Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$105
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$65
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-17 15:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68%
Politics
32%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-9 87¢ $-9 +$0 06-09 21:38
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -9 $-8 91¢ $-8 $-0 07-17 15:55
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$0 06-25 19:16
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 $-0 07-06 09:31
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -8 $-7 83¢ $-7 +$0 06-05 06:38
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 92¢ $-6 +$0 06-28 09:22
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No -6 $-5 89¢ $-5 $-0 06-17 01:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -6 $-5 88¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 02:48
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -7 $-3 65¢ $-5 $-1 06-06 17:02
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +21 $4 11¢ $2 $-1 06-16 21:25
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-22 00:35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 09:42