Gentle-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$556

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

2,986

Trades

20,622

lifetime

Volume

$95.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$2.03K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-27 21:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 283 days

Categories

Other

70% 26% +$1,879

Sports

24% 30% +$221

Politics

4% 24% -$459

Crypto

2% 32% -$94

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Tech

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+11,000	$809	12¢	$1.3K	+$456	10-23 13:59
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+4,001	$313	10¢	$402	+$89	10-25 02:38
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+5,000	$156	3¢	$173	+$17	10-04 21:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+290	$96	32¢	$94	-$1	10-27 21:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+340	$96	28¢	$94	-$2	10-27 21:44
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+56	$4	4¢	$2	-$2	10-26 11:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$2.1K	4,223	4,223	+0	Yes	+$732	07-19 21:02
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	22	$2.0K	16,000	5,000	+11,000	open	—	10-23 13:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	61	$1.3K	3,978	3,565	+413	No	-$2	07-19 21:50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$1.1K	4,405	3,675	+730	No	-$86	07-15 20:57
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	27	$1.0K	871	868	+3	Sean Strickland	-$108	05-10 04:52
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	53	$992	18,874	17,274	+1,600	No	+$19	07-07 00:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	69	$861	3,973	3,892	+81	Yes	+$245	04-30 19:20
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	30	$789	6,601	2,600	+4,001	open	—	10-25 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	103	$788	4,491	4,426	+65	Yes	+$132	05-12 15:02
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	24	$735	10,160	10,160	+0	open	—	10-17 23:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	74	$672	2,102	2,075	+27	No	+$75	05-05 15:36
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	64	$662	4,285	4,023	+262	No	+$262	03-10 15:58
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	35	$622	2,733	2,733	+0	open	—	10-26 21:52
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	38	$579	3,882	3,882	+0	open	—	10-15 23:11
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	32	$560	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	10-13 19:17
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	39	$558	2,320	2,320	+0	No	+$104	03-05 04:07
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	22	$539	1,344	1,344	+0	No	+$9	03-30 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	78	$501	2,147	2,090	+56	No	+$69	05-08 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	78	$493	2,174	1,975	+199	No	-$22	05-05 13:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	72	$447	5,226	5,047	+179	No	+$173	04-30 22:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	56	$445	3,078	3,001	+77	No	+$103	03-19 01:45
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	31	$439	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$61	04-06 14:04
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	10	$377	2,249	2,249	+0	open	—	09-01 20:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	19	$370	938	938	+0	Yes	+$145	06-02 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	25	$355	900	900	+0	Yes	+$92	08-13 23:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	80	$353	6,094	6,039	+56	No	+$57	03-04 22:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	10	$348	440	440	+0	No	+$56	03-18 18:49
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	97	$343	3,957	3,767	+190	No	+$32	04-19 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	76	$337	1,826	1,826	+0	No	+$23	05-26 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	65	$334	2,819	2,652	+166	No	+$32	04-27 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x77457c…
10-27 22:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x814d5d…
10-27 21:52:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0xf89f13…
10-27 21:52:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x43eeca…
10-27 21:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x5bc71d…
10-27 21:44:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	340	28¢	$95	0x76be2d…
10-27 21:43:26	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	290	33¢	$96	0x280393…
10-27 21:09:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd86a06…
10-27 21:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x571b2f…
10-27 21:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xdf916e…
10-27 21:06:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x2bc426…
10-27 21:05:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x54f4a0…
10-27 21:05:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x442ade…
10-27 21:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x247a55…
10-27 21:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x5feab6…
10-27 21:00:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x7e1fc3…
10-27 20:57:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x6ece33…
10-27 20:57:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x6d6ef8…
10-27 20:56:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x00c9bc…
10-27 20:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	2¢	$2	0x957d2d…
10-27 14:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90c841…
10-27 14:28:02	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x80d8fd…
10-27 13:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0a5d31…
10-27 11:47:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xb8212d…
10-27 11:15:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9115f3…
10-27 11:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x8d2cc4…
10-27 11:11:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1c0e9a…
10-27 11:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd100e6…
10-27 06:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xccd940…
10-27 03:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x745687…
10-27 03:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x9c8af6…
10-27 01:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0x9912cc…
10-27 01:50:02	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4100ad…
10-27 01:49:53	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x452aff…
10-27 00:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3cbd44…
10-26 23:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf8ec49…
10-26 21:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd5fed2…
10-26 21:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x444147…
10-26 21:52:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb75b51…
10-26 21:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x93f5e2…
10-26 21:52:08	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0xe882da…
10-26 21:50:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x63f4a2…
10-26 18:32:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x83edc0…
10-26 18:32:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x636abf…
10-26 18:30:59	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x2d6093…
10-26 18:29:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4de8f6…
10-26 18:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdb5e75…
10-26 15:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xb087c4…
10-26 15:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x11b098…
10-26 15:17:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x656683…
10-26 15:17:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaef7dd…
10-26 15:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x0959d6…
10-26 15:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd1b4d8…
10-26 15:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd7a4c5…
10-26 14:13:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x322564…
10-26 13:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf54783…
10-26 13:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbc503d…
10-26 13:30:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x44cd91…
10-26 13:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xe0a274…
10-26 12:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa242b6…
10-26 12:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x9015cd…
10-26 12:19:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5ee0d7…
10-26 12:19:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe5cbed…
10-26 12:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfaf3ef…
10-26 12:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	4¢	$7	0x589d57…
10-26 11:38:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf902d6…
10-26 11:36:21	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0xe50e2f…
10-26 10:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xfc3e4e…
10-26 10:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xc533c6…
10-26 10:58:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc0579a…
10-26 10:57:56	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x724544…
10-26 10:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9a9fe1…
10-26 03:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x0cf13e…
10-26 02:37:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x78df9f…
10-26 02:36:59	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	92	1¢	$1	0x5c09ad…
10-26 02:36:27	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0x7c96d2…
10-26 02:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x532921…
10-26 02:31:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x5b0789…
10-26 00:45:38	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6f7a1c…
10-25 23:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x6de3cd…
10-25 23:05:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xd39878…
10-25 22:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x4c0455…
10-25 20:17:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7ba105…
10-25 19:11:41	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6cda2a…
10-25 17:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0xf1e4c7…
10-25 17:26:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xe80df0…
10-25 17:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb23a8b…
10-25 17:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x935843…
10-25 17:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	2¢	$4	0x796d22…
10-25 17:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x7c9b23…
10-25 15:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x851906…
10-25 15:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0xb30e60…
10-25 15:04:50	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xcebdaa…
10-25 15:02:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbf9d21…
10-25 13:52:56	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$1	0x23cdd8…
10-25 13:52:12	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0bb052…
10-25 13:51:45	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$2	0x9a23eb…
10-25 13:51:24	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1e1739…
10-25 13:51:15	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xaa6a3c…
10-25 13:51:02	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x591e68…