(anonymous) 0x9fc367…e31f1f
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
17.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
198
lifetime
Volume
$7.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$384
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-02 20:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
83% 33% $-101
Other
17% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,610 $258 18¢ $282 +$24 06-15 19:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -524 $-76 14¢ $-71 +$5 06-14 05:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +188 $30 12¢ $23 $-7 06-11 01:14
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +36 $5 9¢ $3 $-2 06-10 19:53
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +42 $5 6¢ $3 $-2 06-11 00:52
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +68 $5 3¢ $2 $-2 06-10 19:53
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +43 $3 1¢ $0 $-3 06-11 00:52