Fuzzy-Mandate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

941

lifetime

Volume

$9.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-30 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

73% 95% +$1

Sports

20% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	07-01 04:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
bun lei moe 2026 04 11 lei	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 15:26
wta sonmez paolini 2026 04 14	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 13:14
O/U 2.5 Rounds	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 01:12
hr1 gor lok 2026 04 17 total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 15:02
mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-13 01:55
ufc den2 mar91 2026 04 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 23:48
Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 30, 9AM ET?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 13:08
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 22:34
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals nico williams gte1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-21 18:24
cs2 dep dm2 2026 06 25	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 11:18
highest temperature in dallas on april 10 2026 70 71f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 16:23
tur gal koc 2026 04 12 koc	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 19:06
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 23:57
SK Poltava vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 1.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 13:54
Madrid Open: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Alexandra Eala	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 13:13
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-31 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:02:02	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3d5d8…
07-01 02:18:37	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x424fca…
06-30 19:08:04	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x324d5b…
06-30 18:01:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a3b65…
06-30 10:12:49	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe563a0…
06-30 04:26:02	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac8159…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29ad6b…
06-29 23:57:47	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x076b30…
06-29 22:43:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86e6ed…
06-29 19:15:11	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47c069…
06-29 19:07:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x388cfb…
06-29 14:13:53	cs2 ast sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdc227…
06-29 13:52:44	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e1195…
06-29 11:28:23	cs2 berg aimhau 2026 06 29	Esport BERG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c2b7f…
06-28 20:00:05	mar1 mad uye 2026 06 28 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x841e08…
06-28 18:23:02	crint aus2 ind3 2026 06 28	Australia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37e731…
06-28 17:22:10	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x688c4f…
06-28 17:02:31	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x970893…
06-28 04:00:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9b0be…
06-28 03:40:56	will harry kane score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611170337379	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x741d46…
06-28 02:03:22	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedc280…
06-28 01:32:04	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3aed1e…
06-27 23:22:13	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 assists jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a0e7…
06-27 20:38:17	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23dc6b…
06-27 20:00:17	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c0ebb…
06-27 03:05:29	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x919dcb…
06-27 01:50:53	mlb wsh bal 2026 06 26 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64b105…
06-26 21:15:07	will googl dip to 335 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9246b3…
06-26 18:22:38	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8334dc…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf26ae6…
06-26 00:55:50	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x786265…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdba6c7…
06-25 11:18:02	cs2 dep dm2 2026 06 25	DEPO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee8524…
06-25 04:14:46	mlb oak sf 2026 06 24 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e44bf…
06-25 02:03:04	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x48e747…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e1fb2…
06-25 00:07:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdefee6…
06-25 00:04:59	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69b7ac…
06-25 00:04:49	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x800754…
06-24 19:59:05	itf delattr torcq 2026 06 24 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5f793…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c2f9a…
06-23 19:09:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56236f…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a5726…
06-23 02:15:34	mlb ari stl 2026 06 22 spread home 3pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x086e90…
06-22 19:05:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1685ba…
06-21 18:24:37	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals nico williams gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed62d7…
06-20 22:41:52	codmw tor tex 2026 06 20 game2	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e2f11…
06-20 21:07:22	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d99b0…
06-20 20:06:38	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c9eab…
06-20 19:13:16	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ba38a…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29e0c5…
06-20 02:55:20	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15987c…
06-20 02:40:34	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb9cde…
06-20 02:37:17	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5037a5…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x354894…
06-19 16:36:55	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e4cc0…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58867b…
06-19 13:51:53	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13bbf7…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd38de5…
06-18 22:59:29	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1b7f0…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77d6a2…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9abce2…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecc83b…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c8ec1…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe60ac0…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd568b…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05f632…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ff4b0…
06-17 16:07:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12af1e…
06-17 00:09:20	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd05d15…
06-17 00:03:08	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60484b…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab7a0b…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41737d…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71d17e…
06-15 03:25:55	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6351ed…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74ab8a…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd12d4f…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf2772…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9093be…
06-13 21:17:48	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners team away 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60c0b0…
06-13 01:55:03	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e024a…
06-12 23:27:33	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b7b14…
06-12 21:24:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c7414…
06-12 20:26:55	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x711d13…
06-12 20:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x022685…
06-12 20:17:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf17b9…
06-12 13:30:06	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf72292…
06-12 10:42:21	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23c5de…
06-12 10:42:03	cs2 ruby1 g2a 2026 06 12 game2 round handicap ruby1 6pt5	G2 Ares	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x917e32…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac914b…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc02f0d…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21523d…
06-11 01:09:25	mlb sea bal 2026 06 10 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9af45b…
06-11 01:03:45	mlb sea bal 2026 06 10 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x50cff2…
06-10 20:16:58	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01a79e…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41a255…
06-10 12:09:03	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08 set handicap away 1pt5	Boogaard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x852aa2…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9f5ce…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf31b57…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2607b…