Unfit-Lay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-24 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% 50% $-5

Politics

32% 67% +$1

Crypto

6% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	9	$250	284	0	+284	open	—	03-19 01:19
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	5	$137	147	0	+147	open	—	03-19 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	5	$81	95	95	+0	open	—	05-03 05:07
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	4	$74	66	66	+0	open	—	05-02 14:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	5	$61	141	141	+0	open	—	05-23 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$53	196	196	+0	open	—	05-01 16:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	04-05 08:26
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$45	75	75	+0	open	—	05-02 14:10
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$41	39	39	+0	open	—	05-01 05:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	10	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	05-11 02:30
Iran leadership change by May 31?	5	$35	173	173	+0	open	—	05-21 14:30
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	4	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-16 02:58
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$30	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	05-02 16:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 14:11
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-16 02:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	6	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-11 02:30
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$22	49	49	+0	open	—	05-03 07:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-23 21:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	03-17 06:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	03-17 13:13
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	03-17 13:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-17 06:17
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-17 07:03
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-17 13:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	05-10 04:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-10 04:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	05-06 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	05-07 07:17
Kash Patel out by May 31?	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 13:30
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-10 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 13:30:05	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb68bde…
05-23 21:30:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x920340…
05-23 21:30:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x6332ac…
05-23 19:30:10	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xd7731a…
05-23 19:30:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x7567c3…
05-23 16:30:05	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x495233…
05-22 19:30:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x66c8c2…
05-22 06:30:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xaf73ee…
05-22 04:30:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x0f1d4d…
05-21 14:30:05	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x37055b…
05-18 07:51:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x2c370f…
05-18 02:30:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x62e45e…
05-18 00:30:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xec9fc8…
05-16 04:37:29	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9bb88e…
05-15 23:30:06	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x86a033…
05-15 09:30:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x0ca169…
05-14 21:30:07	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xeed7a9…
05-14 12:30:06	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x3df699…
05-14 08:30:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x128661…
05-14 05:30:06	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x85c81f…
05-13 20:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x5caccc…
05-13 15:30:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1d3fc8…
05-13 12:30:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6a24e1…
05-13 11:30:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0bb6c9…
05-13 10:30:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x62bb3b…
05-13 06:30:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x61e507…
05-13 00:30:06	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa86a58…
05-12 17:30:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x656946…
05-12 16:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x81f413…
05-12 15:30:12	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc380ed…
05-12 14:30:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbedf05…
05-12 09:30:13	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfe73fa…
05-12 09:30:10	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xb95945…
05-12 08:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x73744e…
05-12 05:30:13	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x074407…
05-12 01:30:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x4875cb…
05-11 22:30:07	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd90057…
05-11 21:30:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa5a6fd…
05-11 06:30:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5b0a1f…
05-11 05:30:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x08a032…
05-11 04:30:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc94e1a…
05-11 03:30:07	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xbf788f…
05-11 02:30:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xec3281…
05-11 02:30:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9579ad…
05-11 02:30:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x59a4db…
05-11 02:30:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xcb1225…
05-11 01:30:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf9d0c6…
05-11 00:30:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x740dac…
05-10 23:30:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xed990b…
05-10 22:30:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf83912…
05-10 21:30:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x46fc2e…
05-10 20:30:07	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xeecd6a…
05-10 18:30:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x608543…
05-10 17:30:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x391fbb…
05-10 14:13:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xad06fb…
05-10 12:30:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xf6334a…
05-10 11:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x53703d…
05-10 10:30:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x5ce94a…
05-10 10:30:15	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xd8f58c…
05-10 10:30:11	Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xf62958…
05-10 09:30:06	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf90a78…
05-10 08:30:06	Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe284af…
05-10 07:30:12	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xa9fc66…
05-10 07:30:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xdbd717…
05-10 06:30:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x9f313a…
05-10 06:30:12	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe35c93…
05-10 06:30:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xc72bba…
05-10 04:30:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa9c9d1…
05-10 04:30:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc7b306…
05-10 04:30:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xa4079c…
05-10 04:30:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x50c7d1…
05-10 04:30:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xd1042e…
05-10 04:30:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x476543…
05-10 04:30:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xae3ac0…
05-10 04:30:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x2dcc8e…
05-10 04:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x7a0b9e…
05-10 02:30:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x0527cd…
05-10 01:30:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8cb09a…
05-09 23:30:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xac63d1…
05-09 22:30:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa8f5de…
05-09 21:30:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3e26fc…
05-09 21:30:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x2ce7c8…
05-09 21:30:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x7896c6…
05-09 20:30:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x94c2a8…
05-09 19:30:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xcc778a…
05-09 19:30:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xc04307…
05-09 19:30:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x6bb34b…
05-09 19:30:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1bc368…
05-09 17:30:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xbd5094…
05-09 16:30:07	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9f8207…
05-09 15:30:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3f34de…
05-09 14:30:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xbe293d…
05-09 12:30:06	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa7ff4b…
05-09 11:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x3c842c…
05-09 10:30:07	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7c398b…
05-09 09:30:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbeadc7…
05-09 09:30:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x581641…
05-09 09:30:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xdb6697…
05-09 08:30:07	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x520e29…
05-09 06:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3a8a5b…