Unwitting-Scratch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-08 20:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

34% 100% +$2

Other

33% 100% +$0

Politics

18% — —

Tech

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	1	$144	144	+144	open	—	06-08 20:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$143	144	+144	open	—	06-02 17:40
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$76	77	+77	open	—	05-27 21:59
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$75	77	+77	open	—	05-26 08:47
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$71	75	+75	open	—	05-20 22:08
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$31	33	+33	No	+$2	04-14 01:49
amzn above 290 on january 30 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	01-23 20:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$30	31	+31	open	—	05-19 07:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	05-15 08:29
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	05-14 20:05
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	05-10 10:04
nvda above 240 on january 30 2026	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	01-08 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-29 01:00
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	01-17 09:38
si above 40 jan 2026	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	01-11 16:27
will chainlink dip to 6 in march	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	04-01 00:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	04-21 20:43
msft above 555 on january 30 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	01-14 01:32
msft above 405 on january 30 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-12 14:51
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-19 01:33
msft above 570 on january 30 2026	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	01-16 10:19
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-20 15:06
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-21 06:48
msft above 585 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-22 16:05
nflx above 20 on february 27 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-01 17:52
googl above 360 on february 27 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-20 14:11
nflx above 100 on february 27 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-20 22:02
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-24 21:04
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-09 23:09
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	02-21 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:34:43	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x2a8c4e…
06-02 17:40:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x3119a0…
05-29 01:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3c8b62…
05-27 21:59:57	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x5d6bd9…
05-26 08:47:24	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x166b88…
05-20 22:08:57	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x3bbc38…
05-19 07:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$30	0xfacc1f…
05-17 13:33:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x0661f4…
05-15 08:29:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbd1aa9…
05-14 20:05:30	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf43ad3…
05-10 10:04:03	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x5ede3a…
05-09 23:09:14	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x076729…
05-09 14:11:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc58718…
05-08 16:13:16	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7a9b6…
05-06 02:43:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7a452a…
04-29 08:27:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8bca08…
04-26 02:48:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x850978…
04-23 23:18:56	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8f0d6c…
04-23 01:56:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb4a36…
04-23 01:50:42	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x071f46…
04-23 00:15:56	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1cd3d3…
04-22 23:15:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbd7715…
04-22 15:35:22	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cb9ce…
04-21 20:43:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x903236…
04-19 01:38:36	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdadfe1…
04-18 21:38:30	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e1a75…
04-18 18:58:36	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6f41f3…
04-18 15:31:52	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x55e268…
04-17 16:03:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef236d…
04-17 04:15:28	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd47987…
04-16 05:08:12	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51aff4…
04-15 02:01:40	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf840b7…
04-14 02:22:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc79609…
04-14 01:49:33	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xe123f2…
04-13 12:36:43	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9fa9b8…
04-13 06:08:41	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x380d4d…
04-11 16:08:25	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90698d…
04-11 12:29:57	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0a66c6…
04-11 07:24:41	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe088d6…
04-11 05:14:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa32fc8…
04-11 03:21:31	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x728ab0…
04-10 06:38:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86e2db…
04-08 20:09:23	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe7dff4…
04-07 10:41:13	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xf897f4…
04-06 13:57:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x64061a…
04-06 09:40:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3efb1c…
04-01 00:04:07	will chainlink dip to 6 in march	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x78769c…
03-30 17:26:47	pltr above 126 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcb5c0…
03-30 11:30:18	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x421397…
03-29 19:16:10	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f70f6…
03-29 09:26:44	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad4381…
03-27 19:21:15	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb9c74…
03-27 16:25:53	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc60217…
03-27 15:23:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa2836e…
03-26 09:40:17	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9765ab…
03-26 08:19:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf829cc…
03-25 20:23:29	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18a12b…
03-25 13:48:27	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xacbdf1…
03-24 21:04:49	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x17019b…
03-23 19:41:03	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7fd91…
03-23 16:35:37	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2be59…
03-23 16:11:49	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa69b08…
03-23 08:19:35	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe6f2ec…
03-23 03:02:21	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0de162…
03-23 00:54:09	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2d5fd4…
03-21 06:34:23	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1b8dd5…
03-12 17:39:25	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7d3fc…
03-11 01:34:21	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x529ccd…
03-10 04:22:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1f2eef…
03-10 03:34:43	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7af1da…
03-09 18:26:59	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2606cb…
03-09 12:21:11	googl above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x77263b…
03-09 01:11:01	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x96a3ba…
03-08 23:18:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbdfee6…
03-08 05:30:53	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73b248…
03-07 13:14:07	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x134c6c…
03-07 08:49:33	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9fb0ff…
03-07 06:27:35	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x237f52…
03-07 05:58:29	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x74ff87…
03-05 15:17:15	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x477d4f…
03-04 00:07:51	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf125bd…
02-24 11:43:36	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x817c8f…
02-24 11:28:18	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c7f85…
02-24 08:29:22	will solana reach 170 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x60355b…
02-24 03:45:50	amzn above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4be1e2…
02-23 22:44:30	aapl above 300 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe4154…
02-23 17:52:54	will solana reach 180 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b67ed…
02-23 03:27:44	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x827840…
02-21 06:55:50	will solana reach 130 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb9e1f8…
02-21 06:48:20	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x1e2146…
02-21 00:32:12	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xafa8cc…
02-20 23:52:34	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c58c6…
02-20 22:02:08	nflx above 100 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xae550b…
02-20 14:11:04	googl above 360 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x98526a…
02-08 22:24:25	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x249895…
02-01 17:52:28	nflx above 20 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcd6d22…
01-23 20:09:26	amzn above 290 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x83854e…
01-22 16:05:32	msft above 585 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb738d…
01-20 15:06:10	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33ca0b…
01-19 01:33:50	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdccb89…