Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,539
lifetime
Volume
$5.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$22
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-21 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
67%
Other
23% 0% $-6
Crypto
9%
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +10 $8 85¢ $8 +$0 06-26 16:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -25 $-4 30¢ $-7 $-4 06-01 17:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +19 $4 22¢ $4 +$0 07-21 02:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 07-21 15:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +0 $4 26¢ $0 $-4 06-17 20:39