Jaded-Announcement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$75

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

447

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$719

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

55% — —

Other

24% 0% $-10

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

4% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	+551	$306	68¢	$375	+$69	06-22 13:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+200	$186	96¢	$192	+$6	06-09 23:24
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	-200	$-98	46¢	$-91	+$7	06-05 16:09
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	+35	$33	94¢	$33	+$0	06-24 09:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	-24	$-20	86¢	$-20	$-0	05-31 21:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+200	$14	4¢	$8	$-6	06-09 22:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	58	$2.5K	4,030	4,467	-437	open	—	01-19 00:16
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	10	$2.0K	10,200	10,100	+100	open	—	01-18 13:12
will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 491	2	$1.5K	1,209	320	+889	open	—	01-10 19:51
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	11	$689	2,302	1,087	+1,214	open	—	01-16 01:27
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	1	$498	1,038	0	+1,038	open	—	01-17 17:33
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	1	$485	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	01-11 05:44
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	154	$459	7,463	0	+7,463	open	—	01-11 00:52
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	9	$407	203	300	-97	open	—	01-18 13:35
will primate opening weekend box office be between 11m and 13m	4	$353	396	0	+396	open	—	01-11 19:39
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	6	$328	1,405	1,405	+0	open	—	06-04 03:34
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	8	$321	579	0	+579	open	—	06-22 13:27
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	7	$240	400	300	+100	open	—	01-05 03:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$200	400	0	+400	open	—	06-09 23:24
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	8	$191	203	103	+100	open	—	03-16 19:49
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	6	$185	132	132	-0	open	—	01-18 13:34
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	5	$184	141	141	+0	open	—	03-23 07:20
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?	2	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	04-18 18:12
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	5	$102	298	298	+0	open	—	06-28 23:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	8	$100	231	31	+200	open	—	04-14 03:06
will data center be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 569	3	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	01-02 04:42
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$98	0	200	-200	open	—	06-05 16:09
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	3	$94	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 16:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$91	173	136	+37	open	—	05-26 00:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$84	132	132	+0	open	—	01-18 13:34
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 21m	5	$76	75	75	+0	open	—	01-10 23:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$70	150	229	-79	open	—	06-15 13:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	2	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	06-04 00:00
over 160m committed to the ranger public sale 697 445 524 768 983	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	01-10 16:41
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$47	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 13:48
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$44	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 23:01:25	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	Yes	SELL	239	16¢	$39	0x0865d4…
06-28 22:58:05	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xfa915e…
06-28 22:58:01	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	Yes	SELL	49	22¢	$11	0x086086…
06-28 19:54:35	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	127	19¢	$24	0x3f5155…
06-28 18:41:56	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	171	15¢	$25	0xd7e82c…
06-24 09:08:37	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x7dafba…
06-22 13:27:47	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x097703…
06-22 13:24:20	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	72	52¢	$37	0x791b25…
06-21 16:27:50	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x45002a…
06-15 13:13:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	160	10¢	$17	0x661340…
06-15 13:13:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x6ba342…
06-15 13:13:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xb42901…
06-14 22:33:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xb37997…
06-14 22:07:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x11e8f9…
06-14 21:53:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x0de3fa…
06-10 13:42:07	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x09d7e8…
06-09 23:24:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x436d9d…
06-09 23:16:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xcca44e…
06-09 23:16:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0x4f1942…
06-09 23:16:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x4b932c…
06-09 23:16:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x147180…
06-09 22:55:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xff9988…
06-05 16:09:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xb8ecdd…
06-04 03:34:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1,405	9¢	$128	0x39b9fa…
06-04 02:00:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	51	36¢	$18	0x0e0b4d…
06-04 01:51:48	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4665f3…
06-04 01:49:16	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$12	0x51a9f7…
06-04 01:47:46	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	619	14¢	$88	0x254bf6…
06-04 01:40:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	595	14¢	$85	0xe75577…
06-04 01:29:52	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	104	14¢	$14	0x1de692…
06-04 01:26:40	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x5e67bf…
06-04 00:29:58	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0xc2a623…
06-04 00:00:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0xe9ba09…
06-03 23:55:42	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd6baa4…
06-03 23:50:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x669950…
06-02 22:46:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xee3cb8…
06-01 17:10:42	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0xd1dc27…
05-31 21:28:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x89ceff…
05-31 00:38:03	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x1e4261…
05-31 00:15:39	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xef0330…
05-29 16:53:58	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	282	59¢	$166	0x744af8…
05-26 00:55:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xf5c26c…
05-10 23:53:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	19¢	$13	0xf79e25…
05-07 11:35:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	38¢	$26	0x3d40f5…
05-07 11:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x044cfb…
05-06 11:36:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x500abc…
05-04 22:49:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0x177d6e…
05-04 17:29:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x57d7da…
05-03 20:47:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0x7aa00b…
04-29 16:10:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x976f64…
04-29 13:27:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	72	26¢	$19	0x9cc34e…
04-28 07:45:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc31de9…
04-28 06:09:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	52	26¢	$13	0x327bde…
04-28 00:29:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x26ae39…
04-25 03:18:00	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x0b6491…
04-23 17:35:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	175	7¢	$12	0xafa3bd…
04-20 16:53:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?	Yes	BUY	83	3¢	$3	0xc1f256…
04-19 23:20:18	spx up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xf9c437…
04-18 18:12:54	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xb671dd…
04-18 02:15:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x133906…
04-18 02:14:52	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	172	27¢	$46	0x713c8d…
04-15 23:15:42	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0xbcfaeb…
04-15 23:15:02	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x390b6d…
04-14 03:06:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x269d85…
04-13 15:00:11	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x11d3a1…
04-11 16:48:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x6d4805…
04-10 20:50:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xc41640…
04-10 17:41:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0x516ffe…
04-09 13:33:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x79a03c…
04-08 11:27:37	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xe55178…
04-07 23:28:05	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xc6af48…
04-07 22:38:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x5c7237…
04-05 21:41:53	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xf514b4…
04-03 03:57:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0x0ea311…
04-02 12:25:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2,596	0¢	$3	0xdf329e…
04-02 12:24:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x2e672f…
04-02 12:24:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x67773f…
04-02 12:24:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	312	0¢	$0	0x31a1e1…
04-02 12:17:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8ba4b7…
03-30 09:36:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x8e41c1…
03-29 21:52:42	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0xb34963…
03-29 00:27:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x863a95…
03-28 13:48:37	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xa4069b…
03-28 13:48:23	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xfbeefd…
03-28 13:48:13	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x36450e…
03-28 07:02:39	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x07c560…
03-26 23:05:43	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xdeef8e…
03-26 22:51:05	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7abb94…
03-25 12:08:47	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x76d6dc…
03-24 23:36:05	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x8b1ac9…
03-24 23:35:55	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x3c23fc…
03-24 23:35:45	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x96aaeb…
03-24 23:35:35	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xc8a79b…
03-24 23:30:31	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x2b9a75…
03-23 10:48:29	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x74c8ec…
03-23 07:20:09	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	Yes	SELL	52	82¢	$43	0xecbf0d…
03-23 04:54:05	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	Yes	SELL	48	82¢	$39	0xacb78e…
03-22 23:43:59	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x777bd7…
03-22 23:41:15	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc057e3…
03-18 23:13:35	will sp 500 spx hit 6500 low in march 2026	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xdabfd7…