These-Nail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

724

Trades

748

lifetime

Volume

$3.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Other

81% 97% -$2

Sports

13% 99% +$0

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:30
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:55
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:05
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winner	1	$5	5	0	+5	Once Upon A Team	+$0	05-28 19:06
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$5	5	0	+5	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 26?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-26 08:33
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$5	5	0	+5	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	New York Yankees	+$0	05-30 04:33
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-10 21:01
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	07-06 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d1272…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff41f6…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ff45c…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6c66c…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x626de2…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48ddee…
10-20 18:39:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x528ebc…
10-19 19:08:27	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x623c30…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e98e8…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f8295…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2b931…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec2c81…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c00f9…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x268b0b…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc01e3…
10-12 09:01:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3a762…
10-11 20:35:34	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6de3ac…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb08b8e…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb981b9…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d7b18…
10-04 23:23:19	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x084caf…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbfbcb…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6df999…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x421687…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbbf86…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x301679…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x855e66…
09-30 23:54:51	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd72dc8…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f3921…
09-29 13:58:53	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70afee…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13a781…
09-29 06:34:50	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12488a…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c3c5b…
09-28 10:07:59	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a2fc8…
09-27 20:54:21	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9db4e1…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31d032…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfd755…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x918174…
09-27 00:22:12	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b2796…
09-26 19:53:27	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a273f…
09-26 19:22:33	Virginia Tech vs. Boston College	Virginia Tech	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e6bc0…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d2cf1…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x357f56…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x113d8a…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbfbba5…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84e988…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c84d9…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc59f2f…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4a8ec…
09-20 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0608b…
09-20 16:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x374fa1…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaad3d8…
09-20 06:45:34	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x021753…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1831c…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ff41d…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6d991…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x927396…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4eef1a…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5593e…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfe9ba…
09-17 00:30:48	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c9316…
09-16 15:14:29	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b5eeb…
09-16 12:24:48	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x305f05…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6d16f…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x367c02…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e2be4…
09-15 17:49:22	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d8ed8…
09-15 16:15:00	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f8576…
09-14 20:14:10	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a0b02…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf26f4e…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x396516…
09-14 01:22:55	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x834f0f…
09-13 21:07:09	PSV leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x217d96…
09-13 20:08:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x536a12…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda1826…
09-13 02:51:25	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x222473…
09-12 19:43:42	Oklahoma vs. Michigan	Michigan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2474f…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f9c38…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x563d65…
09-11 20:35:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc25937…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5428cc…
09-11 02:58:33	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe86e4b…
09-10 19:00:03	USA vs. Hungary/Japan	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8dee7f…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ba301…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x032996…
09-10 01:18:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf23454…
09-09 22:45:52	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07023f…
09-09 18:43:27	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x223f75…
09-09 18:20:09	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x968f05…
09-09 07:41:54	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a3cbc…
09-09 00:17:03	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33ef17…
09-08 23:11:36	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb83fd8…
09-08 20:57:16	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff8d6c…
09-08 12:12:48	Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin	Valerio Aboian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92a535…
09-08 06:06:01	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc46ba0…
09-08 05:01:30	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fbfbe…
09-07 21:25:28	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7354a9…
09-07 19:46:33	Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x798583…
09-07 17:57:49	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18b789…
09-04 05:05:15	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87b9d3…