Scholarly-Level — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

25.8%

Resolved

Trades

639

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-18 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

84% 17% -$4

Crypto

15% 20% -$3

Sports

1% 0% $0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$2	0¢	$2	$0	09-04 15:43
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$2	0¢	$2	$0	09-04 15:44
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,249	$3	0¢	$1	-$1	10-05 09:40
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+410	$6	0¢	$1	-$5	10-18 12:59
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+403	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	10-18 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ebola pandemic in 2026	205	$552	6,457	6,457	+0	open	—	10-02 16:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	135	$344	4,610	4,610	+0	open	—	10-15 22:25
New pandemic in 2026?	91	$317	2,128	2,128	+0	open	—	09-02 05:34
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	19	$43	188	188	+0	No	-$1	06-11 09:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$36	112	112	+0	open	—	07-25 10:03
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	11	$32	57	57	+0	open	—	07-25 22:33
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	11	$28	51	51	+0	No	+$1	06-10 13:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$26	58	58	+0	open	—	07-25 01:25
will solana dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 181	8	$26	105	105	+0	open	—	07-31 01:31
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	8	$15	35	35	+0	No	-$2	06-10 13:41
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	15	$13	2,189	1,779	+410	open	—	10-18 12:59
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	4	$12	54	54	+0	open	—	07-12 11:00
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	3	$10	61	61	+0	open	—	07-26 22:56
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	4	$9	8	8	+0	No	$0	07-19 14:42
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	9	$8	5,722	418	+5,303	open	—	09-18 08:03
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	13	$7	1,857	1,454	+403	open	—	10-18 12:59
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	07-18 23:05
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$6	806	806	+0	open	—	09-20 01:12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6	32	32	+0	No	$0	06-09 12:35
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	6	$6	110	110	+0	No	$0	05-10 21:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$6	32	32	+0	open	—	05-26 13:53
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	3	$5	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	07-03 02:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-10 22:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	16	16	+0	open	—	07-04 05:20
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 06:33
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 11:06
will ansem reach 0pt4 before 2027	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 23:10
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	6	$4	57	57	+0	No	-$1	07-19 20:07
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$3	1,731	481	+1,249	open	—	10-05 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 19?	2	$3	26	26	+0	Yes	+$1	05-17 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 12:59:45	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	403	0¢	$1	0x9d1824…
10-18 12:59:15	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	445	0¢	$1	0xbec36f…
10-15 22:32:19	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xffa79a…
10-15 22:31:28	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	0¢	$0	0x8b8357…
10-15 22:31:00	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0x215d9a…
10-15 22:25:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x88fd92…
10-05 19:00:31	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$1	0xc2185f…
10-05 19:00:02	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7d3c17…
10-05 18:59:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xbc7789…
10-05 10:14:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$3	0x2a7410…
10-05 10:13:28	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	0¢	$1	0xa143bc…
10-05 09:40:01	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	897	0¢	$1	0x227d1c…
10-05 09:39:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x9d1f10…
10-05 09:38:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x14802a…
10-02 16:18:09	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	347	0¢	$1	0xcb3110…
10-02 16:17:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x5e7ddc…
10-02 16:16:47	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x5eaebd…
10-02 16:14:51	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6bc4a5…
10-02 16:14:03	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x4ae591…
09-28 23:01:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0xee35a1…
09-28 23:01:05	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xac4108…
09-28 22:59:21	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x25b363…
09-25 14:31:38	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$3	0xb2bdd9…
09-25 14:23:53	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	352	0¢	$0	0x248f78…
09-25 14:23:23	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	0¢	$0	0xea4cab…
09-25 14:22:48	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	708	0¢	$1	0xedc68b…
09-22 12:06:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	3¢	$2	0x858b3d…
09-20 01:30:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0xd88af4…
09-20 01:29:48	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0x981fd9…
09-20 01:29:06	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x5d5b1d…
09-20 01:27:06	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	0¢	$0	0x51aae3…
09-20 01:25:03	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x6f4b1f…
09-20 01:24:18	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x8fca63…
09-20 01:16:48	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xf60815…
09-20 01:12:43	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	0¢	$1	0x6ef614…
09-18 10:51:12	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	348	0¢	$1	0xd43388…
09-18 10:50:16	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$2	0x98d376…
09-18 10:00:42	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x210e19…
09-18 10:00:04	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x3959f3…
09-18 09:59:34	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	458	0¢	$1	0x236da8…
09-18 08:03:58	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0xf6ec89…
09-18 08:03:15	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x71f4b7…
09-18 02:15:27	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	458	0¢	$2	0x67b948…
09-18 02:14:42	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x291225…
09-18 02:14:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0x70e34c…
09-16 23:34:33	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0x25216c…
09-16 23:34:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xd3ac1d…
09-16 23:31:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$3	0x3e9189…
09-16 13:01:37	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbda18e…
09-16 13:00:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xa83586…
09-15 14:09:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xdf6148…
09-15 13:59:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x71cd04…
09-15 13:59:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x6e13e3…
09-15 03:45:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb20ad5…
09-15 03:41:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0xde6162…
09-15 03:40:54	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	3¢	$4	0xcb2483…
09-15 02:49:22	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0acab6…
09-15 02:48:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x28784f…
09-15 02:47:48	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0x770670…
09-15 02:46:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0x20b93a…
09-14 13:23:48	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0x2a0253…
09-14 13:23:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xcaf177…
09-14 13:21:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x8e4afe…
09-14 12:56:52	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	3¢	$4	0xa47065…
09-14 12:47:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$3	0x4e3848…
09-14 12:25:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x8ded97…
09-13 22:13:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xcacc09…
09-13 22:12:06	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1b2123…
09-13 22:11:43	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0x98da2e…
09-13 21:41:22	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	0¢	$1	0x8c4cef…
09-13 21:39:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xeefb2f…
09-13 21:38:27	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc920a2…
09-13 21:37:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x08defe…
09-13 11:17:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xc083d8…
09-13 11:16:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x83b5c5…
09-13 11:15:40	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0x5bc179…
09-13 11:14:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	3¢	$3	0x33040f…
09-13 11:04:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$2	0xa93919…
09-13 09:56:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	3¢	$3	0x0e1fb1…
09-13 09:56:09	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	3¢	$4	0xd90c0f…
09-13 05:43:45	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$3	0x360802…
09-13 05:43:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$4	0x9d5a90…
09-13 05:32:31	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$1	0x15fdde…
09-12 03:33:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xd7fadd…
09-12 03:27:33	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xadd9bd…
09-11 17:22:42	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,180	0¢	$1	0x6d4c48…
09-11 17:22:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x50faa3…
09-11 08:57:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	3¢	$6	0xff085c…
09-11 08:44:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	3¢	$4	0xeed9f3…
09-11 07:48:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x3b8cf0…
09-11 07:40:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x225639…
09-11 07:39:30	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x3f7036…
09-11 07:36:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xdbc994…
09-11 07:35:57	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x71d21c…
09-10 05:25:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x0fe483…
09-10 05:23:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0xe21c0a…
09-09 23:17:58	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xc55051…
09-09 23:17:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x0f3fb2…
09-09 14:51:06	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xc3522b…
09-09 14:50:12	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xf35b22…