Traumatic-Economy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

2,383

Trades

2,576

lifetime

Volume

$115.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-25 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Other

80% 99% +$46

Sports

16% 99% +$18

Crypto

3% 99% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	1	$219	220	0	+220	No	+$1	05-25 01:51
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	3	$150	100	50	+50	Ursa	+$0	03-14 12:43
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	3	$150	100	50	+50	Team Vitality	+$0	03-14 12:43
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$100	50	50	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 12:45
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	4	$100	50	50	+0	Masarova	+$0	03-14 15:19
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:27
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 12:45
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:51
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f0c19…
10-25 15:52:41	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0874b2…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4276de…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x368498…
10-24 16:59:05	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0dee10…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe982c6…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f968c…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37a134…
10-23 19:42:09	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x754a51…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x906a6e…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1db705…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaf0c00…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbcc318…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed6c39…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xedc02d…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x705617…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x17f11c…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x13da31…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf6ab2d…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52498b…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9168e6…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0d277…
10-17 13:14:11	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x14a7f9…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcea1bf…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x088d45…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4685a2…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd8e851…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x00b8d3…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5fec79…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4f6e2f…
10-13 18:15:40	Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b512d…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9358a6…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8dea6f…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xca6e90…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x07eb35…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa27250…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xea7bcc…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x516073…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x821e57…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1ecef…
10-11 05:32:33	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd36f57…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc0b28e…
10-11 04:54:45	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x57a8b9…
10-10 23:31:07	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa01361…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bc0bb…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b6c42…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb7a060…
10-09 18:57:59	W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin	Amandine Monnot	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x71eea4…
10-09 14:48:45	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x36a93c…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34a155…
10-08 07:10:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xef5c72…
10-08 05:27:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x63cec6…
10-07 19:16:34	W35 Las Vegas, NV: Anastasia Kulikova vs Anastasia Abbagnato	Anastasia Abbagnato	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x859f7d…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x839290…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff9364…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa06af7…
10-06 20:36:56	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x55b746…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d096b…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x67f52a…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x22eb39…
10-06 06:16:07	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Qatar vs Thailand	Qatar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b30c4…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b64fe…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a3c15…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x30aafc…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9de9ac…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xca1bd8…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb59f…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf366c0…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe3183f…
10-03 05:56:15	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Camila Osorio	Coco Gauff	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8bd4a9…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x38e72e…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04e871…
10-02 21:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7da923…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x74913d…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x07e8e2…
10-02 14:15:35	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc050b6…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x55c97d…
10-02 14:12:32	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7975a…
10-02 13:03:30	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x970279…
10-02 06:25:15	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5d121…
10-01 22:18:32	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x81b994…
10-01 21:20:53	Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd412d1…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5183b…
10-01 21:09:03	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x942338…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7bb38…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x574ab1…
10-01 19:32:57	Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03ba33…
10-01 18:37:50	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa901ab…
10-01 17:38:14	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	mellren	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa360f5…
10-01 17:28:59	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winner	Yawara Esports	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x46d261…
10-01 14:34:00	cs2 maybe ep 2026 10 01	maybe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab83c7…
10-01 14:12:20	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeef402…
10-01 12:03:44	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13ccc7…
10-01 11:30:08	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb8de80…
10-01 09:00:11	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe8ca04…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e403b…
10-01 06:02:36	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x267d7f…
10-01 05:18:42	atp biryuko sweeny 2026 09 30	Dane Sweeny	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67d435…
10-01 05:11:08	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6fbe4c…
10-01 05:00:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x15b551…