Gentle-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

214

Trades

10,329

lifetime

Volume

$47.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-30 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

77% 0% $-0

Sports

16% 24% +$10

Politics

4% — —

Crypto

3% 35% $-18

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No		+100	$4	0¢	$0	$-3	06-30 12:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	27	$1.0K	871	868	+3	Sean Strickland	$-108	05-10 04:52
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	64	$662	4,285	4,023	+262	open	—	03-10 15:58
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	39	$558	2,320	2,320	+0	open	—	03-05 04:07
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	22	$539	1,344	1,344	+0	open	—	03-30 15:54
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	56	$445	3,078	3,001	+77	open	—	03-19 01:45
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	31	$439	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	04-06 14:04
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	80	$353	6,094	6,039	+56	open	—	03-04 22:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	10	$348	440	440	+0	open	—	03-18 18:49
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	97	$343	3,957	3,767	+190	open	—	04-19 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	65	$334	2,819	2,652	+166	open	—	04-27 15:52
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	39	$328	2,119	2,093	+26	open	—	03-13 15:48
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	54	$324	3,925	3,736	+189	open	—	03-05 05:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	104	$319	3,691	3,514	+177	open	—	04-24 02:34
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	29	$316	2,215	2,054	+161	open	—	03-07 03:53
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	34	$311	1,792	1,792	+0	open	—	03-10 13:05
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	39	$303	2,739	2,739	+0	open	—	03-05 16:47
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	41	$303	2,000	1,498	+501	open	—	03-19 05:12
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	42	$302	1,826	1,826	+0	open	—	03-15 13:24
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	80	$300	1,980	1,714	+266	open	—	03-31 01:52
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	9	$295	687	687	+0	open	—	02-09 02:13
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	64	$286	1,799	1,716	+83	open	—	04-18 19:22
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	82	$285	3,962	3,352	+609	open	—	03-30 07:21
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	22	$283	2,167	1,342	+825	open	—	04-15 06:27
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	34	$281	3,272	2,727	+545	open	—	04-03 05:25
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$280	561	0	+561	open	—	02-27 17:30
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	71	$280	4,227	4,227	+0	open	—	03-03 11:49
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	56	$275	2,585	2,462	+123	open	—	04-16 17:30
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	45	$269	798	764	+33	open	—	04-10 13:11
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	53	$259	2,120	967	+1,153	open	—	04-07 15:05
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	24	$244	890	890	+0	open	—	03-19 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:46:13	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x815e68…
06-30 12:45:14	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x9a8467…
06-30 09:54:29	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9d9c11…
06-30 00:11:07	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7629fb…
06-28 15:55:07	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x530b6c…
06-28 03:32:59	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x03a3d6…
06-26 10:28:31	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x42db0e…
06-25 17:30:46	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x71c23e…
06-24 02:31:56	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$19	0xe3ce54…
06-21 15:37:14	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xe0042d…
06-21 15:36:56	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xd6e2ce…
06-21 13:07:52	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x220261…
06-21 03:20:20	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x8ac56f…
06-21 03:10:08	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	231	18¢	$42	0x04ade7…
06-20 19:24:01	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xdff422…
06-20 15:48:58	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x08ac3e…
06-20 15:05:29	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	Aurora Gaming	SELL	37	21¢	$8	0x3d94d1…
06-20 14:24:55	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0xfaea37…
06-20 13:38:11	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x298638…
06-20 13:37:29	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x7a99c0…
06-20 11:48:58	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xcaab8f…
06-20 03:28:16	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa4a218…
06-20 03:28:02	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4b7f9b…
06-19 16:32:49	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xae3c1c…
06-19 16:32:32	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5c684d…
06-19 11:36:59	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x14641f…
06-19 10:57:46	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x318fb0…
06-19 10:16:37	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x8df293…
06-19 10:16:37	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x6390c7…
06-19 10:04:29	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xfa43a8…
06-19 10:04:29	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x19a6b9…
06-19 10:04:28	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x980a4f…
06-19 10:02:40	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x15dc99…
06-19 10:02:38	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xe1b214…
06-19 10:02:38	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd0db9b…
