Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$264

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

17.6%

Resolved (30d)

123

Trades (30d)

727

1,027 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5.24K

$8.07K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

11 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 11-08 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

74% 16% -$402

Politics

20% 16% -$106

Tech

3% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 50% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+50	$18	32¢	$16	-$2	11-08 16:05
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	—	+5	$2	57¢	$3	+$1	07-13 00:55
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	No	—	+5	$3	43¢	$2	-$1	07-08 12:26
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No		+4	$2	36¢	$2	-$1	11-06 14:39
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No		+16	$4	8¢	$1	-$3	11-08 16:36
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$7	45¢	$1	-$6	11-01 07:08
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	No		+3	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	11-07 08:12
Will "Israel / Israeli" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes		+1	$0	36¢	$1	+$0	11-07 12:07
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes		+1	-$1	51¢	$1	+$1	11-07 16:54
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No		+2	$0	28¢	$0	+$0	07-09 09:08
Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+4	$0	6¢	$0	$0	10-23 18:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	31	$423	538	538	+0	open	—	11-07 20:07
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	9	$119	157	157	+0	open	—	11-08 07:48
Will Bill Tierney win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?	8	$112	140	140	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 01:04
Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	5	$109	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 21:35
Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$108	150	150	+0	Yes	-$4	10-31 12:20
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	3	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	07-08 02:43
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	9	$103	150	150	+0	open	—	11-06 12:56
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	3	$97	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-16 13:36
will canvas valuation hit low 35b by december 31	2	$89	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	07-08 14:56
will betboom make a roster change before september 20260623161949704	8	$83	60	60	+0	No	-$19	07-16 13:43
exponential time hypothesis disproof confirmed by june 30 2027	8	$82	79	79	+0	open	—	10-28 02:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	8	$78	148	148	+0	open	—	11-04 12:55
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	3	$77	60	60	+0	No	+$1	07-07 09:42
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$76	99	99	+0	No	-$3	11-04 21:00
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	2	$74	60	60	+0	open	—	07-07 21:06
Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$68	89	89	+0	Yes	-$6	11-03 06:22
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	3	$67	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	07-07 18:06
Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	10	$66	80	80	+0	No	$0	10-08 13:28
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	3	$59	60	60	+0	Yes	-$13	07-16 13:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	6	$58	200	200	+0	No	-$10	11-06 06:41
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$58	78	78	+0	open	—	11-07 10:35
over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	2	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	07-12 11:10
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	4	$56	60	60	+0	Yes	-$30	07-16 12:13
will krakens valuation hit high 15b by december 31	2	$56	60	60	+0	open	—	07-15 10:57
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	4	$56	100	100	+0	open	—	11-01 04:18
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?	4	$55	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-08 18:27
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?	2	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-08 07:47
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	10	$52	100	100	+0	No	-$5	09-09 05:08
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	5	$52	48	48	+0	Yes	-$2	07-12 10:35
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	2	$52	55	55	+0	Yes	+$1	07-07 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 16:36:13	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xcee6d7…
11-08 16:29:01	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x8989b8…
11-08 16:05:58	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x64c1c5…
11-08 16:05:39	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x459aee…
11-08 16:05:19	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0x60d4cc…
11-08 16:03:43	Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x485fd4…
11-08 16:02:22	Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x20e309…
11-08 15:45:07	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd6e10a…
11-08 15:42:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x67b9a5…
11-08 15:14:18	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xd89113…
11-08 14:20:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x32ddb4…
11-08 13:11:51	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xecc28d…
11-08 13:11:51	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0xdc86d2…
11-08 12:31:00	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x9e096c…
11-08 11:50:25	Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xb9d1a1…
11-08 11:10:09	Over $10M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x30f5ee…
11-08 09:57:58	Over $5M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8c8482…
11-08 09:54:04	Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $25m and $30m at auction?	Yes	SELL	44	35¢	$15	0x18181c…
11-08 09:46:28	Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xfaed88…
11-08 09:41:25	Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xc121cf…
11-08 08:50:58	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the January meeting?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xf28ff8…
11-08 08:46:16	Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x9be350…
11-08 08:21:07	Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x40db00…
11-08 08:16:42	Over $5M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7fcf7a…
11-08 07:48:31	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	No	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x189f5d…
