Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

110

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-19 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

62% 43% +$47

Politics

17% 46% -$11

Sports

7% 43% -$75

Tech

5% 100% +$16

Crypto

5% 62% +$15

Pop-Culture

3% 20% -$46

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+29	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	07-14 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	2	$157	109	109	+0	Yes	+$37	06-30 02:55
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	2	$146	135	135	+0	Yes	+$46	06-21 20:50
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	2	$140	133	133	+0	No	+$30	07-10 20:47
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	2	$134	120	120	+0	No	+$24	07-03 00:46
winter games 2026 will usa or norway earn more medals	2	$120	75	75	+0	Norway	+$20	02-16 05:15
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	2	$98	87	87	+0	Yes	+$8	07-12 02:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$91	51	51	+0	Yes	+$11	05-30 23:16
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	2	$79	73	73	+0	Yes	+$9	06-28 01:14
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	2	$68	59	59	+0	Yes	+$8	07-19 21:02
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$64	1,703	0	+1,703	No	-$64	02-16 05:45
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$63	52	52	+0	Yes	+$13	07-11 22:53
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	3	$62	95	95	+0	Yes	+$6	07-03 23:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$61	43	43	+0	Yes	+$21	02-28 19:50
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	2	$61	49	49	+0	No	+$11	06-29 18:49
will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	2	$57	32	32	+0	No	+$7	02-25 04:45
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 15	2	$50	30	30	+0	No	+$10	02-16 05:11
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$46	39	39	+0	Yes	+$6	06-21 23:55
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:45 UTC	2	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	02-09 06:00
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	05-30 23:16
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	2	$44	29	29	+0	Yes	+$4	06-28 03:46
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	2	$44	25	25	+0	No	+$6	02-25 04:46
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	2	$41	59	59	+0	No	-$19	05-15 22:10
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	1	$40	142	0	+142	No	-$40	07-14 19:54
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$38	34	34	+0	Yes	-$12	02-28 19:51
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	1	$35	152	0	+152	No	-$35	07-04 22:30
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$35	297	0	+297	No	-$35	06-21 01:06
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	1	$35	97	0	+97	Yes	+$62	03-14 17:25
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	1	$30	64	0	+64	No	-$30	06-22 02:25
will trump say rigged election this week february 15	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$8	02-16 02:01
will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	2	$29	25	25	+0	No	+$9	02-25 04:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:02:48	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	59	66¢	$38	0xf09fac…
07-19 20:46:10	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xfaa897…
07-14 19:54:29	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	142	28¢	$40	0x4b4117…
07-14 04:22:14	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x17d8a9…
07-14 04:22:05	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xabb520…
07-12 02:46:22	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	87	61¢	$53	0xa7270c…
07-12 02:32:34	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x4bc32d…
07-12 02:32:14	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x392c3e…
07-12 02:30:44	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0x1447ca…
07-11 22:53:35	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	52	74¢	$38	0xc385af…
07-11 22:39:01	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfc0573…
07-10 20:47:22	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	133	64¢	$85	0xdea2a8…
07-10 20:28:29	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	41¢	$55	0xb50696…
07-09 20:24:34	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x29499c…
07-09 20:23:13	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xff52ac…
07-07 04:46:08	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x67e86c…
07-05 21:32:01	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x4f1b35…
07-04 22:30:35	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	152	23¢	$35	0x6cca97…
07-04 18:39:43	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x702cdf…
07-03 23:33:26	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	95	36¢	$34	0x92f5d3…
07-03 23:28:19	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x448542…
07-03 21:13:43	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x5085fa…
07-03 21:13:22	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x47db9e…
07-03 19:39:43	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5526fb…
07-03 00:46:31	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	120	66¢	$79	0xcc97b6…
07-03 00:28:04	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	120	46¢	$55	0x84b607…
06-30 02:55:49	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	109	89¢	$97	0xd3a37e…
06-30 02:27:31	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x265163…
06-29 18:49:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xfe1ece…
06-29 18:49:08	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	49	73¢	$36	0x266f5f…
06-29 18:30:23	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb04884…
06-28 03:46:35	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x8b8b27…
06-28 03:31:28	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x89a7ca…
06-28 01:14:16	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	73	60¢	$44	0xd7e032…
06-28 01:01:10	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	73	48¢	$35	0x14a62b…
06-22 02:25:07	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xbac46c…
06-21 23:55:17	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	39	67¢	$26	0x02f7b9…
06-21 23:44:52	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x12e488…
06-21 20:50:14	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	135	71¢	$96	0x0e2ed9…
06-21 20:30:46	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xa6a05a…
06-21 01:47:35	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0xf98649…
06-21 01:46:53	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x139775…
06-21 01:35:53	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xbba50a…
06-21 01:34:20	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf07d98…
06-21 01:17:50	cs2 tdk 100t 2026 06 21	100 Thieves	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x345751…
06-21 01:11:28	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf55df2…
06-21 01:10:56	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5e57c5…
06-21 01:06:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	297	12¢	$35	0x14fa75…
06-21 01:05:25	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x6e7292…
05-30 23:16:44	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x51a448…
05-30 23:16:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xbb20ce…
05-29 19:38:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x312b5b…
05-15 22:10:09	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0x8d42ce…
05-15 02:32:14	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x174c81…
05-15 02:30:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xc9a0cc…
05-15 02:28:02	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x85d256…
05-15 02:08:59	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x854e72…
05-15 02:07:47	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7e765b…
05-15 02:07:23	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf94723…
05-03 00:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xcd2938…
05-03 00:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xccf743…
05-03 00:45:44	United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0xfb4fb0…
05-02 14:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7c4d0f…
05-02 14:48:02	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfe67ba…
05-02 14:40:26	United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x7c59f6…
05-02 14:39:50	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa9a52e…
03-14 17:34:05	will alien be said at the oscars	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdc8cad…
03-14 17:32:09	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x3d3b3b…
03-14 17:30:57	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	Yes	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x96665b…
03-14 17:28:29	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa6e414…
03-14 17:25:07	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0x143623…
03-07 01:31:13	Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x3d98d1…
02-28 19:51:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0xf5c0c3…
02-28 19:50:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xb04f2c…
02-28 17:51:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x088603…
02-28 17:50:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x43fa50…
02-25 04:46:50	will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2b4c8c…
02-25 04:46:38	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xc288d0…
02-25 04:46:30	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x418891…
02-25 04:46:26	will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6e6bc7…
02-25 04:46:20	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xb87a5b…
02-25 04:46:16	will trump say coal during the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x8743c0…
02-25 04:46:10	will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x087a83…
02-25 04:46:02	will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x34b0d9…
02-25 04:45:54	will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	No	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x048077…
02-25 02:45:10	will trump say nuclear during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa97f7b…
02-25 02:44:58	will trump say supreme court during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc059b…
02-25 02:44:16	will trump say too late during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x411b28…
02-25 02:43:30	will trump say israel or gaza during the 2026 state of the union address 833	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x89ccf5…
02-25 02:42:26	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xaf66b4…
02-25 02:40:56	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb2d57b…
02-25 02:40:10	will trump say coal during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x9ce7c9…
02-25 02:37:12	will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x4426cb…
02-25 02:36:34	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0fd2af…
02-25 02:36:20	will trump say border 7 times during the 2026 state of the union address 135	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x10fa2d…
02-25 02:35:02	will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x87ac0c…
02-25 02:31:52	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0eafe1…
02-25 02:30:12	will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x65b355…
02-25 02:29:54	will trump say scam or hoax during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb16fc7…
02-25 02:28:16	will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x104694…