Absolute-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

2,306

Trades

2,376

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$4

Sports

16% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 99% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-18 05:00
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$10	5	5	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	04-27 17:41
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
atp zhang darderi 2026 04 13 set handicap away 1pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Zhang	+$0	04-16 19:45
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	04-27 03:21
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:33
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39287e…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf23fa…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6548f5…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe094c6…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c4b35…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1be51…
10-20 18:36:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x898d19…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x749e27…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x937742…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x782125…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc99f1d…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9be3e…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b84cd…
10-13 15:57:34	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2e56c…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd35b17…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0eb8e3…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefef30…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69c1b7…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1a1fc…
10-09 02:10:00	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0f768…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60cc07…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x196046…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9405a…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27c9d4…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f0b59…
10-04 23:23:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73a278…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8b60…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd79bdc…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bbb99…
10-02 14:12:29	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f161c…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0787eb…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d96f6…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x634580…
09-30 23:54:45	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb136d0…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fb1b5…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7dc50c…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba06ed…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x576263…
09-27 20:23:24	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fd598…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b259e…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb72bc…
09-27 00:21:29	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf537a…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x799e32…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7235fb…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe28711…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26eac4…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x793639…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a6940…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x055fde…
09-21 04:47:03	itf ishii1 suzuki2 2026 09 21	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfcde1…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a9474…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3970d…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bb84e…
09-20 16:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a1091…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf7f36…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd15476…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79eb72…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8b6c5…
09-19 05:10:33	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95d119…
09-19 03:59:36	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46d9e6…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35e742…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e2060…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e039e…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce8db3…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fb07c…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ee62d…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x751dd8…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe039bd…
09-17 00:30:40	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc57ae8…
09-16 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11238c…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x572acb…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x367c02…
09-16 02:35:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1e420…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x139e56…
09-16 01:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcac690…
09-15 17:49:46	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6c328…
09-15 09:42:01	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb77311…
09-14 18:22:49	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x706577…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ad099…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe47751…
09-13 22:59:30	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc4bf7…
09-13 21:07:09	PSV leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x789c54…
09-13 20:13:30	Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Shelton	Zverev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82a847…
09-13 20:08:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x536a12…
09-13 16:56:43	ILT20 Continent Cup: Botswana vs Rwanda	Rwanda	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed146f…
09-13 14:59:10	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd42947…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95679a…
09-12 14:19:52	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x040a4a…
09-12 13:05:42	Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x644625…
09-12 03:07:06	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb6f89…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8058b0…
09-11 20:26:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46787a…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x948608…
09-11 16:22:43	cs2 wbt saw2 2026 09 11	SAW	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8480b…
09-11 10:52:42	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b7a1e…
09-11 02:58:28	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7520e…
09-10 20:29:00	Counter-Strike: mellren vs MORROW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Play-In Play-In	mellren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdcc3f…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc48669…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a8a7c…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6de5c0…