Obedient-Lake — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

221 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.73K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 09-28 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 77% +$6

Politics

12% 45% -$18

Other

10% 36% -$9

Sports

3% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 10:05 UTC	2	$97	50	50	+0	Up	+$3	04-13 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 10:20 UTC	4	$77	48	47	+1	Down	+$18	04-13 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 10:10 UTC	4	$74	46	44	+1	Up	+$15	04-13 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 10:00 UTC	3	$69	40	39	+1	Down	+$9	04-13 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:45 UTC	2	$64	33	32	+0	Down	+$1	04-13 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:40 UTC	2	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 11:45
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$49	61	61	+0	No	-$1	04-23 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:35 UTC	2	$46	29	29	+1	Down	+$11	04-13 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:10 UTC	2	$46	27	27	+1	Up	+$7	04-13 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:00 UTC	3	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	04-13 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:25 UTC	2	$45	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	04-13 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:55 UTC	2	$45	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	04-13 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:30 UTC	2	$44	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	04-13 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:20 UTC	2	$44	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	04-13 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:15 UTC	2	$43	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	04-13 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:05 UTC	3	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$2	04-13 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:35 UTC	2	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	04-13 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:50 UTC	2	$42	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	04-13 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:25 UTC	2	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	04-13 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 10:45 UTC	3	$40	49	0	+49	Down	-$40	04-13 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:20 UTC	2	$37	26	26	+0	Down	-$3	04-13 11:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$34	147	147	+0	Yes	-$16	04-21 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:40 UTC	2	$33	19	18	+0	Down	+$4	04-13 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:00 UTC	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$2	04-13 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:15 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-13 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-13 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 10:55 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:30 UTC	1	$20	31	0	+31	Up	-$20	04-13 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 10:50 UTC	1	$20	31	0	+31	Down	-$20	04-13 10:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:45 UTC	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	-$20	04-13 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 06:09:02	Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x04b93b…
09-28 06:08:17	Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x141dab…
09-28 06:07:54	Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x201f95…
06-13 04:20:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x201374…
06-13 04:18:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xcf1f07…
06-09 05:51:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x21c2a7…
06-09 05:51:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xe110cb…
06-09 05:51:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc5db0d…
05-23 16:49:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x24d72f…
05-23 04:36:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0dcdce…
05-22 16:18:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5619eb…
05-22 16:08:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x93d3fd…
05-22 15:59:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9d88b4…
05-22 15:49:56	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0xf62f85…
05-22 13:48:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x25c7f3…
05-22 13:44:40	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x1ccfe1…
05-22 13:36:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x6ec12b…
05-21 08:23:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x02bf4f…
05-21 08:23:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x017856…
05-21 08:22:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa1eb20…
05-21 08:21:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd516e0…
05-20 12:01:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x04525d…
05-20 12:00:27	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xd6f8f5…
05-20 06:18:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x14673a…
05-20 06:16:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x460ec7…
05-20 05:50:37	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x9c4fc4…
05-20 00:20:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa4f8d4…
05-20 00:16:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xacf4e2…
05-20 00:14:47	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xde8bfc…
05-20 00:09:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	508	1¢	$6	0x0e7e3b…
05-19 11:10:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9e4a3a…
05-19 11:03:46	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x7a078e…
05-19 07:33:04	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xe15363…
05-18 14:16:30	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xca85df…
05-18 13:27:36	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$6	0x45d534…
05-18 13:27:32	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$6	0x593438…
05-18 03:54:42	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x19b95a…
05-18 03:54:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x5c5905…
05-18 03:48:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xf3834a…
05-18 03:36:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x7dea0b…
05-15 03:36:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xac1859…
05-14 10:25:30	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x1cb8f5…
05-14 07:30:46	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xab68c1…
05-14 07:29:15	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x18df6e…
05-13 23:49:59	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x7bb284…
05-13 23:49:17	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x896553…
05-13 11:38:57	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xecbe4b…
05-13 11:32:18	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xfd0047…
05-13 10:56:59	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x7a6499…
05-13 10:56:36	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x1e9d52…
05-13 10:54:16	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6c8de9…
05-13 10:51:56	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x7019ba…
05-13 07:54:59	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb85181…
05-13 00:24:00	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2cac82…
05-13 00:23:46	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd09afe…
05-13 00:06:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x656a78…
05-12 09:53:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x8e7f01…
05-12 02:36:07	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xcbd66f…
04-28 06:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x88fb66…
04-28 06:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f4832…
04-27 10:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	32	9¢	$3	0x0420f5…
04-27 06:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xaf0ed8…
04-27 06:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x5e2fc6…
04-27 05:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2a8672…
04-27 05:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xb52c54…
04-27 05:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xd9cc87…
04-27 05:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdbde15…
04-27 02:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x7f32d1…
04-27 00:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x346b0e…
04-26 04:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2cb4eb…
04-26 04:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x7d22d5…
04-26 04:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd1417a…
04-26 04:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x3395b7…
04-26 03:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x082c91…
04-25 12:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x379b1f…
04-25 11:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x01bbbe…
04-25 11:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x250dad…
04-25 11:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3bc1c6…
04-25 11:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa56356…
04-25 11:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeaf481…
04-25 03:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xad8fad…
04-25 03:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdbbe69…
04-25 03:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xa2dcba…
04-25 02:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x063793…
04-25 02:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x5f1043…
04-25 02:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x168094…
04-25 02:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd59a01…
04-25 01:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0xaa8971…
04-24 07:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd2d70a…
04-24 07:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7a79fb…
04-24 07:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbb304c…
04-24 04:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x21b35c…
04-24 04:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe26cb0…
04-24 04:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 25?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x04f02d…
04-23 15:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2ac099…
04-23 10:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x73b4fa…
04-23 10:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa0a080…
04-23 10:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x67f454…
04-23 10:03:40	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	40¢	$18	0x1a7f74…
04-23 03:41:02	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbbdd02…