Fuzzy-Mandate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

1,623

Trades

1,682

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-10 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

77% 98% +$3

Sports

17% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:03
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:03
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:10
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 17:37:54	Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz	Carole Monnet	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52d8ba…
11-10 03:41:39	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89aed4…
11-09 03:28:40	Matsuyama: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda	Ryuki Matsuda	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x72309d…
11-08 18:10:33	Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais	Emile Hudd	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7a1b8…
11-08 04:25:51	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9d231…
11-07 16:38:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0d4e5…
11-07 16:11:31	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4449de…
11-01 02:36:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c47a1…
11-01 01:39:04	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaf22c…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07c002…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f0f77…
11-01 00:05:18	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfdcf42…
10-31 16:00:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14d7b4…
10-30 16:44:27	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x908be5…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a96a0…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27305a…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f5b37…
10-24 13:22:36	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb8e42c…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57e150…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc27b9e…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x626de2…
10-21 17:06:29	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e7275…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x194e86…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f3f2…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd660c…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeef37a…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9bff7…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fb5b5…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd13b39…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fc5ab…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f8b62…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x192a80…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef0c67…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x466682…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb480e3…
10-12 09:08:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x894160…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd70bc…
10-11 10:49:50	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa3d909…
10-11 10:26:15	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7015e5…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb76f3…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x604319…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b3362…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf039e6…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd1d75…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6eb2d…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b28d…
10-06 07:28:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78b7a7…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d7429…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x999f2a…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x902188…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2bb5ad…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x032d10…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x225381…
10-03 05:56:15	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Camila Osorio	Coco Gauff	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bd4a9…
10-03 05:54:29	wta sakkari hunter 2026 10 01	Maria Sakkari	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7d8839…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e1317…
10-02 18:14:00	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x63866f…
10-02 18:12:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x623700…
10-02 14:15:24	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbedb29…
10-02 14:12:53	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1a5f5…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19602a…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2010bf…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d96f6…
10-01 11:29:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x532e72…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec52f9…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a98cc…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e341…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x112942…
09-30 12:28:00	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x71499d…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7c1fb…
09-29 13:58:56	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c2a3a…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xadbd89…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe89e4b…
09-29 06:34:48	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269667…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5c4bb…
09-27 20:16:14	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e295c…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1505a2…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffc7b1…
09-27 12:11:57	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40a669…
09-27 00:27:47	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b752a…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61cd49…
09-26 20:01:36	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc49be1…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x421d7f…
09-26 16:22:56	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e6c7c…
09-26 12:18:39	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x870eb2…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9f636b…
09-25 10:16:35	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3af37…
09-24 20:54:45	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e4d40…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d968d…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa0929…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10d366…
09-23 04:45:07	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe896bd…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c22e8…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c5a5e…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a9474…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f68ef…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9da1b5…
09-20 13:20:36	Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fc7de…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x478520…
09-19 20:39:09	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6344d…