Curvy-Cart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-14 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

35% — —

Other

31% — —

Sports

30% 80% $-13

Politics

4% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+96	$21	0¢	$0	$-21	06-14 15:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	7	$333	354	0	+354	open	—	02-24 16:22
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18 spread home 3pt5	3	$272	225	225	+0	open	—	01-18 20:29
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	5	$252	413	0	+413	open	—	03-28 21:55
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$247	274	274	+0	open	—	03-24 11:04
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$217	120	120	+0	open	—	01-21 19:33
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	2	$205	370	0	+370	open	—	03-28 17:35
Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	2	$156	310	0	+310	open	—	03-25 08:02
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$138	79	79	+0	open	—	01-24 14:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$131	76	75	+1	open	—	04-14 07:18
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	3	$118	200	0	+200	open	—	01-25 09:18
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$112	50	85	-35	open	—	04-08 07:06
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$96	60	60	+0	open	—	03-31 14:58
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$82	89	12	+77	Sean Strickland	$-62	05-07 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	05-06 05:11
footballfun fdv above 100m one day after launch im46	3	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	01-14 15:28
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	2	$60	118	0	+118	open	—	06-11 16:33
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	05-30 12:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	5	$58	40	39	+1	open	—	04-23 08:58
will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	3	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-14 11:32
will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-15 06:45
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$41	55	0	+55	open	—	02-11 03:17
will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	3	$36	250	234	+16	open	—	04-16 13:47
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$36	59	0	+59	Alexander Volkov	+$23	05-07 07:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	03-14 14:34
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	4	$29	121	120	+1	open	—	04-15 10:21
will team falcons win blast slam vi	3	$28	98	0	+98	open	—	02-11 04:31
ufc dei uma 2026 01 24	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	01-23 19:41
ucl spo1 psg1 2026 01 20 psg1	2	$26	40	0	+40	open	—	01-20 20:29
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 20-26?	2	$23	2,130	0	+2,130	open	—	04-20 20:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$21	96	0	+96	open	—	06-14 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:18:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6153fa…
06-12 13:42:55	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf9ed9a…
06-11 16:33:07	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x3ecdcd…
06-10 16:34:49	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x27226c…
06-10 16:27:03	ufc gig vin9 2026 06 20	Giga Chikadze	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7eaa4d…
06-10 16:26:54	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x7671a0…
06-10 16:26:21	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd65b80…
06-10 16:26:04	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb90dc9…
05-31 01:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x7d80ae…
05-30 12:37:16	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0xdff034…
05-30 12:37:09	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0x1159a5…
05-30 09:08:22	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xf8e0f2…
05-12 09:16:26	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Diaz	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe88a4f…
05-07 07:56:37	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Baisangur Susurkaev	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x70d8d2…
05-07 07:55:04	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Baisangur Susurkaev	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x686c9a…
05-07 07:54:24	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4aebf1…
05-07 07:54:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xa629b8…
05-07 07:45:28	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x32e1b7…
05-07 07:44:46	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbe238d…
05-07 07:22:33	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x6ebb07…
05-06 05:11:40	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xc1bc5d…
05-06 05:11:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb9fe16…
05-03 10:59:06	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf205ee…
05-03 10:58:48	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc864fb…
04-27 07:20:36	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	79	80¢	$63	0x7ade7a…
04-23 08:58:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$33	0xaad7a7…
04-23 08:43:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x451a4c…
04-23 08:34:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc900de…
04-23 08:29:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7a27b5…
04-20 20:04:06	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	1,990	0¢	$2	0xe26efd…
04-20 14:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0xf1a5de…
04-20 14:16:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xcc003e…
04-18 08:28:40	ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18	Karine Silva	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf95f76…
04-18 08:27:06	ufc tan goksar 2026 04 18	Tanner Boser	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x156ce3…
04-18 08:26:22	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xbc275b…
04-18 08:15:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xdbefc8…
04-16 13:47:58	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	Yes	SELL	234	2¢	$6	0x2ee323…
04-15 10:21:22	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	Yes	SELL	120	6¢	$7	0x18c933…
04-15 06:45:28	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x4cafdd…
04-14 11:32:35	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xe2e66a…
04-14 08:44:13	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0xe1ace9…
04-14 08:34:27	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xb2e894…
04-14 08:28:23	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x0d8f49…
04-14 08:28:03	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd8ef87…
04-14 08:26:53	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xbc1cf8…
04-14 08:25:55	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x2b7355…
04-14 07:48:13	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x07ad50…
04-14 07:47:51	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	190	12¢	$23	0x792b6e…
04-14 07:18:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0xe6fd7a…
04-11 14:41:25	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x379652…
04-09 10:17:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	76	82¢	$62	0x1fbbaf…
04-08 07:06:33	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	85	90¢	$76	0x266ac0…
04-07 14:30:13	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x01705d…
03-31 14:58:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0xb034de…
03-30 15:18:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x5c5274…
03-28 21:55:42	Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	385	62¢	$239	0x716f40…
03-28 21:46:52	Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x06171a…
03-28 19:17:54	Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf373e1…
03-28 17:35:53	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xf93b53…
03-27 21:05:39	Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x327992…
03-26 08:18:19	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x3a892f…
03-26 08:05:01	Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x64d1ae…
03-25 08:02:39	Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x2c1521…
03-24 11:19:17	Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd21783…
03-24 11:04:25	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	274	17¢	$47	0x333e02…
03-18 07:29:01	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x5ff909…
03-18 07:28:51	us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x8ee2d9…
03-18 07:28:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc80dd6…
03-14 14:34:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5308fd…
03-14 14:33:29	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x9fc675…
02-24 16:22:40	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x9e2bac…
02-24 08:30:08	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x10b2fe…
02-24 08:20:48	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x452a8e…
02-24 08:20:18	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xfc3adc…
02-24 08:11:22	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	94¢	$135	0x60ae5d…
02-24 08:10:52	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x1cc943…
02-24 07:58:48	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1ca561…
02-23 06:08:30	us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x4c6c07…
02-23 05:00:42	us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x16561e…
02-23 02:29:46	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3a648e…
02-16 08:05:29	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x9a5522…
02-16 06:39:01	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3f73e3…
02-16 00:47:13	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x2f472b…
02-13 07:16:53	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf90f22…
02-13 07:11:59	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa7a662…
02-12 13:55:09	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x9bed98…
02-12 13:51:31	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6e5d52…
02-11 06:23:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb4df12…
02-11 04:31:57	will team falcons win blast slam vi	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb473cf…
02-11 04:31:39	will team falcons win blast slam vi	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x15ef33…
02-11 04:24:43	will team falcons win blast slam vi	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x805a7c…
02-11 03:26:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x082912…
02-11 03:17:45	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x7e7233…
02-10 15:55:15	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe978d7…
02-05 07:57:39	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9a8165…
01-28 09:23:21	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xc835b8…
01-25 09:18:54	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	177	59¢	$105	0x3ae9dc…
01-25 08:41:12	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x42b53d…
01-25 07:30:52	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xf5a263…
01-24 14:15:50	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x72e816…