Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$84

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

302

689 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.93K

$5.37K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-06

last 11-02 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

73% 18% -$270

Politics

19% 16% -$72

Tech

4% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No		+2	$0	24¢	$0	+$0	07-09 09:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	13	$181	251	251	+0	open	—	11-01 14:49
Will Bill Tierney win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?	8	$112	140	140	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 01:04
Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	5	$109	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 21:35
Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$108	150	150	+0	open	—	10-31 12:20
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	3	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	07-08 02:43
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	3	$97	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-16 13:36
will canvas valuation hit low 35b by december 31	2	$89	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	07-08 14:56
will betboom make a roster change before september 20260623161949704	8	$83	60	60	+0	No	-$19	07-16 13:43
exponential time hypothesis disproof confirmed by june 30 2027	8	$82	79	79	+0	open	—	10-28 02:33
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	3	$77	60	60	+0	No	+$1	07-07 09:42
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	2	$74	60	60	+0	open	—	07-07 21:06
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	3	$67	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	07-07 18:06
Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	10	$66	80	80	+0	No	$0	10-08 13:28
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	3	$59	60	60	+0	Yes	-$13	07-16 13:43
over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	2	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	07-12 11:10
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	4	$56	60	60	+0	Yes	-$30	07-16 12:13
will krakens valuation hit high 15b by december 31	2	$56	60	60	+0	open	—	07-15 10:57
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	4	$56	100	100	+0	open	—	11-01 04:18
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?	4	$55	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-08 18:27
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?	2	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-08 07:47
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	10	$52	100	100	+0	No	-$5	09-09 05:08
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	5	$52	48	48	+0	Yes	-$2	07-12 10:35
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	2	$52	55	55	+0	Yes	+$1	07-07 16:49
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	5	$51	46	46	+0	No	+$1	07-07 16:38
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in july 20260626154217427	3	$50	36	36	+0	Yes	-$1	07-09 14:35
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	6	$50	60	60	+0	open	—	10-28 03:44
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	2	$50	36	36	+0	open	—	07-09 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?	4	$49	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-08 16:21
will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt35b	2	$48	48	6	+42	Yes	-$43	07-13 07:27
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	3	$47	50	50	+0	open	—	10-30 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:42:24	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xe1175d…
11-02 12:26:21	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x77f917…
11-02 12:23:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x5e00c6…
11-02 12:22:22	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9a3c06…
11-02 11:42:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x10fa7a…
11-02 11:22:13	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xc192f8…
11-02 10:53:22	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x4850d2…
11-02 10:53:21	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x57e70d…
11-02 09:07:00	Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?	No	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xceb917…
11-02 08:40:52	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xefa524…
11-02 08:17:42	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1600 and $4.1699 on November 2?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa3991a…
11-02 07:26:12	Will kiNgg play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x170e74…
11-02 06:40:36	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xdeff7c…
11-02 06:25:57	Will kiNgg play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xba3103…
11-02 05:49:28	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x5fec0f…
11-02 05:38:01	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe376a0…
11-02 05:34:27	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xca5c2f…
11-02 03:49:01	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x698500…
11-02 03:12:31	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x82ea32…
11-02 02:55:06	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x075894…
11-02 01:09:10	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x71a045…
11-02 00:19:01	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6230c0…
11-01 23:48:21	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd042f5…
11-01 23:22:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x26e086…
11-01 21:47:03	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0xfea561…
11-01 21:46:57	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x24d39b…
11-01 19:49:55	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x5e4011…
11-01 19:37:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xb54b20…
11-01 18:38:42	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xeace3e…
11-01 18:29:39	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0xdac8d8…
11-01 15:53:13	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x120878…
11-01 15:18:37	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0xbd8a2c…
11-01 15:18:37	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x253977…
11-01 14:49:13	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x60ad6b…
11-01 14:39:45	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x1b6620…
11-01 13:37:46	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xdc5abb…
11-01 13:37:06	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x56cc2c…
11-01 13:19:25	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x18e55e…
11-01 13:13:28	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x93aa99…
11-01 13:13:28	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x6dd8c2…
11-01 13:13:16	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xac0fcd…
11-01 12:56:55	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3d5369…
11-01 12:51:21	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x44668d…
11-01 12:47:49	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x7e919e…
11-01 12:45:33	Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xa07440…
11-01 12:35:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 550,000 and 600,000?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9c4e0f…
11-01 12:21:45	Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x34295b…
11-01 11:43:39	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe8978d…
11-01 10:39:43	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xaba790…
11-01 10:34:46	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 550,000 and 600,000?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd2af38…
11-01 10:03:09	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x143454…
11-01 09:45:00	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x979087…
11-01 09:09:13	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x176f92…
11-01 08:08:58	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd4ee6f…
11-01 07:59:30	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x645af4…
11-01 07:08:24	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0xafe120…
11-01 06:51:49	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xe1aaa3…
11-01 04:18:40	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xe88f33…
11-01 04:10:40	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x705fca…
11-01 03:08:33	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6a3a9c…
11-01 02:51:55	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xf9b23f…
11-01 02:08:39	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xaaa5e1…
11-01 02:07:25	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2cc0aa…
11-01 00:34:07	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xf0a949…
10-31 23:38:21	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x0a32a3…
10-31 23:18:01	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xcf7956…
10-31 22:37:09	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x93b5da…
10-31 21:56:15	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4886ab…
10-31 21:56:15	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x169f00…
10-31 21:56:13	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xba2b2f…
10-31 20:42:57	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	No	SELL	49	21¢	$10	0x075103…
10-31 20:36:06	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xf69f5f…
10-31 20:34:34	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x1f3b35…
10-31 19:42:37	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	No	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0x40b3cd…
10-31 19:30:21	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x47b222…
10-31 18:35:57	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xcf56be…
10-31 18:35:57	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xbe949c…
10-31 18:23:03	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x2a61bc…
10-31 17:53:55	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xbd216d…
10-31 17:20:27	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x26a0dc…
10-31 17:06:30	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0x0dcf2f…
10-31 16:29:48	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x904ae3…
10-31 16:12:04	Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xfcea1e…
10-31 15:51:43	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x60ffb1…
10-31 15:50:28	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x5c57b6…
10-31 15:40:09	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xbd94f4…
10-31 15:40:09	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x08c321…
10-31 15:31:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf30399…
10-31 15:27:03	Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9b1715…
10-31 15:26:40	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$17	0x907333…
10-31 15:06:45	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x08a2e7…
10-31 12:57:04	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xcde6a1…
10-31 12:23:15	Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 125 mph?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x31a8c0…
10-31 12:20:07	Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x27b3b0…
10-31 11:50:34	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xd92563…
10-31 11:19:43	Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0xf09c56…
10-31 11:19:43	Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe15022…
10-31 11:11:15	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.70 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x5f436e…
10-31 10:31:16	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x2b62dd…
10-31 10:26:33	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe090a3…