Attentive-Operator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$488

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

242

Trades

2,860

lifetime

Volume

$827.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$289

Open exposure

$3.79K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

56% 59% -$32,320

Politics

30% 65% -$6,773

Sports

10% 73% +$760

Tech

2% 100% +$203

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$218

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,794	$3,006	98¢	$3.7K	+$714	07-01 08:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,794	$455	2¢	$74	-$381	06-26 16:01
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+0	-$272	98¢	$0	+$272	06-03 17:38
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+0	-$43	4¢	$0	+$43	07-21 02:04
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+0	$160	3¢	$0	-$160	06-03 19:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	30	$48.2K	33,272	25,684	+7,588	open	—	07-01 08:27
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	19	$34.9K	26,053	18,051	+8,002	No	+$133	07-11 15:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$19.2K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	05-08 14:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	14	$19.2K	9,960	9,960	+0	No	-$175	04-20 02:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	11	$18.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$100	05-10 12:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	140	$18.5K	17,500	12,000	+5,500	Yes	-$2,135	04-07 23:26
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?	76	$18.3K	9,498	9,498	+0	No	+$174	05-17 11:59
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	43	$17.4K	12,000	11,853	+147	T1	+$40	04-26 06:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	37	$17.2K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	-$37	05-04 13:00
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	17	$17.0K	15,842	9,842	+6,000	Yes	-$3,227	01-03 08:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$15.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 09:02
trump out as president by march 31	3	$15.4K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$134	03-21 08:52
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	89	$14.6K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	06-03 17:38
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$13.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$100	07-05 21:54
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	409	$12.3K	394,855	2,855	+392,000	No	-$9,137	07-25 06:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$11.9K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	06-17 16:59
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	7	$11.8K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$80	06-14 12:10
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	5	$11.7K	10,000	10,000	-0	Yes	-$4,495	01-03 08:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$10.7K	5,425	5,425	+0	Yes	+$86	03-10 23:40
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	14	$10.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	Kansas City Royals	$0	05-23 19:47
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	4	$10.4K	8,000	8,000	+0	Louisville Cardinals	-$100	03-19 13:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$10.4K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	-$156	04-09 21:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	28	$9.8K	11,110	10,931	+179	Yes	+$67	04-13 12:59
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	25	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$177	05-19 16:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	31	$9.5K	9,508	9,508	-0	Yes	+$36	07-29 23:26
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	23	$9.2K	8,192	8,192	+0	Miami Marlins	+$34	05-25 13:33
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	2	$9.2K	8,000	8,000	+0	New York Mets	-$80	05-31 15:44
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	11	$8.7K	5,159	5,159	+0	Yes	+$1	01-02 23:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$8.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	-$3,238	04-07 22:40
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	4	$8.2K	16,527	527	+16,000	Yes	-$64	01-03 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 00:09:23	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x6d4f65…
08-07 00:09:11	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	685	2¢	$15	0x9f3ef6…
08-07 00:08:45	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	76¢	$19	0xefffaa…
08-07 00:08:29	Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x097399…
08-07 00:08:06	Will Santander fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xde6530…
08-07 00:06:36	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x2e8f9e…
08-07 00:06:35	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xeef034…
08-07 00:06:35	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	70	40¢	$28	0xc49e55…
08-07 00:06:35	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xab2bc8…
08-07 00:06:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	4,599	43¢	$1,975	0x1e78a4…
08-07 00:06:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	470	40¢	$188	0x1de90b…
08-07 00:06:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xfddf24…
08-07 00:06:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	46	40¢	$18	0xbc13dc…
08-07 00:06:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	1,000	40¢	$400	0x9fe123…
08-07 00:06:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	83	40¢	$33	0x26a4b8…
08-07 00:06:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	51	40¢	$21	0x09c327…
08-04 14:04:15	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	1,768	35¢	$619	0xf1fab9…
08-04 14:02:24	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	137	35¢	$48	0x42dc48…
08-04 14:02:21	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x30f6f4…
08-04 14:02:20	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	66	35¢	$23	0xf3c4c1…
08-04 14:02:18	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	121	35¢	$42	0xe091e6…
08-04 14:02:17	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	1,640	35¢	$574	0x601dca…
