(anonymous) 0xa24d77…7c7857 Create alert
whale 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$460
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved (90d)
72
Trades (90d)
3,226
3,226 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$105.3K
$105.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$559
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-26
last 11-07 11:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
53% 95% +$413
Politics
40% 89% +$18
Tech
6% 100% +$6
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? No +363 $147 30¢ $109 -$38 11-03 04:56
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +146 $59 62¢ $90 +$31 11-06 01:49
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%? No +184 $133 36¢ $65 -$67 11-03 16:18
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +592 $113 10¢ $59 -$54 10-29 03:25
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +80 $50 66¢ $52 +$2 10-29 05:27
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +163 $27 21¢ $34 +$7 10-25 18:30
White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31? Yes +115 $38 26¢ $30 -$8 10-27 00:17
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? No +40 -$21 74¢ $29 +$50 11-01 14:43
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? Yes +60 $30 48¢ $29 -$1 11-07 03:33
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31? Yes +160 $20 14¢ $22 +$1 11-04 22:04
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? No +85 $26 16¢ $14 -$12 11-02 12:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 9%-12%? No +13 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 11-05 14:17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 18, 2026? No +40 $6 16¢ $7 +$1 11-05 00:31
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? Yes +28 $2 14¢ $4 +$2 11-04 14:30
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? No +246 -$7 1¢ $3 +$10 10-29 17:41
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +45 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-29 00:51
Will Trump issue 30+ vetoes by December 31, 2027? No +0 -$6 84¢ $0 +$7 11-05 10:39
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +0 -$65 96¢ $0 +$65 10-21 18:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 9%-12%? No +0 -$3 77¢ $0 +$3 11-01 01:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? No +0 -$18 100¢ $0 +$18 09-27 19:45
will any 2027 oscar award result in a tie No +0 -$11 88¢ $0 +$11 11-03 14:43
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 25%-30%? No +0 -$2 76¢ $0 +$2 10-24 07:40
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? Yes +0 -$29 99¢ $0 +$29 10-28 17:03
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No +0 -$11 28¢ $0 +$11 11-01 22:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%? No +0 -$15 36¢ $0 +$15 10-10 06:53