Warped-Subject — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

791

lifetime

Volume

$35.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-22 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-2

Crypto

46% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$4.1K	2,233	2,233	+0	open	—	04-02 01:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$2.7K	1,434	1,434	+0	open	—	05-01 21:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$2.5K	1,298	1,298	+0	open	—	04-21 16:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$1.9K	2,011	667	+1,345	open	—	04-25 18:53
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	17	$1.9K	141,532	0	+141,532	open	—	05-22 09:06
eth updown 5m 1772013900	14	$1.7K	979	976	+3	open	—	02-25 10:09
eth updown 5m 1772012100	2	$1.6K	862	861	+1	open	—	02-25 09:38
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	2	$1.6K	1,696	1,696	+0	open	—	01-21 16:58
eth updown 5m 1772009700	37	$1.4K	881	874	+7	open	—	02-25 08:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	2	$1.3K	1,302	0	+1,302	open	—	04-22 19:36
eth updown 5m 1772008800	15	$1.1K	685	681	+5	open	—	02-25 08:44
eth updown 5m 1772009400	25	$1.0K	754	518	+236	open	—	02-25 08:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-08 21:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$910	911	0	+911	open	—	05-13 19:04
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	8	$893	481	481	+0	open	—	02-28 06:59
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$885	911	0	+911	open	—	05-11 02:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$651	833	500	+333	open	—	04-05 05:20
eth updown 5m 1771979700	4	$641	398	393	+5	open	—	02-25 00:37
eth updown 5m 1771979400	2	$473	256	255	+1	open	—	02-25 00:34
eth updown 5m 1771980000	26	$444	357	351	+6	open	—	02-25 00:43
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	5	$413	728	14	+714	open	—	01-21 16:02
eth updown 5m 1771979100	18	$400	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	02-25 00:27
eth updown 5m 1772009100	10	$350	323	298	+25	open	—	02-25 08:49
eth updown 5m 1771974600	9	$274	329	294	+36	open	—	02-24 23:13
eth updown 5m 1771978800	4	$268	830	0	+830	open	—	02-25 00:22
eth updown 5m 1771974900	1	$200	365	0	+365	open	—	02-24 23:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$195	172	172	+0	open	—	03-02 05:31
eth updown 5m 1771961100	5	$175	150	148	+2	open	—	02-24 19:28
eth updown 5m 1771975500	4	$169	298	294	+5	open	—	02-24 23:29
eth updown 5m 1771975800	3	$150	437	0	+437	open	—	02-24 23:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 09:06:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8,950	0¢	$9	0x64025d…
05-20 20:49:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,295	1¢	$44	0xbdaf65…
05-20 05:32:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8,333	1¢	$50	0x00a573…
05-20 05:07:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0xa0fbf1…
05-20 03:05:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24,055	1¢	$192	0xf688ed…
05-19 09:42:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14,657	1¢	$191	0x7a0b18…
05-18 18:08:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xff6578…
05-18 18:01:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,001	2¢	$114	0xe2f9f5…
05-18 17:46:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	2¢	$50	0xbccf09…
05-18 17:41:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,737	2¢	$33	0xb258f2…
05-18 15:21:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11,653	2¢	$200	0xa0d0ca…
05-18 11:14:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19,686	2¢	$374	0x63ecd7…
05-18 10:49:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,822	2¢	$200	0x87e0e3…
05-18 10:39:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,610	2¢	$100	0x06fdf0…
05-17 16:05:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,734	3¢	$100	0x07d765…
05-17 10:58:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0xa08ca8…
05-16 10:47:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,166	4¢	$50	0x4cfd90…
05-13 19:04:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	911	100¢	$910	0xc9726b…
05-11 02:16:18	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb94bb8…
05-11 01:04:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	906	97¢	$880	0x5c7d6c…
05-01 21:59:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	1,434	97¢	$1,385	0x3cd23b…
05-01 20:59:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	1,434	94¢	$1,344	0xd176a8…
04-25 18:53:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	1,345	97¢	$1,302	0x966611…
04-22 19:36:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	No	BUY	1,290	98¢	$1,260	0x294a85…
04-22 18:59:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x4541c3…
04-21 16:15:44	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	1,298	98¢	$1,272	0x1a962c…
04-19 21:38:48	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1,298	94¢	$1,220	0x69b8a5…
04-14 22:47:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	667	60¢	$400	0xb01125…
04-12 05:05:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x808fbc…
04-05 05:20:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc689fc…
04-03 06:03:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	66¢	$330	0x1f0d6e…
04-02 20:00:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0xe13804…
04-02 01:25:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,013	100¢	$1,011	0xd57cdf…
03-31 23:17:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,013	99¢	$1,004	0x58740e…
03-31 14:53:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,020	98¢	$1,004	0x953605…
03-31 14:38:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,004	0x2f0400…
03-30 00:58:00	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	164	12¢	$20	0xab07d2…
03-30 00:57:40	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xce6444…
03-30 00:56:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0x6b1099…
03-29 14:11:38	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	199	10¢	$19	0x7743c8…
03-29 14:11:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9a8456…
03-08 21:22:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0xc5da2d…
03-08 21:22:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0x595bb4…
