Unwitting-Scratch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$2.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-16 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Crypto

22% 100% +$2

Politics

15% — —

Tech

13% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$155	156	+156	open	—	08-06 12:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$151	152	+152	open	—	08-15 12:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$150	152	+152	open	—	08-13 15:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$149	150	+150	open	—	08-11 11:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$148	150	+150	open	—	08-12 09:11
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	1	$144	144	+144	open	—	06-08 20:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$143	144	+144	open	—	06-02 17:40
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	1	$123	124	+124	open	—	06-25 22:18
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$76	77	+77	open	—	05-27 21:59
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$75	77	+77	open	—	05-26 08:47
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$71	75	+75	open	—	05-20 22:08
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$61	64	+64	open	—	07-28 04:51
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$46	48	+48	open	—	07-30 15:14
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$31	33	+33	No	+$2	04-14 01:49
amzn above 290 on january 30 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	01-23 20:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$30	31	+31	open	—	05-19 07:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	05-15 08:29
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	05-14 20:05
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	05-10 10:04
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	1	$27	27	+27	open	—	06-28 14:40
will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	06-30 01:14
will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	06-29 02:34
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	1	$23	24	+24	open	—	06-29 03:06
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$22	23	+23	open	—	06-26 02:02
nvda above 240 on january 30 2026	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	01-08 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-29 01:00
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	01-17 09:38
si above 40 jan 2026	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	01-11 16:27
will chainlink dip to 6 in march	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	04-01 00:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	04-21 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 11:41:45	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x113519…
08-15 16:30:15	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2661c9…
08-15 12:40:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0xfeab69…
08-14 04:55:18	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f8aa2…
08-13 15:52:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x80d44e…
08-12 09:11:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xeb0623…
08-11 11:05:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x32879c…
08-09 02:39:18	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa9747a…
08-06 12:28:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0x0ac842…
08-04 07:38:03	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd68f8a…
07-30 15:14:42	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$46	0x18876e…
07-28 04:51:07	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x253aa5…
07-26 04:36:28	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe5a0c7…
07-26 02:20:42	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa2d594…
07-25 14:28:07	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5dc0d5…
07-23 20:35:43	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2241e5…
07-22 00:10:07	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5e0a1…
07-20 23:49:40	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfa4442…
07-19 18:18:27	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xee3247…
07-17 06:21:19	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x83faea…
07-13 09:32:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe1e927…
07-11 08:08:53	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe4f7bf…
06-30 01:14:29	will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2adc0b…
06-29 11:02:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x803730…
06-29 10:02:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x963962…
06-29 03:06:46	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xee88ac…
06-29 02:34:14	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x111eaa…
06-28 14:40:38	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe96243…
06-26 02:02:11	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x6375f2…
06-25 22:18:34	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x86bf2f…
06-08 20:34:43	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x2a8c4e…
06-02 17:40:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x3119a0…
05-29 01:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3c8b62…
05-27 21:59:57	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x5d6bd9…
05-26 08:47:24	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x166b88…
05-20 22:08:57	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x3bbc38…
05-19 07:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$30	0xfacc1f…
05-17 13:33:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x0661f4…
05-15 08:29:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbd1aa9…
05-14 20:05:30	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf43ad3…
05-10 10:04:03	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x5ede3a…
05-09 23:09:14	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x076729…
05-09 14:11:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc58718…
05-08 16:13:16	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7a9b6…
05-06 02:43:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7a452a…
04-29 08:27:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8bca08…
04-26 02:48:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x850978…
04-23 23:18:56	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8f0d6c…
04-23 01:56:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb4a36…
04-23 01:50:42	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x071f46…
04-23 00:15:56	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1cd3d3…
04-22 23:15:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbd7715…
04-22 15:35:22	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cb9ce…
04-21 20:43:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x903236…
04-19 01:38:36	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdadfe1…
04-18 21:38:30	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e1a75…
04-18 18:58:36	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6f41f3…
04-18 15:31:52	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x55e268…
04-17 16:03:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef236d…
04-17 04:15:28	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd47987…
04-16 05:08:12	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51aff4…
04-15 02:01:40	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf840b7…
04-14 02:22:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc79609…
04-14 01:49:33	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xe123f2…
04-13 12:36:43	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9fa9b8…
04-13 06:08:41	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x380d4d…
04-11 16:08:25	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90698d…
04-11 12:29:57	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0a66c6…
04-11 07:24:41	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe088d6…
04-11 05:14:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa32fc8…
04-11 03:21:31	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x728ab0…
04-10 06:38:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86e2db…
04-08 20:09:23	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe7dff4…
04-07 10:41:13	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xf897f4…
04-06 13:57:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x64061a…
04-06 09:40:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3efb1c…
04-01 00:04:07	will chainlink dip to 6 in march	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x78769c…
03-30 17:26:47	pltr above 126 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcb5c0…
03-30 11:30:18	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x421397…
03-29 19:16:10	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f70f6…
03-29 09:26:44	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad4381…
03-27 19:21:15	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb9c74…
03-27 16:25:53	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc60217…
03-27 15:23:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa2836e…
03-26 09:40:17	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9765ab…
03-26 08:19:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf829cc…
03-25 20:23:29	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18a12b…
03-25 13:48:27	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xacbdf1…
03-24 21:04:49	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x17019b…
03-23 19:41:03	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7fd91…
03-23 16:35:37	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2be59…
03-23 16:11:49	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa69b08…
03-23 08:19:35	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe6f2ec…
03-23 03:02:21	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0de162…
03-23 00:54:09	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2d5fd4…
03-21 06:34:23	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1b8dd5…
03-12 17:39:25	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7d3fc…
03-11 01:34:21	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x529ccd…
03-10 04:22:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1f2eef…
03-10 03:34:43	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7af1da…