Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$483

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$8.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$207

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 10-23 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

69% 53% +$21

Politics

20% 50% -$22

Sports

8% 43% -$240

Tech

3% 0% -$238

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+245	$174	68¢	$168	-$7	10-23 20:05
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	—	+45	$37	80¢	$36	-$1	10-19 22:18
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+6	$3	58¢	$3	+$0	10-20 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	16	$939	678	678	+0	open	—	09-18 22:44
will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	6	$613	495	495	+0	Yes	-$93	09-04 18:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$580	319	319	+0	No	+$57	09-16 19:29
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs	19	$446	311	311	+0	Zeu5 Esports	+$170	08-25 03:17
atp walton buse 2026 08 25	14	$355	227	227	+0	Ignacio Buse	+$99	08-25 20:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$354	352	352	+0	open	—	09-22 18:26
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	9	$291	351	351	+0	Yes	-$214	09-04 19:01
trump renames ai by september 30	3	$259	164	164	+0	Yes	+$59	09-29 19:01
Nebraska vs. Oregon	26	$243	355	337	+18	Oregon	-$20	10-18 06:44
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	12	$239	190	190	+0	No	-$57	09-22 18:24
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	5	$238	305	0	+305	Yes	-$238	09-30 16:25
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	5	$237	289	44	+245	open	—	10-23 20:05
Utah vs. Colorado	5	$229	141	141	+0	Utah	+$49	10-18 05:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	15	$221	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	09-22 19:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$201	203	0	+203	Yes	+$2	09-16 18:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	8	$186	255	255	+0	open	—	08-21 01:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	4	$166	241	128	+113	Yes	+$6	09-22 18:24
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	14	$129	254	0	+254	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$129	08-26 02:05
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres	5	$127	193	0	+193	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$65	08-25 05:13
atp gaston justo 2026 08 25	6	$125	141	0	+141	Hugo Gaston	+$16	08-25 20:15
atp bonzi halys 2026 08 25	5	$124	184	0	+184	Benjamin Bonzi	-$124	08-25 19:47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	5	$118	211	0	+211	Atlanta Braves	-$118	08-26 00:56
Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehberg	5	$116	124	0	+124	Facundo Mena	+$8	08-25 15:32
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	12	$111	132	117	+15	Boston Red Sox	+$18	08-25 01:02
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	6	$109	127	127	+0	No	+$72	09-04 02:34
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic	7	$108	192	0	+192	Diane Parry	-$108	08-25 05:08
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	8	$106	22	222	-200	No	+$2	08-25 23:39
wta uchijim hercog 2026 08 25	4	$99	104	0	+104	Moyuka Uchijima	+$5	08-25 16:21
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	2	$92	54	54	+0	open	—	10-23 20:03
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$82	86	0	+86	Yes	+$5	09-22 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:05:54	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x05b781…
10-23 20:05:38	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	72¢	$80	0x4669af…
10-23 20:03:38	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$50	0x4ed8fb…
10-23 17:22:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x4a9f03…
10-23 17:20:42	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	44	56¢	$25	0xa0dd50…
10-23 17:05:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x7d0a14…
10-23 16:58:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x323785…
10-23 16:55:23	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	77¢	$41	0x4a9e5e…
10-23 16:54:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	47	88¢	$41	0xefda78…
10-21 23:39:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$5	0x645fe0…
10-21 20:19:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xd25804…
10-21 20:17:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x2dd382…
10-21 20:17:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0x330593…
10-21 20:17:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x172922…
10-21 20:17:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	18	31¢	$5	0x99ad33…
10-21 20:12:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x7279c4…
10-21 20:09:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x5d6c8c…
10-21 20:09:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x2a6f74…
10-21 13:16:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x12a5a3…
10-20 19:04:56	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x658f12…
10-20 13:28:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x051800…
10-20 13:28:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x3c95fb…
10-20 13:28:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4c85a1…
10-20 13:20:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x4b5b8c…
10-20 11:51:27	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xf4b642…
10-20 07:14:52	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x182f6d…
10-19 22:18:20	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x4eff6d…
10-19 09:49:59	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x524655…
10-19 04:43:57	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf77f68…
