Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

134

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$215

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-29

last 11-11 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

72% 52% -$8

Politics

23% 68% +$20

Tech

5% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$0	11-10 16:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	+1	$1	65¢	$1	$0	11-11 16:50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	+2	$1	39¢	$1	$0	11-10 08:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$5	6	+6	No	-$2	08-13 18:57
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 00:51
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 22:57
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-19 09:35
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-02 19:03
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-01 11:43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-20 21:26
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-08 15:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	Up	-$2	09-18 15:00
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-21 14:28
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$7	09-23 15:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 08:54
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 22:29
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-24 02:32
Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 00:32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-26 17:56
will ewy dip to 181 by september 7 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-11 01:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 20:41
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-13 21:39
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-21 06:00
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-16 02:17
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-17 10:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-23 07:33
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-08 00:19
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-27 13:04
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-01 23:25
spx up or down on august 3 2026	1	$2	12	+12	Up	-$2	08-03 08:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 14:36
will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-27 05:04
will nvda dip to 220 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-17 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 16:50:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe9d963…
11-11 08:49:01	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 13?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc4c4d7…
11-11 00:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x121701…
11-10 16:48:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x95b5e4…
11-10 08:48:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x592dd2…
11-06 10:57:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x34b887…
11-06 01:23:30	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x874b50…
11-05 13:17:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc9bb79…
11-05 02:55:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6c6ce8…
11-04 05:32:25	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2f6078…
11-03 17:55:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x061958…
11-03 08:33:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe39837…
11-03 00:33:22	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdeac54…
11-02 16:31:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfcffcb…
11-02 08:15:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0d280d…
11-02 00:15:01	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xebb156…
10-30 01:51:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xac34b6…
10-29 17:17:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9f74af…
10-26 06:33:54	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x919e7d…
10-25 22:33:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb469d2…
10-25 14:32:21	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x68dc32…
10-25 05:37:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb6b2d6…
10-24 16:10:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x998518…
10-23 21:27:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x866b18…
10-23 12:55:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf460c8…
10-21 03:06:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc945f9…
10-20 17:58:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe4b00a…
10-20 09:19:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb71d6f…
10-20 01:19:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b11af…
10-19 17:19:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeb9616…
10-19 09:18:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe343a6…
10-19 01:18:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x02d32b…
10-18 17:18:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x192afc…
10-18 07:42:57	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x87ea68…
10-17 22:58:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7e02bf…
10-17 04:25:26	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7ae171…
10-16 13:03:31	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5f812b…
10-16 12:38:24	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d6c02…
10-16 01:51:09	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xca658f…
10-15 16:44:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd6039e…
10-15 08:30:44	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9bdf73…
10-15 00:03:03	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x388678…
10-14 11:21:40	will googl reach 365 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9e629c…
10-14 03:17:04	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x05c596…
10-13 19:16:37	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd94ffc…
10-12 23:03:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x21c490…
10-12 15:01:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71dd75…
10-12 06:44:49	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x24a19f…
10-11 22:44:27	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $219 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd937bd…
10-11 14:39:33	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2724f7…
10-11 06:39:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbad6b9…
10-10 21:13:57	Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.95B?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd0c81d…
10-10 02:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfff854…
10-09 15:50:54	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3e95a0…
10-09 06:27:31	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8cec49…
10-08 22:27:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf120a6…
10-08 10:06:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8b2155…
10-08 00:38:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa96317…
10-07 16:36:41	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x82761a…
10-07 07:18:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc82419…
10-06 23:17:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8f6eec…
10-06 14:36:30	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc4f6f7…
10-06 06:17:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xffc322…
10-05 22:16:46	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x02186b…
10-05 14:15:16	will ewy dip to 184 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3c0c35…
10-05 00:57:35	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8ffe4a…
10-05 00:45:01	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x72475d…
10-02 13:57:17	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x806f82…
10-02 05:42:47	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x38f7aa…
10-01 12:06:23	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd30c02…
10-01 12:02:33	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85e1c5…
10-01 04:00:45	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4e07e6…
09-30 18:53:11	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8ee0ad…
09-30 07:04:14	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xccb1e4…
09-29 23:03:14	will pltr reach 189 by september 28 2026 from september 29	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x51a42f…
09-29 15:02:11	will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe4e3b5…
09-29 05:24:29	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd66f18…
09-28 21:23:57	will meta reach 730 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x302f02…
09-28 13:14:29	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd07546…
09-28 04:58:20	will aapl reach 344 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x871f12…
09-27 20:58:09	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x005f07…
09-27 08:24:47	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xabf8f9…
09-26 22:15:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x714780…
09-26 10:48:35	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x57da01…
09-26 01:13:47	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc74fd9…
09-23 15:39:49	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x266e5d…
09-23 07:33:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe80f59…
09-21 22:29:07	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2ff018…
09-21 14:28:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd933f6…
09-21 06:00:42	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xfccea5…
09-20 21:26:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf2f495…
09-19 09:35:37	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x0f4df5…
09-19 00:51:34	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xfe0996…
09-18 15:00:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc2eeff…
09-17 10:46:09	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x41233e…
09-16 20:41:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x90c1ff…
09-16 10:19:10	wti closes above 105 on september 16 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2d458f…
09-16 02:17:58	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x15033f…
09-14 05:40:22	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xaeb668…
09-13 21:39:24	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x3b5b04…