Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

566

Trades

1,281

lifetime

Volume

$4.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$336

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-30

last 10-30 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 50% -$148

Politics

11% 100% +$3

Other

9% 62% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+296	$224	90¢	$267	+$43	10-30 03:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+40	$28	78¢	$31	+$2	10-30 02:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+296	$72	10¢	$30	-$42	10-30 09:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+40	$11	22¢	$9	-$2	10-29 22:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	8	$382	400	400	+0	open	—	10-29 16:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	17	$307	646	54	+593	open	—	10-30 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3PM ET	45	$113	233	0	+233	Up	+$3	09-15 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7PM ET	42	$109	226	0	+226	Down	+$4	09-15 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2PM ET	32	$88	184	0	+184	Down	+$1	09-15 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6PM ET	29	$79	164	0	+164	Up	-$1	09-15 22:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$66	200	200	+0	open	—	10-29 00:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	6	$58	110	110	+0	No	+$0	09-24 11:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	7	$54	90	10	+79	open	—	10-30 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ET	16	$48	80	20	+60	Up	+$2	09-18 13:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	3	$46	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	09-24 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11AM ET	18	$46	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-13 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ET	19	$43	87	0	+87	Down	-$3	09-16 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5PM ET	15	$41	87	0	+87	Down	+$0	09-15 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2PM ET	16	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$0	09-18 18:56
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	5	$39	44	44	+0	No	+$3	09-25 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ET	17	$38	77	2	+75	Up	$0	09-19 00:26
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	5	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	09-24 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET	15	$37	73	1	+72	Up	+$0	09-18 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12PM ET	21	$35	85	0	+85	Down	$0	09-12 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8PM ET	15	$35	75	0	+75	Up	$0	09-16 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12PM ET	14	$32	52	12	+40	Up	+$1	09-18 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3PM ET	12	$32	50	10	+40	Down	+$1	09-29 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9PM ET	13	$31	50	10	+40	Down	+$1	09-30 01:52
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?	2	$27	45	45	+0	Yes	+$6	09-24 16:23
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 12am et	10	$26	45	5	+40	Down	+$1	09-30 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11PM ET	10	$25	45	5	+40	Down	+$1	09-30 03:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$24	39	39	+0	open	—	09-24 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1PM ET	10	$22	45	0	+45	Up	-$2	09-13 17:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	4	$21	116	116	+0	No	+$2	09-25 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:13:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x991ac4…
10-30 03:41:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x34fa76…
10-30 03:27:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0x8e6cbe…
10-30 03:18:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x65d38d…
10-30 02:56:27	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x720bf5…
10-30 02:53:48	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xb3adba…
10-30 02:53:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xed98c6…
10-30 01:44:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xa5a715…
10-30 01:43:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xbb7a6a…
10-30 01:22:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xf41c7f…
10-30 01:22:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x4da117…
10-30 01:20:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xd532ac…
10-30 00:11:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0x067385…
10-30 00:07:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x36bef5…
10-30 00:06:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x019b76…
10-30 00:00:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x3cf74e…
10-29 23:59:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x8a369b…
10-29 23:18:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x633c5a…
10-29 23:17:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xe00ad0…
10-29 22:08:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x429a27…
10-29 22:03:58	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x85c01a…
10-29 22:01:36	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x12795e…
10-29 21:59:49	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbdcf6e…
10-29 21:59:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x4bd7e1…
10-29 16:11:38	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xf17b55…
10-29 15:33:43	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x15ccf8…
10-29 14:52:58	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x648256…
10-29 14:22:56	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xfb849e…
10-29 14:00:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x34c899…
10-29 13:52:26	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x06e9b0…
10-29 12:43:56	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x0dc1fa…
10-29 12:43:22	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xb6a1fb…
10-29 00:31:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x8a76f7…
10-29 00:31:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x86a35f…
10-15 21:59:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x68377f…
10-15 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xbc273d…
10-15 19:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc001f9…
10-15 19:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x09fb4a…
10-15 15:29:04	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdb3910…
10-15 11:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x89ceec…
10-15 09:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x491a03…
10-15 06:44:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9ca214…
10-14 23:14:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x489238…
10-14 20:59:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x06dbf8…
10-14 19:59:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xfdef7e…
10-14 15:59:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x011129…
10-14 15:14:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x37ed89…
10-14 12:29:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe69911…
10-14 11:14:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa96da4…
10-14 09:44:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbc8993…
10-14 04:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9d94b4…
10-14 03:29:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x38eae7…
10-14 01:29:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x81977d…
10-14 01:29:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb507f4…
10-13 22:29:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x380f5e…
10-13 21:59:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x9ea3ad…
10-13 20:14:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd8d05f…
10-13 19:59:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x46f52f…
10-13 19:14:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x981c9e…
10-13 13:44:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x464e1e…
10-13 06:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd137df…
10-13 06:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x80d31f…
10-12 22:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6205be…
10-12 15:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x222285…
10-12 11:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x9f6794…
10-12 10:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf435b9…
10-12 09:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdff3d6…
10-11 17:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xa83c1b…
10-11 15:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x28dec3…
10-11 13:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	35¢	$15	0xa5254a…
10-11 11:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x7399f5…
10-11 08:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$8	0xdacc2f…
10-11 08:14:07	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x38123c…
10-11 07:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x0f9be5…
10-11 04:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x1b16ff…
10-11 01:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xef2886…
10-11 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x6d126a…
10-10 22:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x5c11b7…
10-10 13:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x944f0f…
10-10 11:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x67d6fa…
10-10 03:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x5c2eda…
10-09 22:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x2bc7d6…
10-09 22:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x06be16…
10-09 18:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6936c6…
10-09 15:59:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x76a3a4…
10-09 09:59:15	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe2c264…
10-09 08:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1249ce…
10-09 07:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5193b1…
10-09 07:31:30	Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x37e387…
10-09 07:31:24	Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb20143…
10-09 07:31:19	Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x87e9a3…
10-09 07:31:12	Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9a4861…
10-09 07:31:00	Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3478cf…
10-08 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xec773f…
10-08 18:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x19ffae…
10-08 17:14:30	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x64b2ba…
10-08 16:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x794c44…
10-08 09:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x4fbc6e…
10-08 09:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf5112f…
10-08 07:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfd2e6b…