Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$443
Hit rate
17.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
280
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$972
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-22 10:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67% 33% $-101
Other
32%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -1,057 $-785 50¢ $-534 +$251 07-19 23:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,319 $187 30¢ $389 +$202 07-20 12:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +273 $30 10¢ $26 $-4 07-17 20:48
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +188 $30 12¢ $23 $-7 06-11 01:14