Blank-Participation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$3.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-10 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

38% 50% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$5

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	No		+22	$21	96¢	$21	+$0	06-06 07:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alberta join the US?	12	$352	195	173	+22	open	—	06-06 07:13
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	18	$277	329	329	+0	No	+$5	04-24 11:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$176	93	93	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 05:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	7	$169	154	154	+0	open	—	06-07 13:15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	11	$159	110	110	+0	open	—	06-02 02:37
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$146	83	83	+0	open	—	04-22 14:13
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	8	$121	105	105	+0	open	—	05-21 00:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	05-29 20:01
Iran leadership change by June 30?	5	$90	129	129	+0	open	—	06-08 02:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$89	103	103	+0	open	—	05-30 23:20
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$87	44	44	+0	open	—	04-18 10:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	4	$85	59	59	+0	open	—	06-06 15:30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	05-14 21:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	3	$84	64	64	+0	open	—	06-09 16:58
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$84	44	44	+0	open	—	05-29 01:50
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$83	69	69	+0	open	—	03-20 13:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	06-03 20:36
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	04-22 01:48
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-15 17:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$79	72	72	+0	open	—	05-17 20:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	04-10 15:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$78	42	42	+0	open	—	05-20 08:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	8	$75	44	196	-152	open	—	05-31 18:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	06-10 03:01
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$74	119	119	+0	No	+$0	04-07 16:14
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	03-28 11:01
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	03-24 01:57
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$66	74	74	+0	open	—	06-08 19:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$51	32	32	+0	open	—	06-04 01:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	03-27 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:01:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x0de67c…
06-10 01:04:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x645417…
06-10 01:04:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	35	93¢	$32	0x464628…
06-09 16:58:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0xa8c72c…
06-09 16:58:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x0b344b…
06-09 14:59:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	64	66¢	$42	0x8f79a2…
06-08 19:36:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x928cc6…
06-08 19:36:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xe0458a…
06-08 19:36:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0xc249fa…
06-08 17:22:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	74	44¢	$33	0xc8a18f…
06-08 02:36:36	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0xf0e063…
06-08 00:51:48	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x9535f8…
06-07 13:15:24	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xd6f45b…
06-07 12:21:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0x114d7b…
06-07 07:55:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	31	61¢	$19	0xd5a652…
06-07 07:54:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0x590090…
06-06 15:30:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x0b8809…
06-06 15:30:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xf56424…
06-06 15:30:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0xd088c3…
06-06 14:02:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	59	72¢	$42	0x16926f…
06-06 07:13:24	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x89e6dc…
06-06 07:13:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xd41e09…
06-06 03:59:48	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xd8091d…
06-06 03:59:48	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x4425b1…
06-05 23:23:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	19¢	$8	0xa9a187…
06-05 21:13:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0x04f025…
06-05 19:06:16	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xfadc23…
06-05 17:01:25	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xea54e8…
06-04 20:03:19	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	84	4¢	$4	0xac1c82…
06-04 18:56:27	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xaa83c8…
06-04 18:56:27	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x764d53…
06-04 01:15:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0xe3eabd…
06-04 01:14:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2dd35f…
06-03 20:36:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x9734f0…
06-03 19:05:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xcfca1e…
06-03 11:57:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xe481eb…
06-03 11:57:01	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xee8e58…
06-03 10:18:12	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x2d4ea2…
06-02 02:37:11	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x70b0d6…
06-02 00:46:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	36	81¢	$29	0x12635f…
06-01 20:36:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	23	76¢	$17	0x2a1491…
06-01 20:36:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x138638…
06-01 14:25:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x910e22…
06-01 12:58:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0xb8da42…
06-01 00:29:02	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xb13d17…
05-31 22:28:12	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x58da69…
05-31 18:31:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xecddd0…
05-31 18:31:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xda5c96…
05-31 18:31:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0x3e5eed…
05-31 18:31:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x0b172c…
05-31 18:31:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x01c93a…
05-31 12:54:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0xee9fd4…
05-31 08:55:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x993867…
05-30 23:20:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xe87f53…
05-30 23:20:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0xb2bbe0…
05-30 23:20:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	43¢	$13	0xb146c5…
05-30 21:06:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	43¢	$44	0xfc0d10…
05-30 17:08:20	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xd908a9…
05-30 17:08:20	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd04403…
05-30 13:42:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0xd2f34a…
05-30 13:42:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb0fc8f…
05-30 13:42:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x00bea8…
05-30 02:47:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x5cfa85…
05-30 00:31:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x600927…
05-30 00:31:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x1725cf…
05-29 20:01:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x663794…
05-29 20:01:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x4b23ee…
05-29 18:46:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xbcdaac…
05-29 17:23:47	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x100b0d…
05-29 15:20:56	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x361915…
05-29 08:11:25	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x9f6945…
05-29 01:50:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x27c26a…
05-29 00:15:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xa853cb…
05-28 16:26:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	50¢	$28	0x893bbc…
05-28 16:26:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	50¢	$14	0x87db1a…
05-28 16:25:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0x164a5e…
05-23 17:39:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0x01f5b2…
05-23 14:43:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x214f3f…
05-23 14:43:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0xb63c5e…
05-23 07:27:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x847a0f…
05-23 07:26:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4eeb47…
05-21 00:41:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x89333f…
05-20 22:15:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x5ed9e5…
05-20 08:42:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0x6384ce…
05-20 08:42:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x2515b1…
05-20 05:18:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xb06c30…
05-18 02:29:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x1b216a…
05-18 01:26:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xe9cbb5…
05-18 01:26:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xc085db…
05-17 20:41:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xeb609d…
05-17 20:41:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xa12112…
05-17 16:44:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xe7d527…
05-16 12:15:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x633261…
05-16 10:10:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b95d0…
05-16 06:30:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x0af981…
05-15 18:23:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xe6aa4a…
05-15 18:14:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xd5f844…
05-14 21:56:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x8baf04…
05-14 18:36:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xc35aeb…
04-24 11:51:20	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$3	0x272fe1…