Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,276
lifetime
Volume
$5.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$65
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-09 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
69%
Other
23% 0% $-6
Crypto
7%
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -65 $-21 32¢ $-21 $-0 06-08 23:18
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May? No +11 $10 84¢ $9 $-1 06-08 08:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +13 $5 62¢ $8 +$3 06-06 21:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +9 $6 62¢ $6 $-0 06-03 06:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-6 90¢ $-5 +$1 06-09 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -25 $-4 18¢ $-4 $-1 06-01 17:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +14 $6 28¢ $4 $-2 06-03 06:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-3 68¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 16:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +7 $2 29¢ $2 $-0 06-08 10:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +77 $2 $2 $-0 06-08 14:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -111 $-3 $-1 +$2 05-28 21:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $-4 24¢ $0 +$4 06-08 11:44