	+$305	05-09 05:38
highest temperature in nyc on january 6 38 39f	6	$326	700	700	+0	open	—	01-07 04:21
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	37	$321	25,501	64,999	-39,498	open	—	02-24 03:58
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	60	$320	14,092	14,999	-907	open	—	02-25 15:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$301	350	0	+350	open	—	04-07 21:56
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1,910	$287	135,576	75,538	+60,038	open	—	04-16 18:47
will gta 6 cost 100	120	$286	17,326	22,933	-5,607	open	—	02-26 10:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	35	$285	12,528	12,599	-71	open	—	04-01 04:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$262	250	100	+150	open	—	02-28 17:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	91	$257	18,544	72,744	-54,200	open	—	04-27 03:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	53	$254	20,000	19,881	+119	open	—	03-27 20:02
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	86	$252	10,027	7,639	+2,389	open	—	02-08 10:31
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	123	$246	36,827	56,915	-20,088	open	—	02-08 03:32
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	15	$238	3,100	1,601	+1,499	open	—	02-02 00:33
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	30	$224	8,100	8,499	-399	open	—	02-01 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 09:14:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xbc6c5f…
06-17 17:11:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30,000	0¢	$60	0x0be7a9…
06-17 17:05:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe03449…
06-13 11:25:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,767	1¢	$40	0x6b6d57…
06-13 11:25:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe9b47d…
06-13 11:24:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2ef991…
06-13 11:24:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x21a9b6…
06-13 11:12:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe821eb…
06-13 11:06:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	266	1¢	$2	0x96b50e…
06-13 11:02:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x29cba8…
06-13 11:00:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	135	1¢	$1	0x47c2d4…
06-13 02:43:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x5c3bc7…
06-13 02:39:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xc67082…
06-13 02:37:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x2a53d0…
06-13 02:24:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe3851a…
06-13 02:20:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	362	1¢	$2	0xcdc73a…
06-13 02:12:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x878c00…
06-13 02:06:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xc5ea7a…
06-12 21:35:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0xa11ee9…
05-26 02:29:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	454	1¢	$5	0xfe5e07…
05-25 18:45:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	227	1¢	$2	0x502caf…
05-25 16:23:04	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	95	20¢	$19	0x2e0958…
05-23 05:11:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25,990	0¢	$26	0x1eb594…
05-23 04:06:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,990	0¢	$10	0x8b5444…
05-23 03:21:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x3dc2c2…
05-22 20:48:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x413c81…
05-21 08:25:11	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0x96e93f…
05-19 14:20:00	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x65672c…
05-18 15:37:51	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x52a999…
05-18 15:37:46	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2628a9…
05-18 15:23:06	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8f1d4a…
05-18 13:40:12	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x466611…
05-18 13:23:50	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xf4c769…
05-18 13:22:00	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x92d974…
05-18 13:16:18	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x2c9886…
05-18 12:23:55	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x025ca8…
05-18 11:51:17	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x037a3e…
05-18 11:51:03	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa0d8b2…
05-18 11:47:54	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf90f3d…
05-18 09:54:44	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x46714b…
05-18 08:05:53	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x713a39…
05-18 08:05:09	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc31575…
05-18 08:05:08	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6280eb…
05-18 08:05:06	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x805023…
05-18 08:05:06	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x06de75…
05-18 08:05:04	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd4bf8f…
05-18 08:05:04	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x42a012…
05-18 08:05:02	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xacd201…
05-18 08:05:01	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8c360d…
05-18 08:05:01	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x32defe…
05-18 08:04:59	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x871af8…
05-18 08:04:59	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x84a84a…
05-18 07:30:30	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa8d6ab…
05-18 07:04:38	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x14ed92…
05-18 06:59:20	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9e3ebc…
05-18 06:57:22	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xcdcb86…
05-18 06:53:31	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3a7673…
05-18 06:51:32	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x45bc09…
05-16 17:27:36	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	227	0¢	$1	0xd8d8c6…
05-16 16:55:28	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2cb0d2…
05-12 14:23:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3,103	0¢	$16	0x1df1f7…
05-12 10:57:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,030	0¢	$5	0xcbe075…
05-12 10:51:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	638	0¢	$3	0x9aedcd…
05-12 10:48:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6ab837…
05-12 10:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xf3bc84…
05-12 10:23:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$3	0xef3eca…
05-12 10:20:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	265	0¢	$1	0x7ccd3f…
05-12 10:19:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$1	0x75a3c5…
05-12 10:15:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x661d14…
05-12 10:08:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa4f0db…
05-12 09:52:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5b38a3…
05-12 09:51:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x114a39…
05-12 09:29:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	320	0¢	$2	0x8d5c92…
05-12 09:10:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb57459…
05-12 09:05:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$2	0xea75f2…
05-12 08:46:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xf7d14f…
05-12 08:46:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$0	0x4e1309…
05-12 08:46:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	350	1¢	$2	0x4718b2…
05-12 08:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x6d66b5…
05-12 08:31:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5ac7bd…
05-12 08:10:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	349	0¢	$2	0x0b8c82…
05-12 07:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd22d98…
05-12 05:05:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x21c11d…
05-09 05:38:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	100¢	$325	0x2a4d43…
05-09 05:07:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	2,168	0¢	$4	0x531822…
05-09 04:40:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x6995d0…
05-09 04:40:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	2,486	0¢	$5	0x86eab0…
05-09 04:38:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf0d444…
05-09 04:35:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc13213…
05-09 04:35:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5,568	0¢	$11	0x5e206f…
05-09 04:34:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd22d40…
05-09 04:34:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0xf8ae69…
05-09 04:34:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x788d76…
05-09 04:31:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x00fb8c…
05-09 04:30:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	8,132	0¢	$8	0x8472ea…
05-09 04:26:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x392721…
05-09 04:24:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x134b28…
05-09 04:18:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x002927…
05-09 04:18:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb00aea…
05-09 04:18:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x027a31…