Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

119

293 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$325

$928 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-21

last 11-08 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

74% — —

Other

22% 0% -$2

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	+20	$8	38¢	$8	$0	11-08 09:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+5	$4	86¢	$4	+$0	11-05 18:55
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+4	$3	87¢	$3	+$0	10-30 22:16
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+3	$2	83¢	$3	+$0	11-05 20:02
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	No	+7	$4	22¢	$2	-$3	11-08 06:32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+4	$1	17¢	$1	$0	10-30 23:23
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+2	$1	35¢	$1	-$1	11-06 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	57	$163	143	142	+2	open	—	11-08 01:32
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	61	$154	151	151	+0	open	—	11-07 22:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	30	$91	75	75	+0	open	—	11-06 07:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	19	$47	46	46	+0	open	—	11-05 12:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	14	$45	35	35	+0	open	—	10-31 06:09
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	10-28 18:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	18	$37	45	40	+5	open	—	11-05 23:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	13	$35	33	30	+3	open	—	11-06 02:50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$32	27	23	+4	open	—	11-05 06:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	14	$28	35	35	+0	open	—	11-06 18:25
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 12:42
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	4	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 22:11
Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 02:13
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 05:45
Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-23 23:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 08:09
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$17	20	16	+4	open	—	10-31 10:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-29 10:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	11-08 04:25
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	2	$14	20	13	+7	open	—	11-08 06:32
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	11-08 00:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 00:02
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 17:46
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 11:20
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	11-08 09:56
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	11-07 22:16
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	2	$7	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-24 09:54
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	11-05 12:34
Next Israeli government a minority government?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	10-28 18:47
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	10-30 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 09:56:28	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5b3be8…
11-08 06:32:07	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x668d8f…
11-08 05:35:58	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xccca0c…
11-08 04:25:19	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x5d3b25…
11-08 03:04:19	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x790729…
11-08 01:32:45	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x17cff8…
11-08 00:06:27	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4cc1f5…
11-07 22:36:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x08e665…
11-07 22:31:40	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x415df2…
11-07 22:28:22	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe8b802…
11-07 22:26:00	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x18a52d…
11-07 22:23:58	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdbc6be…
11-07 22:22:03	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1299c2…
11-07 22:19:07	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x393d2b…
11-07 22:18:51	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x97938c…
11-07 22:16:19	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe21d82…
11-07 20:42:37	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xd96833…
11-07 19:40:18	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1c8990…
11-07 19:37:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe90e27…
11-07 17:25:37	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x013d9e…
11-07 15:16:28	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x46b2bf…
11-07 13:30:51	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x9e15db…
11-07 13:14:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9459be…
11-07 08:30:09	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf03b9c…
11-07 02:05:10	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xdb0cf0…
11-06 23:52:13	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb3f00c…
11-06 23:47:36	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbca179…
11-06 21:21:06	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb1d9e5…
11-06 18:50:03	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x16b15c…
11-06 18:25:57	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x96bc88…
11-06 16:30:09	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xf5e3bf…
11-06 16:02:31	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb32c1c…
11-06 14:47:48	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x1becb9…
11-06 14:17:31	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb9d429…
11-06 13:52:04	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x290a32…
11-06 13:48:45	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x65fc0a…
11-06 12:51:36	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf282c7…
11-06 12:03:58	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x51df35…
11-06 10:07:34	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x42708f…
11-06 09:18:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x64e84a…
11-06 07:14:48	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x485dd3…
11-06 07:14:10	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xaf4d0c…
11-06 06:50:43	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0b1cd4…
11-06 02:50:06	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x6e8378…
11-06 02:34:15	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe55b1d…
11-06 02:13:01	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaeeafc…
11-05 23:36:40	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xee3b0d…
11-05 22:29:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x16843f…
11-05 22:24:57	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1160ab…
11-05 21:52:24	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x1aa13a…
11-05 21:36:12	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xfb618d…
11-05 21:31:57	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x9fbd2a…
11-05 21:31:28	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xf17cc6…
11-05 21:22:01	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x69d3f1…
11-05 21:00:42	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfb71b5…
11-05 20:13:31	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbc9063…
11-05 20:02:24	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x407728…
11-05 19:30:21	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe4c359…
11-05 19:26:21	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xf17690…
11-05 19:24:45	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x87331c…
11-05 18:55:31	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7d9061…
11-05 18:54:51	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x90d6d7…
11-05 18:47:51	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x7e2fc5…
11-05 18:31:43	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf6d8a8…
11-05 17:19:54	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6e4ad9…
11-05 17:14:49	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x16fbce…
11-05 17:05:13	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdb4b99…
11-05 16:57:03	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe4c5f5…
11-05 16:31:57	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x06d0c2…
11-05 16:02:24	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x5e75c2…
11-05 15:58:43	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x852683…
11-05 15:52:25	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x55a353…
11-05 15:34:43	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x9a86c7…
11-05 15:21:18	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x241754…
11-05 15:05:36	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xcf6c0e…
11-05 14:22:28	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x48e712…
11-05 14:19:03	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd6c946…
11-05 14:13:33	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xbee906…
11-05 13:58:24	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x16d9ce…
11-05 12:37:27	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x843cc3…
11-05 12:34:24	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xd7bae1…
11-05 12:06:18	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x4b3c0b…
11-05 12:04:34	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0ef201…
11-05 11:44:00	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xa55941…
11-05 11:40:24	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xada22a…
11-05 11:36:42	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x307847…
11-05 11:11:33	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6fe660…
11-05 10:57:10	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xb2cf7f…
11-05 10:43:43	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x92fe4a…
11-05 10:38:28	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4df515…
11-05 10:03:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xd06629…
11-05 10:01:19	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x7d1619…
11-05 09:30:21	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x013080…
11-05 09:10:21	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x40d414…
11-05 08:39:07	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xd77af6…
11-05 08:14:55	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x460820…
11-05 08:07:12	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5e2d8c…
11-05 06:56:07	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xd1b7dd…
11-05 06:46:36	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x4f4a0b…
11-05 06:17:00	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb3b197…