Tasty-Reality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

138

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-08 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

58% 46% +$34

Other

31% 43% -$45

Sports

8% 47% -$56

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes		+0	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	06-17 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	15	$50	35	35	+0	Yes	-$2	06-08 13:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	17	$49	104	104	+0	Yes	-$1	06-11 21:39
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	15	$40	36	36	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 13:50
nhl pit car 2026 03 18	1	$40	100	0	+100	Hurricanes	-$40	03-18 02:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$38	65	65	+0	Yes	+$2	06-14 06:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	13	$30	43	43	+0	No	+$1	06-18 21:12
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	12	$30	31	22	+9	Yes	+$5	06-17 22:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	8	$25	17	17	+0	No	-$1	06-18 15:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	8	$24	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	06-20 05:02
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	12	$24	37	37	+0	Yes	-$4	06-17 16:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$23	39	39	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 05:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	9	$21	45	45	+0	No	+$6	06-16 09:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$20	35	35	+0	No	-$1	06-21 04:34
nba nop sac 2026 04 03	1	$18	27	0	+27	Kings	-$18	04-02 03:09
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	3	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	06-11 17:46
lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game1	2	$17	20	20	+0	Gen.G	+$15	06-13 06:57
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	5	$16	60	10	+50	Yes	+$1	06-14 21:33
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	10	$16	65	13	+52	Yes	+$41	06-14 23:20
israel closes its airspace by june 8	6	$15	25	25	+0	No	-$1	06-08 09:44
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
dota2 lvlup1 yes 2026 06 10	4	$15	10	10	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$4	06-10 17:12
israel closes its airspace by june 9	3	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$3	06-10 01:29
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$3	06-06 20:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	6	$15	12	12	+0	No	$0	07-01 02:54
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	4	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	06-24 18:07
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	4	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$2	06-28 18:52
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	4	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	06-17 09:21
Iran leadership change by December 31?	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	4	$12	36	36	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 05:26:24	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x951350…
07-05 03:23:43	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Brandon Royval	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xc92a3e…
07-05 03:21:16	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x592515…
07-01 02:54:28	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x904c27…
07-01 02:54:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xdbd71f…
07-01 02:54:26	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x1a0fb8…
07-01 02:54:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xf1df2a…
07-01 02:54:25	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x7867ba…
07-01 02:54:23	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x53a229…
07-01 02:54:22	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x9a5498…
07-01 02:54:22	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x3cc4a0…
07-01 02:54:20	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xcea4ff…
07-01 02:54:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x56ca1a…
07-01 02:54:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x11c238…
07-01 02:54:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x4cbca2…
07-01 02:54:17	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0xb1f34c…
07-01 02:54:17	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x431a77…
07-01 02:54:16	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xaf179f…
07-01 02:54:16	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x1dce92…
07-01 02:54:14	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	36	18¢	$7	0xc8f00b…
07-01 02:54:13	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x332df8…
07-01 01:03:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x282916…
07-01 00:56:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x77b733…
07-01 00:16:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x8d70f1…
06-30 04:33:46	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd60d01…
06-30 03:50:13	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xc92df3…
06-30 03:50:11	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xa7c051…
06-29 17:43:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0a7d05…
06-29 17:43:40	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb4ffcc…
06-29 07:48:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x1a32ff…
06-29 05:48:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x329173…
06-28 22:58:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x1a9728…
06-28 18:52:04	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xabad7b…
06-28 17:03:44	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x48f90a…
06-28 15:13:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf872f2…
06-28 13:26:56	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x28912c…
06-28 09:53:31	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x858a0f…
06-28 08:06:53	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x7d21c8…
06-28 04:34:23	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xca8a56…
06-27 14:12:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbe8339…
06-27 10:39:52	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbcaa58…
06-27 08:53:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x076cd6…
06-27 03:36:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x560f94…
06-27 01:49:23	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xeb07ba…
06-26 22:18:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf64247…
06-26 17:02:20	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0068eb…
06-26 13:30:25	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x69442c…
06-26 06:32:29	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x291845…
06-26 03:05:43	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x337b08…
06-25 18:26:05	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x670ea0…
06-25 13:05:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xdffb03…
06-25 13:05:41	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xaacb99…
06-25 11:22:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x42ca5f…
06-25 01:04:02	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x20194a…
06-24 18:07:17	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x76bd5c…
06-24 16:18:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x88617e…
06-24 11:05:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xee43c8…
06-24 11:05:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2fe635…
06-24 09:23:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xc4588b…
06-24 07:39:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2f6fe0…
06-23 17:52:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x762c78…
06-23 14:21:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb0bcb2…
06-23 09:10:58	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xdb82e5…
06-22 19:45:41	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe4407e…
06-22 10:25:46	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xcc2f35…
06-22 09:52:59	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x10df8c…
06-22 08:10:29	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xb684a1…
06-22 08:04:20	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x94cc90…
06-21 21:09:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xe619ad…
06-21 19:16:59	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42d048…
06-21 15:29:52	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf53056…
06-21 10:00:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa5438c…
06-21 04:34:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x1cf863…
06-21 02:44:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x121be2…
06-20 15:35:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0f5fa1…
06-20 13:45:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x402712…
06-20 13:45:26	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x1a7ba5…
06-20 13:45:23	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xd463b5…
06-20 11:59:46	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x185ca3…
06-20 11:57:38	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x9297ef…
06-20 11:57:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xfc7166…
06-20 10:10:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x44aae4…
06-20 05:02:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x131ae3…
06-20 02:25:26	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xb75e8c…
06-20 02:12:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x48bb4d…
06-20 00:57:43	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x847e4c…
06-19 21:28:32	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x935eb9…
06-19 19:40:04	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Vitality	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x5de385…
06-19 19:40:02	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Haiti?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2919cd…
06-19 18:51:05	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x874dc7…
06-19 08:04:56	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x48131c…
06-19 06:18:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x2e5603…
06-19 04:56:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x434821…
06-19 02:30:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd03185…
06-18 23:42:05	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	Canada	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x27009e…
06-18 23:19:10	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0c3471…
06-18 22:45:20	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9c1cad…
06-18 21:12:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf8c70f…
06-18 20:49:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2e036d…
06-18 20:26:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc4c036…