Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$464

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

12.6%

Resolved (90d)

171

Trades (90d)

933

1,119 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$6.47K

$8.71K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

12 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 11-10 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

75% 16% -$456

Politics

19% 17% -$109

Tech

3% 25% -$5

Pop-Culture

2% 50% -$19

Crypto

1% 50% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	+5	$2	50¢	$2	+$1	07-13 00:55
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	No	+5	$3	50¢	$2	$0	07-08 12:26
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$7	45¢	$1	-$6	11-01 07:08
Will zekken play for NRG in 2027?	No	+4	$1	24¢	$1	$0	11-10 04:02
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	+3	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	11-07 08:12
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	+1	-$1	72¢	$1	+$1	11-07 16:54
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	+2	$0	41¢	$1	+$0	07-09 09:08
Will "Israel / Israeli" be in the headlines on Sunday?	Yes	+1	$0	36¢	$1	+$0	11-07 12:07
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+1	$1	43¢	$0	$0	11-10 10:17
Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+4	$0	7¢	$0	$0	10-23 18:12
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.47% in November?	Yes	+2	$0	6¢	$0	$0	11-10 14:17
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	+1	-$1	10¢	$0	+$1	11-10 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	31	$423	538	538	+0	open	—	11-07 20:07
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	9	$119	157	157	+0	open	—	11-08 07:48
Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	11	$118	215	215	+0	open	—	11-10 09:56
Will Bill Tierney win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?	8	$112	140	140	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 01:04
Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	5	$109	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 21:35
Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$108	150	150	+0	Yes	-$4	10-31 12:20
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	3	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	07-08 02:43
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	9	$103	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	11-06 12:56
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	6	$102	140	140	+0	open	—	11-09 07:13
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	3	$97	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-16 13:36
will canvas valuation hit low 35b by december 31	2	$89	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	07-08 14:56
will betboom make a roster change before september 20260623161949704	8	$83	60	60	+0	No	-$19	07-16 13:43
exponential time hypothesis disproof confirmed by june 30 2027	8	$82	79	79	+0	open	—	10-28 02:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	8	$78	148	148	+0	open	—	11-04 12:55
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	8	$78	150	150	+0	open	—	11-09 19:10
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	3	$77	60	60	+0	No	+$1	07-07 09:42
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$76	99	99	+0	No	-$3	11-04 21:00
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	2	$74	60	60	+0	open	—	07-07 21:06
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$73	111	111	+0	open	—	11-09 15:24
Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$68	89	89	+0	Yes	-$6	11-03 06:22
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	3	$67	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	07-07 18:06
Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	10	$66	80	80	+0	No	$0	10-08 13:28
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	3	$59	60	60	+0	Yes	-$13	07-16 13:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	6	$58	200	200	+0	No	-$10	11-06 06:41
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$58	78	78	+0	open	—	11-07 10:35
over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	2	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	07-12 11:10
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	4	$56	60	60	+0	Yes	-$30	07-16 12:13
will krakens valuation hit high 15b by december 31	2	$56	60	60	+0	open	—	07-15 10:57
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	4	$56	100	100	+0	No	-$12	11-01 04:18
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?	4	$55	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-08 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 20:25:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 12?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x4d2f7f…
11-10 20:09:52	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd9754b…
11-10 19:55:42	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting?	No	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x9447df…
11-10 19:43:16	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 12?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xe8a5a4…
11-10 19:43:16	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 12?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x5e4bc7…
11-10 19:43:16	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 12?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1a6ac6…
11-10 19:43:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 12?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x658d6e…
11-10 18:54:22	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting?	No	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xa6da84…
11-10 18:50:54	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xeff25f…
11-10 14:21:27	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7.4B by November 30?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x797d5f…
11-10 14:17:46	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.47% in November?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x733100…
11-10 13:19:03	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7.4B by November 30?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6b1488…
11-10 10:38:27	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x7cce5b…
11-10 10:17:45	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x2688bf…
11-10 10:00:43	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x9f096b…
11-10 09:56:01	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xe5efaf…
11-10 09:35:18	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4dfea5…
11-10 09:19:22	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xca12f5…
11-10 08:35:34	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$5	0x0502ab…
11-10 07:55:45	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x96735e…
11-10 07:55:45	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5497df…