07-30 23:08:26	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	4,460	65¢	$2,899	0x7f907e…
07-30 18:53:27	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	72	38¢	$27	0x22f992…
07-30 17:05:32	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x4e7d49…
07-30 08:46:21	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x5531c3…
07-29 23:28:32	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	SELL	128	29¢	$37	0x557716…
07-29 23:27:03	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0x5d0b72…
07-29 23:26:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	715	52¢	$372	0x71ec15…
07-29 22:52:56	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	616	38¢	$234	0x4a56ba…
07-29 22:08:09	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	277	38¢	$105	0x6f2e12…
07-25 06:45:21	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x12cf5f…
07-25 06:45:19	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x3fd104…
07-25 06:45:16	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x783c7f…
07-25 06:45:13	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x9d7c29…
07-25 06:45:10	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x7b0dc2…
07-25 06:45:09	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x4ed77b…
07-25 06:45:06	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0xd4cdf4…
07-25 06:45:04	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x5c1cbd…
07-25 06:45:00	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0xb407ee…
07-25 06:44:58	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0xa6881a…
07-25 06:44:55	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x04bc62…
07-25 06:44:52	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0xc20603…
07-25 06:44:49	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x44ede5…
07-25 06:44:46	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$49	0x45b838…
07-25 06:44:45	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x0fc281…
07-25 06:44:42	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0xaa12b3…
07-25 06:44:40	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x4868b8…
07-25 06:44:36	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x4e2770…
07-25 06:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0xaef370…
07-25 06:44:31	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x3243cc…
07-25 06:44:30	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x4a9d0d…
07-25 06:44:27	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x728cd8…
07-25 06:44:24	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x919331…
07-25 06:44:21	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0xd5fec5…
07-25 06:44:18	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0x185839…
07-25 06:44:16	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$43	0x06591f…
07-25 06:44:13	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0xca5fcb…
07-25 06:44:10	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0x3932b7…
07-25 06:44:09	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0x2d020a…
07-25 06:44:06	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0x7290ea…
07-25 06:44:04	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$43	0xcd70e3…
07-25 06:44:00	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$42	0x52f347…
07-25 06:43:58	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$43	0xaf1fb8…
07-25 06:43:55	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$43	0x012738…
07-25 06:43:52	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$43	0x915645…
07-25 06:43:51	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$42	0xc3bbfe…
07-25 06:43:48	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$42	0xbc2ea4…
07-25 06:43:45	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0xae246f…
07-25 06:43:42	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0xe1c5ac…
07-25 06:43:40	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x75dba4…
07-25 06:43:37	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$42	0xd9a74d…
07-25 06:43:34	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x61ed61…
07-25 06:43:31	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0xafb1aa…
07-25 06:43:28	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0xa2f805…
07-25 06:43:25	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x523161…
07-25 06:43:24	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x9a489e…
07-25 06:43:21	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x66d393…
07-25 06:43:18	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x1a1a19…
07-25 06:43:15	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0xb7a9b9…
07-25 06:43:13	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x603d73…
07-25 06:43:10	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x2f4c15…
07-25 06:43:07	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x8c7d6e…
07-25 06:43:04	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x429ab4…
07-25 06:43:03	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$43	0x58540c…
07-25 06:43:00	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0xea4fa9…
07-25 06:42:58	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0xf84d49…
07-25 06:42:54	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x70a0c2…
07-25 06:42:52	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x5f9b1d…
07-25 06:42:49	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0xdce5f4…
07-25 06:42:46	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x9f7ea5…
07-25 06:42:43	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x640e7f…
07-25 06:42:40	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x3b0468…
07-25 06:42:37	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x71abe8…
07-25 06:42:36	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x8dec55…
07-25 06:42:33	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0xdd4ec3…
07-25 06:42:30	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x34dd0e…
07-25 06:42:28	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0xba03c8…
07-25 06:42:25	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x73bab5…
07-25 06:42:22	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0xfe0a80…