Realized P&L
+$20.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.50K
Hit rate
95.3%
Resolved
55
Trades
1,784
lifetime
Volume
$512.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$287
Open exposure
$27.7K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-27 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
60% 86% +$13,960
Other
40% 89% +$6,813
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +100,020 $13,295 14¢ $14.0K +$708 10-13 16:58
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5,200 $4,713 96¢ $5.0K +$253 10-24 19:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +4,620 $4,066 96¢ $4.4K +$378 10-20 22:10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +1,409 $1,279 95¢ $1.3K +$56 10-21 22:53
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,197 $1,186 8¢ $1.3K +$104 10-27 08:38
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +700 $560 78¢ $550 -$10 10-19 10:46
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +558 $541 98¢ $545 +$5 10-23 23:50
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +507 $477 95¢ $479 +$2 10-23 15:31
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$1 10-24 11:40