Tremendous-Hiccups-Astrologer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

5,893 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$648

$25.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-27 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 75% -$125

Other

11% 80% -$112

Politics

7% 16% -$51

Sports

1% 20% -$7

Tech

1% 20% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	22	$223	351	351	+0	No	+$4	07-11 22:19
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	6	$111	90	90	+0	Yes	-$1	07-29 23:13
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$2	07-12 05:09
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	07-25 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 07:15 UTC	12	$87	83	53	+30	Down	-$9	07-05 07:24
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	6	$82	66	66	+0	Yes	$0	07-29 09:59
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	4	$74	72	72	+0	Yes	-$5	08-12 00:06
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 07:15 UTC	9	$73	77	37	+40	Down	-$12	07-05 07:22
bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	13	$72	46	46	+0	Down	+$5	06-12 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC	17	$69	58	58	+0	Down	+$0	07-07 16:11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$68	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-12 05:08
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	4	$66	61	61	+0	open	—	08-10 16:54
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	2	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	07-12 05:09
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	2	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	07-30 13:09
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	4	$55	59	59	+0	No	-$1	07-29 20:50
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$54	54	54	+0	Yes	$0	08-03 04:29
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	07-26 13:49
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?	6	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	07-25 03:02
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	6	$53	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	07-10 18:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 06:30 UTC	8	$52	48	33	+15	Down	-$11	07-05 06:40
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	08-12 06:58
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	2	$50	37	37	+0	No	-$1	08-01 00:57
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	56	56	+0	open	—	07-31 16:53
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$49	40	40	+0	Yes	-$7	08-01 03:01
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	3	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	10-27 05:45
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	07-19 06:54
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$44	47	47	+0	open	—	07-31 16:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 06:30 UTC	6	$43	48	27	+21	Down	+$3	07-05 06:37
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:20 UTC	9	$42	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	07-07 19:24
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	2	$40	60	60	+0	open	—	07-31 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:45:12	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x5e0f41…
10-27 05:43:39	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x561d89…
10-27 05:40:33	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x9c49d2…
10-26 10:42:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x84a091…
10-26 10:40:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x9e8210…
10-26 10:36:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xaa2ebb…
10-26 08:37:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x183dc1…
10-26 01:49:45	Will crashies play for Team Liquid in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc941ba…
10-25 20:29:53	Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc37bf3…
10-25 15:25:21	Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa72a58…
10-25 15:25:21	Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x6e8b59…
10-25 09:01:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x53538c…
10-25 08:55:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa7382b…
10-25 07:06:53	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x5ad24e…
10-25 07:01:59	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6cfecd…
10-25 07:01:59	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1c59dc…
10-23 13:09:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xac1052…
10-23 13:09:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x649a9e…
10-23 09:19:59	Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?	No	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0xb34ac0…
10-23 09:03:20	Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa7e6b3…
10-23 07:59:29	Will Lyon qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xcdcc4b…
10-23 07:49:26	Will Lyon qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x4bf978…
10-22 19:51:51	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x5cf7aa…
10-22 19:33:53	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x531cb2…
10-21 20:01:42	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xcb3c4f…
10-21 18:13:27	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xccb179…
10-21 02:14:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xd15f0b…
10-21 02:11:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xaaf8e6…
10-19 01:20:23	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xec23fd…
10-19 01:17:09	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x7eba35…
10-16 08:10:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe598f1…
10-12 18:41:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x03373d…
10-12 18:37:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x46079c…
10-11 20:45:37	Will Çorum F.K. be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xfc9436…
10-11 20:42:44	Will Çorum F.K. be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xac0fcb…
10-11 01:58:44	Will Texas Tech be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x9e3869…
10-11 01:45:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x139adf…
10-10 17:10:46	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 15+ innings?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe0f961…
10-10 14:30:58	Will Arizona State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xfb03d2…
10-10 07:44:15	Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x97b9f3…
10-10 05:51:43	Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5b9fdf…
10-09 23:03:14	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 15+ innings?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x75bc95…
10-09 22:13:10	Will Thailand win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x4bcfde…
10-09 18:08:10	Will Texas Tech be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa7dd0a…
10-06 15:46:23	Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x1829a4…
10-06 14:52:18	Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x64bbcc…
10-06 13:49:43	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x3cc0b7…
10-06 12:37:12	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by suffocation?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xb36eb5…
10-06 12:29:45	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by suffocation?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9d1e7a…
10-06 07:57:46	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8829d6…
10-05 18:33:35	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x872788…
10-05 18:28:14	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8a6ba9…
10-05 12:09:58	Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x374b30…
10-05 09:46:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xabdf71…
10-05 04:39:28	Will Arizona State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7c70a4…
10-05 02:25:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xf90ca2…
10-05 02:18:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x623c4f…
10-04 02:44:16	Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfb4a44…
10-03 22:14:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xfcac9a…
10-02 21:42:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xf3b12e…
10-02 19:38:53	Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x813b9f…
10-02 15:13:03	Will Jayden Daniels finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x008579…
10-02 11:14:51	Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x019235…
10-01 03:58:08	will jesper wallstedt record 4 shutouts	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xf9bd37…
10-01 00:44:30	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf21fa0…
09-30 21:46:09	will andurils valuation hit high 177pt5b by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x3ed423…
09-30 15:30:15	trump names ai czar by october 3 2026 20260928	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x28c9a3…
09-30 15:26:48	trump names ai czar by october 3 2026 20260928	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc57c2f…
09-30 13:42:06	Will Jayden Daniels finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x9d3726…
09-30 13:26:35	will jesper wallstedt record 4 shutouts	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa994a3…
09-29 09:58:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x6b58fa…
09-29 09:34:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x509e23…
09-29 08:45:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x7a32de…
09-29 08:42:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa166c4…
09-28 17:17:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x42e9be…
09-28 11:51:11	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x8c3dfa…
09-28 11:46:12	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x8f78d7…
09-27 16:56:26	Will PEC Zwolle be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x19dddb…
09-27 12:29:36	Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x847694…
09-27 12:08:47	Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x70a5f2…
09-27 10:27:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xa44aef…
09-27 10:22:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xf08a3d…
09-26 03:37:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x3f6163…
09-26 03:28:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$4	0xe81e45…
09-26 03:24:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa45d31…
09-26 03:22:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5dc5a0…
09-25 00:03:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x42e2ce…
09-24 23:06:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x95fbdd…
09-24 23:06:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 60%-65%?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xf56359…
09-24 12:17:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x7cdc31…
09-24 12:17:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x5e46c3…
09-24 12:17:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xdea5c4…
09-24 12:17:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc92e04…
09-24 11:53:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xc0e545…
09-24 11:52:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd5e5d8…
09-24 11:50:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf77816…
09-24 05:50:00	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xfd8cfb…
09-24 04:49:09	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x4a5de5…
09-24 04:21:32	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xcc28b1…
09-23 23:26:37	Will PEC Zwolle be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x0f99f2…