Realized P&L
+$118
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
475
Trades
2,489
lifetime
Volume
$9.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$12
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-30 07:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Politics
74% 45% +$376
Other
20% 36% -$167
Crypto
6% 36% -$85
Sports
1% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +5 $2 99¢ $4 +$2 07-28 09:38
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$1 06-26 16:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? No +4 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 10-30 07:33
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 Yes +13 $2 15¢ $2 $0 07-21 02:48
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 Yes +4 $2 12¢ $1 -$2 08-17 04:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 85¢ $0 +$0 09-03 09:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 $0 07-28 05:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +0 $4 15¢ $0 -$4 06-17 20:39
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +0 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 10-29 01:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 09-29 18:37
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 09-24 21:25