Spotted-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

245

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$28.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-08 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

76% 58% +$1,375

Politics

20% 52% +$256

Sports

3% 44% -$309

Crypto

1% 100% +$21

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+134	$20	8¢	$10	-$10	09-15 15:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+29	$5	27¢	$8	+$3	10-28 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	2	$2.0K	1,099	1,099	+0	Yes	+$42	06-22 22:14
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$2.0K	2,244	0	+2,244	Yes	+$247	06-18 21:12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	4	$2.0K	2,124	0	+2,124	Yes	+$134	06-13 14:21
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$1.0K	1,211	0	+1,211	Yes	+$175	06-23 13:07
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	9	$925	719	718	+0	No	+$5	11-04 04:25
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	9	$567	326	326	+0	open	—	10-22 04:26
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$346	574	574	+0	No	-$14	10-25 19:39
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$331	260	260	+0	No	+$185	10-28 04:26
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$308	235	235	+0	No	+$162	11-04 04:23
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	2	$306	234	234	+0	Nemiga	+$161	10-29 10:15
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	2	$255	207	207	+0	Sinners	+$110	10-22 18:18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$246	174	174	+0	Nemiga	+$100	10-28 13:30
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$242	166	166	+0	Yes	-$8	04-01 19:59
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	3	$241	179	166	+14	Imperial	+$91	10-30 20:56
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15?	2	$226	127	127	+0	Yes	+$26	10-15 21:05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	2	$224	166	166	+0	Team Liquid	+$78	10-22 15:06
Spread: Panathinaikos (-15.5)	2	$222	149	149	+0	Kosner Baskonia	+$76	10-22 20:40
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	2	$222	166	166	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$76	10-23 09:04
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs	2	$219	146	146	+0	1WIN	+$73	11-01 15:41
Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov	2	$211	138	138	+0	Alexander Bublik	+$65	10-23 17:20
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)	2	$209	136	136	+0	100 Thieves	+$62	11-01 16:55
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-06?	1	$200	225	0	+225	Yes	+$25	08-06 18:14
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$198	136	136	+0	Yes	+$18	09-13 11:59
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)	2	$196	123	123	+0	Alliance	+$49	10-28 09:50
Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	2	$192	119	119	+0	Brandon Nakashima	+$45	10-22 20:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$187	112	112	+0	No	+$37	11-04 04:25
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	2	$181	119	119	+0	MOUZ	+$34	11-08 09:56
Spread: Utah (-6.5)	2	$177	140	140	+0	Utah	+$29	10-25 05:38
Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$164	112	112	+0	Yes	+$17	10-21 20:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$159	92	92	+0	Yes	+$3	11-01 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 21:25:07	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	278	22¢	$61	0xd87010…
11-08 18:49:51	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	278	26¢	$72	0xaaf800…
11-08 17:57:48	Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	132	56¢	$74	0xa1049f…
11-08 09:56:16	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	MOUZ	SELL	119	91¢	$108	0x7f61c9…
11-08 09:55:12	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	32	55¢	$17	0x399a99…
11-08 09:55:06	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	120	51¢	$61	0xd0c59a…
11-08 03:14:33	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	127	58¢	$73	0xfa4d15…
11-08 03:05:18	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	182	40¢	$73	0xd92bb8…
11-07 19:52:13	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	119	62¢	$74	0x2c529e…
11-07 11:08:24	Counter-Strike: OG vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Group A	G2 Ares	BUY	289	25¢	$72	0x9688f9…
11-04 04:30:18	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x621b4b…
11-04 04:30:09	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	270	6¢	$16	0x3e0662…
11-04 04:25:36	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa38d09…
11-04 04:25:27	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x70883a…
11-04 04:25:16	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x66f1bd…
11-04 04:25:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xc6e9c9…
11-04 04:23:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0x3e2e5b…
11-04 00:05:07	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)	B8	BUY	149	49¢	$73	0x8f55a3…
11-04 00:04:49	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	166	44¢	$73	0x5d174d…
11-03 23:27:09	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	TYLOO	BUY	202	36¢	$73	0x2bd221…
11-03 23:26:49	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)	Heroic	BUY	127	58¢	$73	0x2b7b68…
11-03 23:07:57	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Heroic	BUY	250	29¢	$72	0xd58681…
11-03 20:48:27	Dota 2: Cooman Team vs iLTW TEAM (BO3) - Media Eleague Group Stage	iLTW TEAM	BUY	102	36¢	$36	0x56b2a2…
11-03 09:15:36	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x620a35…
11-03 05:50:28	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc89946…
11-03 05:26:15	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	G2	SELL	178	39¢	$69	0x680213…
11-03 05:20:58	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0xf75e25…
11-02 18:20:36	Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	TYLOO	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbcb692…
11-02 17:26:49	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	171	35¢	$60	0xb40fb2…
11-02 17:15:12	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	127	50¢	$64	0xb82c93…
11-02 17:10:49	Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	TYLOO	BUY	117	63¢	$74	0xb340e9…
11-02 16:42:46	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	270	27¢	$73	0x702b2d…
11-02 16:17:28	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	BUY	250	29¢	$72	0x3da23a…
11-02 15:41:49	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	123	60¢	$74	0x3542a9…
