Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,759

3,682 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$51.6K

$120.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-26

last 11-01 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$255

Politics

40% 100% +$25

Tech

6% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	81	$5.4K	3,211	3,211	+0	open	—	11-01 15:19
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	38	$3.6K	2,256	2,217	+40	open	—	11-01 14:43
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	14	$3.0K	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	11-01 00:11
Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	31	$2.9K	1,721	1,721	+0	open	—	10-19 12:14
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	26	$2.1K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	10-15 17:03
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	24	$1.9K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	10-22 03:15
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	12	$1.8K	1,032	1,032	-0	open	—	10-21 05:23
Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	27	$1.6K	1,453	1,453	+0	open	—	10-20 10:42
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?	21	$1.5K	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	10-28 02:23
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?	21	$1.3K	743	743	+0	open	—	10-26 02:28
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	876	876	+0	open	—	10-19 12:54
Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	14	$1.2K	827	827	+0	No	+$22	10-20 03:35
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?	29	$1.1K	839	603	+237	open	—	11-01 04:28
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	5	$996	632	632	-0	open	—	10-24 03:53
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	23	$879	637	637	+0	open	—	10-21 18:42
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	23	$876	718	718	+0	open	—	11-01 03:53
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	30	$806	571	571	+0	open	—	10-28 17:03
Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?	27	$795	474	474	+0	open	—	10-06 19:51
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?	6	$689	413	413	+0	No	+$19	10-19 23:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	16	$671	453	453	+0	open	—	09-27 19:45
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	39	$669	702	702	+0	open	—	10-29 21:52
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	12	$655	371	371	+0	open	—	10-25 20:34
Will PPI YoY be 5.7% in September?	25	$645	444	444	+0	No	+$26	10-08 05:32
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	22	$644	391	578	-187	open	—	10-13 05:53
Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	11	$642	395	395	+0	Yes	+$6	10-24 08:36
Will John Goodman be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	8	$622	380	380	+0	open	—	10-20 09:59
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	3	$614	340	340	+0	open	—	10-19 12:39
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	8	$608	340	340	+0	open	—	10-28 05:57
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	15	$599	370	370	+0	open	—	10-28 06:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	12	$593	397	397	+0	open	—	10-10 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:19:07	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	70	86¢	$60	0x4b5d98…
11-01 15:16:34	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	27	83¢	$23	0x322421…
11-01 15:12:45	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x001fef…
11-01 15:11:39	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$59	0x2cdb4e…
11-01 15:11:37	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xdb886e…
11-01 15:11:37	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x0259b4…
11-01 14:54:49	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	49	83¢	$41	0x394c12…
11-01 14:49:28	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x48142f…
11-01 14:45:12	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	39	83¢	$33	0xcdf62c…
11-01 14:43:55	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0x4cbae7…
11-01 14:43:40	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xecce90…
11-01 14:43:18	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x07c24b…
11-01 14:41:52	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x28c778…
11-01 14:41:33	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	65	84¢	$55	0xfde8c4…
11-01 14:38:43	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	34	81¢	$27	0xd5f264…
11-01 14:37:40	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	116	68¢	$79	0xfb018d…
11-01 14:36:33	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xd40f4e…
11-01 14:36:00	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x9158af…
11-01 14:35:43	Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6b0654…
11-01 14:32:57	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	116	66¢	$77	0x3a3b7f…
11-01 14:32:52	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	120	66¢	$79	0x07d973…
11-01 14:24:33	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	65	69¢	$45	0xf23ff3…
11-01 14:21:52	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	65	65¢	$42	0xedb466…
11-01 14:17:45	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0xfe7b9d…
11-01 14:17:00	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xe33ab1…
11-01 14:17:00	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x394fc1…
11-01 14:12:16	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	39	83¢	$33	0x1c201b…
11-01 14:03:22	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xdef8b8…
11-01 14:03:00	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x5388db…
11-01 14:01:46	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x2c7310…
11-01 13:50:19	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	SELL	36	82¢	$29	0xdf6b13…
11-01 13:38:01	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xd9a5ce…
11-01 13:34:39	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xf97f32…
11-01 13:09:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x7dc0dd…
11-01 12:56:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xa839da…
11-01 12:56:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x4362e3…
11-01 12:56:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x283d02…
11-01 12:53:22	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	519	84¢	$436	0x01fe98…
11-01 12:53:09	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	31	83¢	$25	0x04ae6c…
11-01 12:51:30	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xa1f396…
11-01 12:51:30	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x406832…
11-01 12:51:00	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x4e46c8…
11-01 12:50:55	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x821e79…
11-01 12:50:22	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x86c89d…
11-01 12:43:28	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x58f89f…
11-01 12:20:54	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	209	86¢	$180	0x61506e…
11-01 12:20:15	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	209	84¢	$176	0xeaab96…
11-01 12:19:51	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	66	82¢	$54	0x6b6633…
11-01 12:19:45	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x918d13…
11-01 12:01:18	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x4b2d1d…
11-01 12:01:15	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	97	84¢	$81	0x457bd2…
11-01 12:01:12	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0x42dde7…
11-01 12:01:09	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0xd0a74d…
11-01 12:01:00	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	97	84¢	$81	0x25b6ed…
11-01 11:59:36	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x9e2081…
11-01 11:59:31	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0x148aa1…
11-01 11:55:51	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	102	82¢	$83	0x0e7f5d…
11-01 11:54:43	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0x20e511…
11-01 11:54:37	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	120	80¢	$96	0xc9da9c…
11-01 11:51:06	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x49dc4d…
11-01 11:50:18	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x523bf5…
11-01 11:50:13	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0xd41ba2…
11-01 11:50:10	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xa62597…
11-01 11:49:49	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x7581b4…
11-01 11:49:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$14	0xfc12c1…
11-01 11:49:43	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x47abb4…
11-01 11:49:40	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x51bb0f…
11-01 11:49:24	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xa1b3ea…
11-01 11:48:40	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	56	83¢	$47	0xfd1858…
11-01 11:48:37	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	63	82¢	$51	0x726a83…
11-01 11:38:43	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	85	81¢	$69	0x1e284d…
11-01 10:52:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6316e7…
11-01 10:21:04	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe918db…
11-01 10:09:03	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	42	66¢	$28	0x03d6ba…
11-01 10:02:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xb29bdb…
11-01 08:56:42	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xf2f823…
11-01 08:56:42	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x8e6304…
11-01 08:56:16	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0x2b9c99…
11-01 08:56:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xcbefca…
11-01 08:56:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xc67ce8…
11-01 08:56:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x10b93e…
11-01 08:55:43	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd743c9…
11-01 08:51:34	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x488e9f…
11-01 08:51:25	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6f5432…
11-01 08:39:42	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	564	84¢	$474	0x993ab0…
11-01 08:39:13	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x1d067d…
11-01 08:23:37	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x48999a…
11-01 08:22:39	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x8b3ae5…
11-01 08:22:36	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0xf5457c…
11-01 08:22:30	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa6b8bc…
11-01 08:22:24	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0xe196bc…
11-01 08:22:21	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0xaf5095…
11-01 08:22:18	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	42	77¢	$33	0x099995…
11-01 08:21:52	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x015d53…
11-01 08:21:49	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0xaca20c…
11-01 08:21:45	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0x898284…
11-01 08:21:42	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x1a5c7a…
11-01 08:21:37	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x58a52e…
11-01 08:21:31	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	155	80¢	$124	0x75cb07…
11-01 08:21:28	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	No	BUY	195	80¢	$156	0xae6210…