Phony-Contingency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$356

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

887

Trades

7,169

lifetime

Volume

$105.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-17 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% +$356

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	4	$995	632	632	+0	Up	+$246	05-06 19:57
btc updown 15m 1769178600	3	$842	425	425	+0	open	—	01-23 14:41
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$812	734	734	+0	Up	$-188	05-14 00:06
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$604	407	407	+0	open	—	05-15 19:41
btc updown 5m 1772983200	1	$600	612	0	+612	open	—	03-08 15:24
btc updown 5m 1772999400	1	$600	612	0	+612	open	—	03-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	2	$557	361	361	+0	Down	+$87	05-05 07:52
bitcoin up or down january 25 5am et	6	$550	504	53	+451	open	—	01-25 10:53
btc updown 15m 1769445000	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	01-26 16:44
btc updown 5m 1771627800	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	02-20 22:54
btc updown 5m 1771274100	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	02-16 20:39
btc updown 5m 1771276500	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	02-16 21:20
bitcoin up or down january 27 4pm et	3	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	01-27 21:59
btc updown 15m 1770670800	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	02-09 21:13
btc updown 15m 1769434200	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	01-26 13:45
btc updown 15m 1769470200	3	$499	501	0	+501	open	—	01-26 23:44
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$426	335	335	+0	open	—	05-22 23:41
bitcoin up or down january 22 2pm et	3	$405	206	206	+0	open	—	01-22 19:47
btc updown 5m 1771273200	1	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	02-16 20:24
xrp updown 15m 1776393000	1	$400	601	0	+601	open	—	04-17 02:30
btc updown 4h 1770210000	1	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	02-04 16:46
btc updown 15m 1769290200	1	$400	402	0	+402	open	—	01-24 21:44
btc updown 15m 1771958700	2	$398	206	206	+0	open	—	02-24 18:59
btc updown 5m 1781016600	1	$395	690	0	+690	open	—	06-09 14:50
bitcoin up or down january 22 9am et	4	$395	206	206	+0	open	—	01-22 14:56
btc updown 5m 1771628700	1	$392	396	0	+396	open	—	02-20 23:09
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	2	$356	200	200	+0	Up	+$40	05-13 16:56
xrp updown 15m 1776749400	3	$337	559	0	+559	open	—	04-21 05:30
eth updown 15m 1776867300	3	$324	517	0	+517	open	—	04-22 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$308	371	371	+0	open	—	05-15 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 08:00:16	xrp updown 4h 1781683200	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x049781…
06-17 08:00:11	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x91d885…
06-17 01:30:20	xrp updown 15m 1781659800	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8aa6db…
06-17 01:00:14	solana up or down june 16 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0fad86…
06-17 00:00:11	btc updown 4h 1781654400	Up	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0xd07711…
06-16 20:00:41	btc updown 4h 1781640000	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0d68d7…
06-16 19:00:16	xrp up or down june 16 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd094b0…
06-16 15:00:11	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x121e14…
06-16 14:00:11	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5292dc…
06-16 12:00:10	btc updown 4h 1781611200	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4a21eb…
06-16 09:01:27	sol updown 15m 1781600400	Down	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x0e4f3f…
06-16 09:01:25	sol updown 15m 1781600400	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xcdde43…
06-16 09:01:25	sol updown 15m 1781600400	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xa37ceb…
06-16 09:01:25	sol updown 15m 1781600400	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x831e60…
06-16 09:01:25	sol updown 15m 1781600400	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x210482…
06-16 09:00:12	solana up or down june 16 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6cc8ef…
06-16 09:00:12	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x66b6ce…
06-16 08:45:12	sol updown 15m 1781599500	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x6f91ec…
06-16 08:01:46	sol updown 15m 1781596800	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9e2c60…
06-16 08:01:46	sol updown 15m 1781596800	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0b71dd…
06-16 08:00:12	eth updown 4h 1781596800	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x21f9a0…
06-16 06:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781592000	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x75d251…
06-16 06:35:13	btc updown 5m 1781591700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x494822…
06-16 04:00:12	btc updown 4h 1781582400	Up	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x702173…
06-16 02:00:16	xrp up or down june 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcdbb97…
06-16 02:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x7f724f…
06-16 02:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x66a71b…
06-16 02:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	277	60¢	$166	0x41c955…
06-16 02:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x03be9c…
06-16 00:00:40	btc updown 4h 1781568000	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6d7018…
06-15 21:00:12	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x41e426…
06-15 21:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xe34ad0…
06-15 20:00:12	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1872e8…
06-15 20:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x09b3af…
06-15 18:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	135	55¢	$75	0xa3c273…
