(anonymous) 0xa24d77…7c7857 Create alert
whale 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$639
Unrealized P&L
-$647
Hit rate
99.1%
Resolved
107
Trades
4,240
lifetime
Volume
$135.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-26
last 11-13 01:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
53% 96% +$515
Politics
39% 96% +$84
Tech
6% 100% +$16
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$23
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +392 $312 48¢ $186 -$126 11-07 11:14
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by December 31? No +226 $173 69¢ $156 -$17 11-08 06:23
Will Gemini Krypton debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +180 $127 74¢ $134 +$8 11-11 12:46
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? No +363 $147 32¢ $116 -$31 11-03 04:56
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +146 $59 57¢ $83 +$24 11-06 01:49
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +93 $68 74¢ $68 +$0 11-12 18:20
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds dip to 20% by December 31? No +97 $54 60¢ $59 +$5 11-11 14:55
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown? No +80 $54 72¢ $57 +$3 11-09 10:54
Will Gemini Krypton debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +312 $49 15¢ $47 -$2 11-11 09:49
Vance's Republican nomination odds dip to 25% by December 31? Yes +119 $42 36¢ $43 +$1 11-13 02:23
Will "Spilled Milk" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $42 83¢ $42 $0 11-09 08:54
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +592 $113 6¢ $38 -$75 10-29 03:25
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? No +40 -$21 74¢ $29 +$50 11-01 14:43
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +163 $27 15¢ $24 -$3 10-25 18:30
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 50% by March 31? Yes +245 $22 9¢ $22 +$0 11-10 23:40
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31? No +43 $14 46¢ $20 +$6 11-12 17:38
White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31? Yes +115 $38 16¢ $18 -$20 10-27 00:17
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? No +109 $48 15¢ $16 -$31 11-11 01:54
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 20%-25%? No +118 $86 12¢ $15 -$71 11-03 05:00
Another NVIDIA board member announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? Yes +161 $14 9¢ $14 +$0 11-13 01:55
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%? No +201 $150 5¢ $11 -$140 11-02 14:16
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 8% by December 31? Yes +40 $13 24¢ $10 -$4 11-10 15:04
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +45 $2 20¢ $9 +$7 10-29 00:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%? No +110 $82 6¢ $6 -$76 10-31 12:49
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? No +85 $26 8¢ $6 -$19 11-02 12:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 18, 2026? No +37 $5 16¢ $6 +$1 11-10 23:25
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%? No +184 $133 3¢ $5 -$127 11-03 16:18
Will Jensen Huang publicly testify before Congress by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 26¢ $5 +$1 11-13 02:33
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15? Yes +73 $10 6¢ $5 -$6 11-10 16:30
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher? No +179 $9 2¢ $4 -$5 11-12 20:16