Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$792

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-18 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

74% 49% -$93

Other

15% 30% -$23

Sports

11% 40% -$11

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+199	$9	2¢	$5	-$4	09-28 21:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$2	57¢	$2	+$0	10-08 04:37
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+52	$3	2¢	$1	-$1	10-07 14:05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+30	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-18 21:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$82	64	64	+0	Yes	+$5	05-25 00:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$69	57	57	+0	No	+$44	05-22 23:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$41	748	748	+0	open	—	05-26 17:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$35	40	0	+40	No	-$35	05-25 14:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$35	21	21	+0	No	+$5	05-24 07:57
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	6	$35	337	138	+199	open	—	09-28 21:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	5	$34	42	0	+42	No	-$34	05-25 22:45
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$33	18	18	+0	No	+$2	05-25 00:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$28	23	23	+0	No	-$4	05-24 14:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	3	$24	27	0	+27	No	-$24	05-25 22:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	5	$24	26	0	+26	No	-$24	05-25 22:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$22	221	74	+147	No	-$19	06-17 05:54
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$22	116	116	+0	No	$0	05-27 22:49
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	3	$21	28	28	+0	open	—	09-24 22:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$17	12	12	+0	No	+$4	10-05 01:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	22	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	10-18 21:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$16	25	0	+25	Yes	+$8	05-23 21:08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	3	$15	93	93	+0	open	—	10-05 01:01
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$13	290	290	+0	No	+$5	06-26 09:30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$12	14	1	+13	No	-$9	05-25 22:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	2	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	05-25 22:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$8	25	25	+0	No	$0	06-02 10:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	09-17 20:24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	9	$7	10	7	+3	Yes	+$0	05-25 06:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	7	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	10-15 20:58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	2	$7	9	9	+0	New York Yankees	-$1	05-24 21:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	4	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	09-29 12:25
will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	3	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	-$6	06-29 19:35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	1	$6	13	0	+13	New York Yankees	-$6	05-24 02:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	4	$6	29	0	+29	Yes	-$2	08-04 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 22:08:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8ea0db…
10-18 21:48:42	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x8b39f2…
10-18 21:41:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x4b4f7b…
10-15 20:58:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8cc1ae…
10-11 21:53:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xee2102…
10-11 20:59:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x4dba38…
10-11 20:58:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xadff64…
10-11 18:59:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x636714…
10-11 18:58:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xda8570…
10-11 17:33:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xab64b1…
10-11 17:25:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x803f85…
10-11 17:24:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x54e946…
10-11 16:28:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x1e9107…
10-11 16:19:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x8a5936…
10-11 13:58:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4a934…
10-11 13:58:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf942aa…
10-11 11:43:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x53c856…
10-10 23:27:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x391ffa…
10-10 23:25:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xb25d96…
10-10 23:25:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xdbac3d…
10-10 22:50:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x5925eb…
10-10 22:49:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x017e18…
10-10 22:48:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x8f24b2…
10-10 21:16:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x286738…
10-10 21:16:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x2c4534…
10-10 21:09:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeffa56…
10-10 21:08:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x7b94a1…
10-08 04:42:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9a09c7…
10-08 04:37:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7b7363…
10-08 04:36:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xf44cfe…
10-07 14:05:44	Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x721157…
10-07 00:15:17	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9ffe6e…
10-06 17:26:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x341880…
10-05 09:46:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb10727…
10-05 02:42:50	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xe43959…
10-05 01:01:26	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	6¢	$6	0x8c4144…
10-05 01:00:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$11	0x63f352…
09-30 03:40:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf3b4b1…
09-30 03:40:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x62604f…
09-30 03:37:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x3528d5…
09-29 22:24:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc604f4…
09-29 14:03:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd914e4…
09-29 12:40:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x52f836…
09-29 12:25:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdc2a75…
09-28 21:36:27	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x90fe34…
09-27 13:27:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7d4f77…
09-27 03:09:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xbb60fa…
09-26 02:42:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x754b69…
09-25 23:02:23	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x2beef3…
09-25 22:37:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3f803f…
09-25 22:37:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xdeb110…
09-24 22:09:02	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x3e7713…
09-24 22:03:54	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0x089004…
09-24 22:02:48	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	No	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0x6b4cb6…
09-17 20:25:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfbfbd5…
09-17 20:25:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x864595…
09-17 20:24:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x4f735d…
09-15 21:52:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8c077a…
09-15 21:52:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd2a0f9…
09-15 17:47:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbffa75…
09-15 17:47:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xdb67be…
09-14 17:26:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x87f848…
09-14 17:26:12	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb615d9…
09-05 06:52:45	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xfe86d8…
09-05 06:20:54	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x4c03b2…
09-05 06:20:22	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xae6354…
09-05 06:20:12	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x34f1fe…
09-04 18:52:39	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9ea3f4…
09-04 04:56:34	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x409028…
08-04 13:54:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xead10e…
08-04 12:28:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x17d109…
08-03 13:23:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x712084…
08-03 13:00:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd38771…
08-03 12:59:20	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2906ca…
08-03 12:52:21	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xa31b46…
08-03 01:32:03	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x0a41f8…
08-02 18:27:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xa8d5d3…
07-29 03:32:50	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x837f95…
07-29 03:08:17	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x49ae49…
07-29 03:01:59	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb4252e…
06-29 19:35:16	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x50cc2f…
06-29 18:36:07	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x8d1c1c…
06-29 17:46:22	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb7563b…
06-29 17:42:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa6e6b1…
06-27 02:12:46	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xe32547…
06-26 17:34:43	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9fdd60…
06-26 17:34:23	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x84326a…
06-26 17:31:58	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xc62b05…
06-26 17:31:46	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x604e6a…
06-26 15:31:35	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x995084…
06-26 15:31:31	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc35b1c…
06-26 10:04:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8ca706…
06-26 09:57:52	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa75178…
06-26 09:31:17	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x719555…
06-26 09:30:44	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	290	3¢	$9	0x6b14fc…
06-26 08:36:41	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbfbe3c…
06-26 00:43:22	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xc2acf7…
06-25 10:53:20	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xda3501…
06-25 10:52:26	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x11f2fc…
06-25 00:01:56	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0x370706…