06-19 10:02:25	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xc1b143…
06-19 10:02:25	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb27c1a…
06-19 10:02:23	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xb1c0db…
06-19 10:02:11	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x56bf36…
06-19 10:01:47	will trump speak to mojtaba khamenei in june	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8bdd6f…
06-18 00:21:53	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5a1acf…
06-17 15:16:14	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x0aa345…
06-17 15:13:43	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x04e705…
06-17 14:17:47	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x39d69f…
06-17 10:41:08	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x7bc3ff…
06-16 19:15:10	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xbf677b…
06-16 14:51:53	will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd75961…
06-16 14:51:47	will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0a5809…
06-16 14:50:16	will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x737c76…
06-16 12:58:34	will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x352eee…
06-16 12:13:33	will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x19331d…
06-16 12:10:12	will trump say ufc this week 20260612151047666	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xcdd0ea…
06-16 11:16:51	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x99760d…
06-16 11:15:45	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5c7a98…
06-16 10:54:40	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 nrfi	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa0917f…
06-15 14:03:04	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15 nrfi	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x912a79…
06-15 09:30:15	will trump say wonderful this week 20260612151047674	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x965c44…
06-15 09:29:48	will trump say wonderful this week 20260612151047674	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa7efb6…
06-15 09:13:03	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x5fbc86…
06-15 09:12:54	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe31c2e…
06-15 08:42:55	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15 nrfi	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x091cfa…
06-15 04:37:16	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 gaethje win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x7f38a8…
06-15 04:36:25	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7d50dd…
06-15 04:28:51	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x6dc2d7…
06-15 03:42:51	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x17f21f…
06-15 03:40:43	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd1fe9d…
06-15 03:37:48	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc60136…
06-15 03:36:03	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	450	20¢	$90	0x2fa637…
06-15 02:29:16	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x42fa98…
06-15 01:07:40	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xf53c02…
06-15 01:06:10	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbc559c…
06-15 01:05:39	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe7d436…
06-15 01:02:37	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7a2b53…
06-15 00:56:33	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Steve Garcia	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1c84aa…
06-15 00:56:30	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Steve Garcia	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x16b224…
06-15 00:12:03	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfe2871…
06-14 21:59:18	will trumps remarks not air 20260610182827994	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x69a148…
06-14 21:12:42	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xd21c7a…
06-14 20:58:22	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	SELL	125	18¢	$22	0x2e2dfa…
06-14 20:32:03	mlb lad cws 2026 06 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7e6f97…
06-14 20:31:55	mlb lad cws 2026 06 14	Chicago White Sox	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x742643…
06-14 19:06:09	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2ff297…
06-14 18:38:43	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x9e5433…
06-14 18:38:03	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x4497c3…
06-14 18:27:06	mlb lad cws 2026 06 14	Chicago White Sox	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc45fb…
06-14 16:12:09	mlb lad cws 2026 06 14	Chicago White Sox	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x71322a…
06-14 16:09:10	mlb lad cws 2026 06 14 nrfi	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc66685…
06-14 14:36:40	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xf57401…
06-14 14:35:42	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x89a08f…
06-14 13:10:28	mlb lad cws 2026 06 14 nrfi	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x809954…
06-14 12:22:07	mlb lad cws 2026 06 14 nrfi	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x21cd33…
06-14 12:20:24	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14 daukaus win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1b5094…
06-14 03:25:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0fca12…
06-14 01:51:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x739591…
06-13 23:56:15	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x33975c…
06-13 23:56:04	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x492eed…
06-13 22:13:43	mlb lad cws 2026 06 13	Chicago White Sox	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x1aac31…
06-13 21:49:19	mlb lad cws 2026 06 13	Chicago White Sox	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x43a6b2…
06-13 21:48:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe0b98f…
06-13 21:03:39	mlb lad cws 2026 06 13	Chicago White Sox	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x44c1a6…