06-15 17:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0xf9d770…
06-15 17:00:15	solana up or down june 15 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x872271…
06-15 17:00:15	solana up or down june 15 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x1126de…
06-15 16:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xed6b5c…
06-15 16:00:13	sol updown 4h 1781539200	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa29784…
06-15 16:00:12	btc updown 4h 1781539200	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x17a49f…
06-15 16:00:12	solana up or down june 15 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x10aa81…
06-15 16:00:10	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xe7fe93…
06-15 15:00:15	xrp up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xda5413…
06-15 15:00:13	solana up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x581f99…
06-15 15:00:10	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x878161…
06-13 00:00:15	eth updown 4h 1781308800	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x55649e…
06-13 00:00:15	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x307676…
06-12 23:00:12	ethereum up or down june 12 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x47548b…
06-12 10:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x1c4302…
06-12 09:50:15	eth updown 5m 1781257800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4eb9c6…
06-12 08:30:15	btc updown 15m 1781253000	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd6a8eb…
06-12 08:30:12	btc updown 5m 1781253000	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7cfd84…
06-12 05:15:13	btc updown 5m 1781241300	Up	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x5a68a2…
06-12 05:10:15	btc updown 5m 1781241000	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xc5cfdb…
06-12 05:05:10	btc updown 5m 1781240700	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5f6f1b…
06-12 02:15:15	eth updown 5m 1781230500	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d8594…
06-12 02:00:12	ethereum up or down june 11 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd9aba0…
06-12 01:34:10	btc updown 5m 1781227800	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xf8d947…
06-12 01:30:15	btc updown 5m 1781227800	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5046eb…
06-12 00:00:12	btc updown 4h 1781222400	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x56ac3b…
06-11 11:01:19	btc updown 5m 1781175600	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6e8a69…
06-11 10:57:01	btc updown 5m 1781175300	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x854f65…
06-11 10:55:15	btc updown 5m 1781175300	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x134c37…
06-11 08:00:12	btc updown 4h 1781164800	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5d3860…
06-11 02:00:15	xrp up or down june 10 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb44943…
06-11 02:00:13	solana up or down june 10 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5ba652…
06-11 02:00:12	ethereum up or down june 10 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9441be…
06-11 02:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0xcc4188…
06-11 01:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe7bcaf…
06-11 00:00:10	btc updown 4h 1781136000	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xbe1ce5…
06-10 08:00:15	xrp updown 4h 1781078400	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x751ff4…
06-10 08:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x38da41…
06-09 21:00:16	xrp up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2c0f5c…
06-09 21:00:13	solana up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8b6dd5…
06-09 21:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	86	54¢	$46	0xff08ee…
06-09 21:00:12	ethereum up or down june 9 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe39131…
06-09 20:00:15	xrp up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf27a1f…
06-09 20:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0xe7eb8a…
06-09 19:00:13	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xea56b4…
06-09 17:00:13	solana up or down june 9 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfc6195…
06-09 17:00:12	ethereum up or down june 9 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x628546…
06-09 16:20:15	sol updown 5m 1781022000	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x78b650…
06-09 16:00:42	btc updown 4h 1781020800	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x391c8a…
06-09 16:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	88	56¢	$50	0xaf17bb…
06-09 15:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x4321af…
06-09 14:50:24	xrp updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	104	68¢	$71	0xd33c3a…
06-09 14:50:12	xrp updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	54	58¢	$32	0xfcd126…
06-09 14:50:12	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	690	57¢	$395	0x937d19…
06-09 14:45:12	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Up	BUY	307	50¢	$153	0x6d6619…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xdc0732…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xce2c45…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x92cfeb…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8114cb…
06-09 14:40:12	xrp updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0x64069b…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x4d10bc…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x430434…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x320de8…
06-09 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781016000	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$15	0x208c6a…
06-09 14:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Up	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x07bd1f…