10-19 02:49:59	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x82f146…
10-19 02:46:12	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd3d421…
10-18 23:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0xe0d1d1…
10-18 23:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x930ce9…
10-18 23:15:08	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x5c7c6b…
10-18 23:15:08	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x4aca3a…
10-18 22:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xe252ec…
10-18 22:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc84c73…
10-18 06:44:39	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x88c540…
10-18 06:44:35	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xeec21a…
10-18 06:40:53	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbbc89f…
10-18 06:40:53	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x98e334…
10-18 06:40:53	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2d0306…
10-18 06:40:44	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfe693f…
10-18 06:40:44	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe1d52a…
10-18 06:40:44	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55436d…
10-18 06:40:44	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x17310a…
10-18 06:40:44	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0be9fd…
10-18 06:40:42	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x79582b…
10-18 06:39:54	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	SELL	78	7¢	$5	0x1b94ab…
10-18 06:36:30	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb22d23…
10-18 06:36:30	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x53f65f…
10-18 06:36:30	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3e93e6…
10-18 06:36:30	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0b14a0…
10-18 06:36:02	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x1ca8ca…
10-18 06:35:53	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xde4161…
10-18 06:35:51	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf9731c…
10-18 06:35:48	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0xd94463…
10-18 06:34:38	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3c4376…
10-18 06:34:38	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0c1f8f…
10-18 06:34:14	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xe6a996…
10-18 06:32:18	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x350d9e…
10-18 06:03:39	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	SELL	35	61¢	$21	0x7bcddf…
10-18 05:58:35	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	35	70¢	$25	0x7460ae…
10-18 05:48:57	New Mexico vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x6dc545…
10-18 05:47:39	New Mexico vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x81fc7f…
10-18 05:47:26	Utah vs. Colorado	Utah	SELL	141	98¢	$139	0x87032b…
10-18 05:46:39	New Mexico vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x25af39…
10-18 05:45:27	New Mexico vs. Hawai'i	New Mexico	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x9f95fd…
10-18 05:44:09	New Mexico vs. Hawai'i	New Mexico	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x71a841…
10-18 05:02:53	Utah vs. Colorado	Utah	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7b0146…
10-18 05:02:30	Utah vs. Colorado	Utah	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x1e994a…
10-18 05:00:17	Utah vs. Colorado	Utah	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x5898cd…
10-18 04:49:54	Utah vs. Colorado	Utah	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x4b7095…
10-15 11:20:21	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0xb01742…
09-30 16:25:35	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xa2658f…
09-30 14:52:41	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0xd0fb5f…
09-30 14:44:44	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	79¢	$35	0x732e19…
09-30 14:41:08	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xafa53d…
09-29 19:01:17	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	164	97¢	$159	0xbf91bf…
09-29 18:16:06	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xa63822…
09-24 17:00:32	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xa25ab5…
09-22 19:13:46	Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x562ca3…
09-22 19:13:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xdc7867…
09-22 19:13:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf983cf…
09-22 19:13:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xf3f94d…
09-22 19:12:51	Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	94¢	$75	0x662eaa…
09-22 18:26:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	171	45¢	$77	0x34a0ea…
09-22 18:24:51	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	82¢	$93	0xb33471…
09-22 18:24:37	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x25baae…
09-22 15:16:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	23¢	$30	0x49b4dd…
09-22 14:50:18	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2b4261…
09-22 14:50:12	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xb8d3a0…
09-22 14:50:12	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x420240…
09-22 14:50:12	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x03915d…
09-22 14:50:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xa995ca…
09-22 14:43:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x252db9…
09-22 14:42:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0b79fb…
09-22 14:36:18	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x8d212b…
09-22 14:32:25	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xfde12b…
09-22 14:32:25	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xdaf879…