Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

13.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

38 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.64K

$13.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$351

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 09-28 04:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

62% 22% -$9

Politics

38% 20% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	09-28 04:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$928	480	480	+0	No	-$2	05-09 08:16
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$923	470	470	+0	No	+$0	05-07 05:57
abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	2	$874	465	465	+0	No	+$0	07-27 06:01
farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	2	$874	460	460	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:49
will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	2	$874	475	475	+0	No	+$0	07-26 02:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$871	465	465	+0	No	+$0	07-26 05:37
will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	2	$852	463	463	+0	No	+$0	07-11 02:43
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$846	450	450	+0	open	—	07-11 05:38
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$820	439	439	+0	open	—	08-14 08:32
will antonio costa visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126048	2	$819	450	450	+0	Yes	+$0	08-14 02:28
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	2	$805	440	440	+0	open	—	07-15 05:53
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	2	$802	420	420	+0	No	+$2	07-15 02:49
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	3	$714	390	390	+0	open	—	06-30 03:37
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$712	379	379	+0	open	—	06-30 05:35
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$466	475	0	+475	Sevilla FC	+$10	05-09 08:20
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$461	480	0	+480	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$19	05-07 06:05
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	2	$431	228	228	+0	Yes	-$2	06-15 06:45
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	2	$231	210	210	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 15:14
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	2	$35	880	0	+880	Petrojet SC	-$35	04-28 08:28
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-28 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 04:45:45	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf6d25b…
08-14 08:32:27	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	439	93¢	$410	0x21370a…
08-14 06:57:36	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	439	93¢	$410	0xba1fc1…
08-14 02:28:15	will antonio costa visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126048	Yes	SELL	450	91¢	$410	0x60ad28…
08-14 01:27:43	will antonio costa visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126048	Yes	BUY	450	91¢	$410	0x3e5feb…
07-27 07:49:30	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	460	95¢	$437	0x2853a6…
07-27 06:54:16	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	460	95¢	$437	0x1c98d1…
07-27 06:01:25	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	No	SELL	465	94¢	$437	0xba84b2…
07-27 05:25:49	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	No	BUY	465	94¢	$437	0xec7c43…
07-26 05:37:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	465	94¢	$436	0xf037e5…
07-26 03:10:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	465	94¢	$436	0xcd59a9…
07-26 02:29:24	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	SELL	475	92¢	$437	0x0298b6…
07-26 01:56:24	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	BUY	475	92¢	$437	0xca27dc…
07-15 05:53:55	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	440	92¢	$405	0x5f4c14…
07-15 03:11:43	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	91¢	$400	0xe3059c…
07-15 02:49:49	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	420	96¢	$402	0xc25b6b…
07-15 02:17:19	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	420	95¢	$400	0x7739d8…
07-11 05:38:19	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	450	94¢	$423	0x3cb8b5…
07-11 05:03:05	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	450	94¢	$423	0x9bab11…
07-11 02:43:44	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	SELL	463	92¢	$426	0x50b5c5…
07-11 02:06:56	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	BUY	463	92¢	$426	0xbc9f63…
06-30 05:35:50	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	379	94¢	$356	0x180fe4…
06-30 04:46:05	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	379	94¢	$356	0x9b5c18…
06-30 03:37:34	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	SELL	190	91¢	$173	0x694d2c…
06-30 03:37:04	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x78ab52…
06-30 03:06:56	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	390	92¢	$359	0xff309e…
06-15 06:45:33	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	228	94¢	$214	0xb7d1f2…
06-15 03:24:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	228	95¢	$217	0x5cbb53…
05-09 08:20:31	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	475	98¢	$466	0x404599…
05-09 08:16:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	480	97¢	$463	0x0e9f76…
05-09 05:17:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	480	97¢	$465	0xa0a478…
05-07 06:05:42	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	480	96¢	$461	0xe266c6…
05-07 05:57:32	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	470	98¢	$462	0x5481bf…
05-07 03:14:57	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	470	98¢	$462	0x80c374…
05-03 15:14:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	210	55¢	$116	0x42f094…
05-03 01:38:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	210	55¢	$116	0x40dbbb…
04-28 08:28:46	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	Ismaily SC	BUY	465	4¢	$19	0x213af8…
04-28 08:26:04	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	Ismaily SC	BUY	415	4¢	$17	0x0538e7…