Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$652
Hit rate
17.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
157
lifetime
Volume
$7.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$395
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-09 23:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88% 33% $-101
Other
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -537 $-129 32¢ $-175 $-46 06-09 23:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes +88 $51 83¢ $73 +$22 06-08 05:56
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -43 $-725 100¢ $-43 +$682 06-07 21:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +111 $30 24¢ $27 $-3 06-07 22:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +2,600 $26 $25 $-1 06-09 23:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +113 $20 18¢ $20 +$0 06-03 03:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +143 $20 14¢ $19 $-1 06-09 23:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +250 $15 $14 $-1 06-09 23:03