11-08 07:42:43	Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $25m and $30m at auction?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0xcc9b7a…
11-08 07:41:21	Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $25m and $30m at auction?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x92923f…
11-08 07:41:12	Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $25m and $30m at auction?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xa72e8b…
11-08 06:51:09	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xeba3f2…
11-08 06:51:07	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	No	BUY	46	37¢	$17	0x4f72d4…
11-08 06:50:07	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the January meeting?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x458e22…
11-08 06:40:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xc8748c…
11-08 06:14:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x47a3bc…
11-08 05:59:21	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x725f91…
11-08 04:59:39	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x147571…
11-08 03:51:48	Will Iran target Iraq by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x84f22c…
11-08 03:50:58	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $198B by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xdfc515…
11-08 02:50:18	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $198B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd6eaf3…
11-08 02:30:30	Will Iran target Iraq by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x5150d5…
11-08 01:00:49	Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$1	0x63bef1…
11-08 00:06:37	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x563940…
11-07 23:16:04	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	No	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x32ac84…
11-07 22:46:24	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb0027f…
11-07 22:46:24	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x135ffd…
11-07 22:31:43	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $174B by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x560a18…
11-07 21:31:28	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $174B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x930abd…
11-07 21:20:52	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	No	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0x25c7b9…
11-07 21:19:12	Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$23	0xdcad33…
11-07 21:19:04	Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x128ef7…
11-07 21:09:01	Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xb640c8…
11-07 21:08:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xb37d63…
11-07 21:08:12	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x3d6e34…
11-07 20:07:18	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x36560e…
11-07 20:01:36	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x9f0626…
11-07 19:24:10	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	SELL	17	21¢	$3	0xd7508e…
11-07 19:18:40	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x6e75ed…
11-07 18:54:46	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x752cfc…
11-07 18:21:10	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xf26af1…
11-07 17:59:48	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x4f18a5…
11-07 17:18:30	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xea1e0a…
11-07 17:07:46	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xf3e58a…
11-07 17:07:04	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x52cd5e…
11-07 17:07:04	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x29eec5…
11-07 17:06:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd4d883…
11-07 16:54:21	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	SELL	49	39¢	$19	0xda4d08…
11-07 16:52:37	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xd5703a…
11-07 16:19:52	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x993aa0…
11-07 15:13:57	Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xc4406e…
11-07 15:08:04	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x076b73…
11-07 15:07:58	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x47c168…
11-07 14:59:39	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc5de5b…
11-07 13:33:45	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xe5e77b…
11-07 13:13:40	Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x40d056…
11-07 12:07:07	Will "Israel / Israeli" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x3e69a8…
11-07 11:33:21	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4d88e8…
11-07 11:07:15	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x65ddc2…
11-07 10:35:49	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xb106b8…
11-07 10:06:45	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x0209e8…
11-07 09:55:43	Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xc79d94…
11-07 09:51:33	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xf1bb0a…
11-07 09:34:18	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x7a37d8…
11-07 09:29:13	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x411659…
11-07 09:19:04	Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xfc02b6…
11-07 09:17:58	Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd660a1…
11-07 09:12:10	Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2503bc…
11-07 08:53:46	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x182034…
11-07 08:43:03	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x5a36f8…
11-07 08:19:31	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 100k?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xdca42e…
11-07 08:12:19	Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x93d1b8…
11-07 07:56:34	Will "Blockade" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	SELL	49	22¢	$11	0x0e143a…
11-07 07:54:48	Will "Blockade" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x923371…
11-07 07:44:01	Will "Blockade" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf5bebe…
11-07 07:38:24	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 100k?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x25c556…
11-07 07:27:27	Will "Fall / Plummet" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x40fcf9…
11-07 07:27:19	Will "Iran / Iranian" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x46864d…
11-07 07:14:03	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x0f8d23…
11-07 07:11:45	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x2d5689…
11-07 07:11:06	Will "Fall / Plummet" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x97ca4c…
11-07 07:04:33	Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x932a92…
11-07 06:49:13	Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0x14641e…