11-10 04:02:07	Will zekken play for NRG in 2027?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x88224c…
11-10 02:19:16	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x7b1b38…
11-10 02:14:45	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x97909c…
11-10 02:04:30	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xed7998…
11-10 01:34:52	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x43cb9c…
11-10 00:54:58	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x891e07…
11-10 00:45:58	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x943ee6…
11-10 00:01:07	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa0880d…
11-09 23:25:16	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0x784078…
11-09 23:19:01	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x6bf4a2…
11-09 22:20:39	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x7ae95c…
11-09 22:18:46	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1bcf0a…
11-09 21:04:33	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x0ceb41…
11-09 20:12:22	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0d0321…
11-09 19:10:10	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x7c64cc…
11-09 18:42:58	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb3dfab…
11-09 18:18:39	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x628049…
11-09 18:08:45	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x56bdd1…
11-09 17:25:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.06% in November?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf154d7…
11-09 16:52:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.06% in November?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2d75e1…
11-09 16:50:27	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe8b4c9…
11-09 16:29:04	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$15	0x10a338…
11-09 16:20:06	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x87d45d…
11-09 15:24:54	Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xffe63c…
11-09 15:09:25	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x593c56…
11-09 15:04:43	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe2bd5c…
11-09 14:36:00	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 9?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x61bbb8…
11-09 14:35:03	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x16190e…
11-09 14:20:01	Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x7f858c…
11-09 14:17:24	Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x91d81b…
11-09 14:04:40	Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xaff7ea…
11-09 13:32:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa75e18…
11-09 12:38:45	Will The Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x671793…
11-09 12:07:52	Will The Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x087c1d…
11-09 11:50:45	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	SELL	50	29¢	$15	0x66d288…
11-09 11:48:15	Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 11?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x178424…
11-09 11:33:13	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x352df1…
11-09 11:21:15	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe2a949…
11-09 11:01:04	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	80	14¢	$12	0x6bb7ec…
11-09 10:44:37	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x5244dc…
11-09 10:33:58	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xf172c4…
11-09 10:24:31	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc39d8d…
11-09 10:10:21	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xa4e009…
11-09 10:10:12	Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x78ecc4…
11-09 09:55:30	Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 11?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc5827a…
11-09 09:20:46	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x8b69c6…
11-09 09:09:57	Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x16585a…
11-09 07:33:52	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$11	0xa3aa88…
11-09 07:13:33	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x0afaee…
11-09 06:21:45	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x5d2143…
11-09 05:59:27	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xf84b83…
11-09 05:43:46	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xb5a656…
11-09 05:33:34	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$15	0x8b238e…
11-09 04:16:48	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x96b6c8…
11-09 04:12:42	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xcf0732…
11-09 04:06:22	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	No	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0xa4735b…
11-09 03:01:46	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x25b563…
11-09 02:52:24	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x308cf9…
11-09 02:24:39	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	No	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x39d350…
11-09 02:24:34	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x462e26…
11-09 00:14:49	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 7+ times during "60 Minutes" extended interview?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x7539a3…
11-09 00:10:03	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 9?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x2d04b0…
11-09 00:02:42	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 7+ times during "60 Minutes" extended interview?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xde3cc8…
11-08 23:03:06	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xca351c…
11-08 22:12:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xd3cdc5…
11-08 21:12:43	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xbd5961…
11-08 21:03:10	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x130023…
11-08 21:02:36	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x853f99…
11-08 17:56:22	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xb4f5c7…
11-08 17:36:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x96adf0…
11-08 17:36:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x8706d1…
11-08 17:04:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x151b16…
11-08 16:36:13	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	No	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xcee6d7…
11-08 16:29:01	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x8989b8…
11-08 16:05:58	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x64c1c5…
11-08 16:05:39	Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x459aee…
11-08 16:05:19	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0x60d4cc…
11-08 16:03:43	Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x485fd4…
11-08 16:02:22	Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x20e309…