11-02 14:48:25	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	131	56¢	$73	0x65c2f5…
11-02 14:48:06	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	G2	BUY	178	41¢	$73	0x8508d7…
11-02 08:55:54	Counter-Strike: maybe vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group A	maybe	BUY	144	51¢	$73	0xe31073…
11-02 08:21:16	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	TYLOO	BUY	214	34¢	$73	0x7e4b10…
11-02 05:42:45	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	235	31¢	$73	0x525dae…
11-01 23:22:06	Patriots vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0x882dbb…
11-01 19:57:22	Vikings vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa97bb6…
11-01 19:56:07	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbab6fd…
11-01 19:14:03	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	170	43¢	$73	0xd344de…
11-01 18:50:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x425df2…
11-01 18:38:49	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	115	64¢	$74	0x366009…
11-01 18:24:57	Vikings vs. Lions	Vikings	BUY	105	35¢	$37	0x4ae9d8…
11-01 17:46:22	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs	DENDELE CS	BUY	127	58¢	$73	0x76a9f5…
11-01 16:55:51	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)	100 Thieves	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xc5c23d…
11-01 16:53:55	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	G2	BUY	131	56¢	$73	0x61b397…
11-01 15:50:58	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner	BESTIA	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xdc0a66…
11-01 15:47:45	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfb89da…
11-01 15:41:31	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs	1WIN	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0xaabc77…
11-01 15:41:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xf6f62a…
11-01 14:23:16	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	93	39¢	$36	0x09ce60…
11-01 14:15:03	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8	BUY	191	38¢	$73	0x11485d…
11-01 11:54:19	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf5d1a6…
11-01 11:38:06	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	83	44¢	$36	0x26eb6b…
11-01 11:30:33	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	83	44¢	$36	0x538b2f…
11-01 11:02:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	171	43¢	$73	0x05929d…
11-01 10:27:13	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	136	54¢	$73	0x7d88b5…
11-01 10:09:43	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	146	50¢	$73	0x1e1ad3…
11-01 08:09:03	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	JiJieHao	BUY	125	59¢	$73	0xd536e0…
11-01 06:06:33	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	Phantom	BUY	146	50¢	$73	0x0f4259…
11-01 04:31:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4b8a9c…
10-31 20:17:40	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	117	76¢	$89	0x51cddc…
10-31 20:06:40	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	117	31¢	$36	0xe46922…
10-31 18:14:36	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov	Adolfo Vallejo	SELL	81	68¢	$55	0x7120cc…
10-31 18:14:30	Counter-Strike: OG vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Iberian Soul	SELL	125	39¢	$49	0x1a0e0e…
10-31 17:46:39	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	81	45¢	$37	0xc4241c…
10-31 16:40:07	Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)	JiJieHao	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xad5457…
10-31 16:39:54	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	JiJieHao	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9b628c…
10-31 14:09:22	Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)	1WIN	SELL	29	74¢	$21	0x6d341f…
10-31 14:08:15	Counter-Strike: OG vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Iberian Soul	BUY	125	59¢	$73	0x1fc9d5…
10-31 12:46:40	Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)	1WIN	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x180ab1…
10-31 12:27:37	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0xf69dfe…
10-31 12:26:01	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	JiJieHao	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfe6921…
10-31 12:24:49	Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)	JiJieHao	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6faa43…
10-31 11:50:00	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	281	19¢	$53	0x37c9da…
10-31 10:59:55	Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)	JiJieHao	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xae865b…
10-31 10:24:12	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	375	20¢	$75	0xe26d3f…
10-31 08:07:06	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x80abf0…
10-31 08:06:24	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x833c82…
10-31 07:50:31	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe16c88…
10-31 05:11:10	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x7209d9…
10-30 20:56:28	Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	Imperial	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x5ab472…
10-30 20:49:57	Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	paiN	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xdf3d32…
10-30 20:40:22	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	170	43¢	$73	0x0e623c…
10-30 18:40:01	Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	Imperial	BUY	166	44¢	$73	0x4d539b…
10-30 18:24:09	Map Handicap: DEN (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5)	DENDELE CS	BUY	123	60¢	$74	0x48e837…
10-30 15:57:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x931bb2…
10-30 01:12:42	Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)	MIBR	BUY	214	34¢	$73	0x7d73f4…
10-30 01:12:21	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	119	62¢	$74	0xf56c00…
10-30 00:28:58	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	424	17¢	$72	0xf043cc…
10-30 00:28:31	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Nemiga	BUY	170	43¢	$73	0xb940ca…
10-29 17:00:19	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	138	53¢	$73	0x6081b2…
10-29 15:30:11	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	69	53¢	$37	0xa4dfff…
10-29 12:00:25	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Anna Bondar	SELL	149	4¢	$6	0x0298e5…
10-29 11:37:01	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x50f98c…
10-29 11:02:10	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	FURIA	SELL	56	35¢	$19	0x5f3e67…
10-29 11:01:34	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xe1642e…