03-08 21:21:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xb2329e…
03-08 21:21:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0ad180…
03-02 05:31:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	172	55¢	$95	0xb278a7…
03-02 03:59:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xe419df…
02-28 14:11:57	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$1	0x68e740…
02-28 14:11:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x48a127…
02-28 14:11:37	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$3	0x632cd0…
02-28 14:11:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xc7c63b…
02-28 06:59:09	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0xa757d6…
02-28 06:59:07	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	190	97¢	$184	0x1253a9…
02-28 06:56:37	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x37fdeb…
02-28 06:56:27	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	283	90¢	$255	0xb9e485…
02-28 06:56:27	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0x747d31…
02-28 06:51:33	will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	Yes	SELL	128	1¢	$1	0xf2703c…
02-28 06:50:45	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	143	95¢	$136	0xea8ee5…
02-28 06:50:31	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2789e9…
02-28 06:49:59	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$26	0x7cd605…
02-28 06:41:05	will the us next strike iran on march 31 2026 et	Yes	SELL	252	0¢	$0	0xa75fc8…
02-28 06:40:57	will the us next strike iran on march 30 2026 et	Yes	SELL	266	0¢	$0	0xce2490…
02-28 06:40:51	will the us next strike iran on march 29 2026 et	Yes	SELL	225	0¢	$0	0x270ba0…
02-28 06:40:45	will the us next strike iran on march 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$0	0xc5ee32…
02-28 06:40:37	will the us next strike iran on march 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$1	0x836e6c…
02-28 06:40:31	will the us next strike iran on march 26 2026 et	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$0	0x5e3b5b…
02-28 06:40:23	will the us next strike iran on march 25 2026 et	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xa69702…
02-28 06:40:13	will the us next strike iran on march 23 2026 et	Yes	SELL	192	0¢	$0	0x1c1466…
02-28 06:40:03	will the us next strike iran on march 22 2026 et	Yes	SELL	217	1¢	$1	0x9ead5b…
02-28 06:39:55	will the us next strike iran on march 21 2026 et	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$2	0x9c561a…
02-28 06:39:47	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0xc2e5b8…
02-28 06:39:39	will the us next strike iran on march 19 2026 et	Yes	SELL	222	0¢	$0	0x4448b7…
02-28 06:39:33	will the us next strike iran on march 18 2026 et	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x01f5c1…
02-28 06:39:19	will the us next strike iran on march 17 2026 et	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xd89050…
02-28 06:39:09	will the us next strike iran on march 16 2026 et	Yes	SELL	222	0¢	$0	0xd6184d…
02-28 06:39:03	will the us next strike iran on march 15 2026 et	Yes	SELL	157	1¢	$1	0x9aae8f…
02-28 06:38:55	will the us next strike iran on march 14 2026 et	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x76b3b1…
02-28 06:38:49	will the us next strike iran on march 13 2026 et	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x31035e…
02-28 06:38:41	will the us next strike iran on march 12 2026 et	Yes	SELL	196	0¢	$1	0x4d1290…
02-28 06:38:35	will the us next strike iran on march 11 2026 et	Yes	SELL	220	0¢	$1	0x6714dd…
02-28 06:38:29	will the us next strike iran on march 10 2026 et	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0x4a2416…
02-28 06:38:21	will the us next strike iran on march 9 2026 et	Yes	SELL	198	0¢	$1	0x8917eb…
02-28 06:38:13	will the us next strike iran on march 8 2026 et	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$1	0x2ba1d0…
02-28 06:38:05	will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	Yes	SELL	74	2¢	$2	0x6a0b16…
02-28 06:37:59	will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x6db558…
02-28 06:37:49	will the us next strike iran on march 5 2026 et	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$2	0x9d404d…
02-28 06:37:43	will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0xb327c5…
02-28 06:37:35	will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0x5223ac…
02-28 06:33:41	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$2	0xd7c2c5…
02-28 06:33:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	294	4¢	$12	0x20aad3…
02-28 06:33:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	196	6¢	$12	0xc4030f…
02-28 06:20:03	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	111	3¢	$3	0x92350b…
02-26 14:41:04	eth updown 5m 1772116800	Down	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0x88a8d9…
02-26 14:40:46	eth updown 5m 1772116800	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd7c41e…
02-26 14:35:36	eth updown 5m 1772116500	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xa02477…
02-26 14:35:34	eth updown 5m 1772116500	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x3cbcce…
02-26 14:35:34	eth updown 5m 1772116500	Up	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x25dd15…
02-26 14:35:32	eth updown 5m 1772116500	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xc52b37…
02-26 14:34:32	eth updown 5m 1772116500	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x959737…
02-26 14:31:26	eth updown 5m 1772116200	Down	SELL	43	78¢	$33	0x3c3635…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	185	$67.0K	45,424	04-16 14:18
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	176	$42.6K	16,169	05-14 09:49
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	141	$11.5K	8,427	05-15 19:55
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	134	$4.94K	4,069	05-12 04:15
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	131	$4.75K	2,605	03-27 09:14
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	129	$144.9K	28,139	04-08 17:01
Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c	124	$701.4K	11,569	03-06 16:30
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	124	$2.06K	3,542	05-01 06:01