Realized P&L
-$12.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
1,905
Trades
49,595
lifetime
Volume
$55.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$733
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 271 days
Categories
Other
70% 44% -$15,006
Politics
26% 66% +$1,833
Crypto
3% 59% +$454
Sports
1% 45% +$35
Tech
1% 47% -$170
Pop-Culture
0% 17% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -255 -$212 96¢ $-245 -$34 05-11 05:42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +219 $158 84¢ $184 +$26 10-22 22:10
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +82 $65 98¢ $80 +$15 10-23 19:16
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,433 -$54 1¢ $-33 +$21 08-09 01:32
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +35 $25 92¢ $32 +$7 10-23 16:41
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,096 $50 0¢ $25 -$25 07-20 20:56
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,493 $37 0¢ $24 -$14 07-20 18:55
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -524 -$2 3¢ $-17 -$15 05-10 17:04
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,077 $40 0¢ $15 -$25 07-18 21:27
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $40 0¢ $15 -$25 07-18 11:36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $18 12¢ $13 -$5 05-18 14:14
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7,707 -$60 0¢ $-12 +$49 07-18 21:50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $14 10¢ $10 -$4 07-24 16:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +55 $9 17¢ $9 +$0 08-16 08:57
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,389 -$7 0¢ $-7 $0 07-30 11:51
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,959 $6 0¢ $5 -$1 09-18 15:06
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,532 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 07-20 02:15
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,299 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 04-29 18:49
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +1 -$3 100¢ $1 +$4 08-24 15:43
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-28 12:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 05-10 08:46
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$13 2¢ $0 +$13 08-09 21:56
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1 -$13 1¢ $0 +$13 07-21 03:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$14 0¢ $0 +$14 10-26 12:03