Fuzzy-Closing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$935

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

112

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$2.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 09-04 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 40% +$1,084

Other

11% 21% -$59

Sports

3% 22% -$78

Politics

1% 25% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:10 UTC	2	$880	1,000	929	+71	Up	+$931	04-07 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	6	$146	100	97	+4	Up	+$49	04-25 07:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$117	123	120	+3	No	+$42	04-08 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$113	65	64	+1	Up	+$14	04-25 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$110	73	71	+2	Up	+$33	04-25 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	7	$76	48	46	+1	Up	+$17	04-27 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$73	44	43	+1	Up	+$14	04-27 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:25 UTC	3	$66	59	55	+3	Down	+$47	04-15 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:10 UTC	2	$55	43	41	+2	Up	+$27	04-15 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 10:40 UTC	3	$54	34	33	+1	Up	+$13	04-24 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$51	38	37	+2	Up	+$23	04-26 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$50	37	35	+2	Up	+$21	04-25 16:10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$45	456	0	+456	No	-$45	06-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$5	04-26 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$44	25	25	+0	Up	+$5	04-26 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 10:25 UTC	3	$44	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	04-24 10:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	2	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	03-30 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:55 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	03-27 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$40	61	0	+61	Down	-$40	04-26 10:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 10:20 UTC	3	$35	21	20	+0	Up	+$6	04-24 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:55 UTC	2	$34	31	29	+2	Up	+$26	04-15 16:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:40 UTC	2	$33	25	24	+1	Up	+$15	04-23 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:40 UTC	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	+$8	03-27 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 07:35 UTC	7	$28	20	19	+1	Down	+$7	04-11 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$24	31	30	+1	Down	-$5	04-27 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 10:15 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-24 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$20	51	0	+51	Up	-$20	04-26 10:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$20	87	0	+87	Yes	-$20	04-08 05:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$20	28	0	+28	Yes	-$20	04-09 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	03-30 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 13:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe9c045…
09-04 13:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x68d84b…
09-04 13:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf7b578…
09-04 13:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2fb883…
07-11 07:29:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0x0bd484…
07-11 07:29:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0xf3cc2c…
07-11 07:29:07	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0xfd0df8…
07-03 22:01:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x202d85…
06-22 17:06:08	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb60f3d…
06-22 17:06:01	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x34bd70…
06-19 18:17:37	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xfd895c…
06-19 18:17:26	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x01eb85…
06-17 05:49:46	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x8b3783…
06-17 05:40:17	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf8d79d…
06-13 17:58:36	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x98d22c…
06-13 17:58:13	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3a87e1…
06-13 17:58:01	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x959093…
06-13 17:57:45	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5e97c6…
06-13 17:57:30	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe148f2…
06-13 17:57:21	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf5b05f…
06-13 17:56:33	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe6219d…
06-13 17:52:52	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$8	0x7cdb24…
06-13 05:01:28	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x608569…
06-12 18:44:30	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9d0bb0…
06-12 06:23:43	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x97400f…
06-12 06:22:13	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1cf4b0…
06-12 06:22:01	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x72ad51…
06-12 06:21:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x960e08…
06-12 06:20:06	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xbc4e9e…
06-11 14:22:09	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xad62cc…
06-11 14:20:18	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x92b9d5…
06-11 14:14:28	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0xb7209f…
05-31 18:22:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	215	9¢	$20	0x856fa2…
05-27 05:49:19	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xba94f8…
05-21 06:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc74c6d…
05-21 06:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x98e6e6…
05-21 06:41:26	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x9c557b…
05-21 06:38:52	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x63f15b…
05-21 06:38:26	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0xbd3c91…
05-21 06:38:10	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x318a17…
05-04 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf49b16…
05-04 08:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd2810d…
05-04 08:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e3c4f…
05-04 08:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x534b14…
05-04 06:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x56d4d1…
04-29 07:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd8b01d…
04-29 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0522bb…
04-27 06:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7d09f7…
04-27 06:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3211dd…
04-27 06:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x5c9199…
04-27 06:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd19dd2…
04-27 06:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfe71e1…
04-27 06:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x54fe77…
04-27 06:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1be213…
04-27 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xc56e88…
04-27 06:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x84f41c…
04-27 06:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf14533…
04-27 06:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0d9188…
04-27 06:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7a948a…
04-27 06:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7355d0…
04-27 06:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x54b1a8…
04-27 06:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x549047…
04-27 06:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7b0f4a…
04-27 06:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb2bccd…
04-26 15:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbdc0a7…
04-26 15:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6ad565…
04-26 15:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x262dff…
04-26 15:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5aac5d…
04-26 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xd9928e…
04-26 15:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x18845d…
04-26 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6d2fd5…
04-26 15:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xda1b05…
04-26 15:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0xf02b40…
04-26 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x921cf7…
04-26 15:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb9e7a7…
04-26 11:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x101675…
04-26 11:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x81b180…
04-26 11:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xafcaf8…
04-26 11:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	240	4¢	$9	0x0667e6…
04-26 10:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xacb9c5…
04-26 10:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x149dd2…
04-26 10:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xa5e3c3…
04-26 10:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6a6b0d…
04-26 10:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x87616d…
04-26 10:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd01c1d…
04-26 10:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe95ade…
04-25 20:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xdf55b1…
04-25 20:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x30fb80…
04-25 20:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe143a8…
04-25 20:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb9c0ac…
04-25 20:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x455fa0…
04-25 20:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x75a4a0…
04-25 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x6cc585…
04-25 16:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdc99e2…
04-25 16:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd3983a…
04-25 16:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1fefe3…
04-25 16:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xd6c25d…
04-25 16:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x7cdce7…
04-25 16:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x343d07…
04-25 16:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa8998d…