Realized P&L (90d)
-$107
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved (90d)
342
Trades (90d)
636
726 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.42K
$6.75K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$138
10 positions
First seen
2026-07-14
last 10-30 20:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
90% 64% -$68
Politics
5% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
0% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +608 $80 10¢ $59 -$21 09-30 20:16
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 Yes +49 $15 30¢ $15 $0 08-31 12:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +25 $10 57¢ $14 +$4 09-04 15:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 09-04 13:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 09-04 13:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +196 $15 4¢ $9 -$6 09-07 14:16
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 Yes +151 $10 4¢ $6 -$4 07-20 13:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20 $10 30¢ $6 -$4 09-04 15:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $10 30¢ $6 -$4 09-04 15:22
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-22 08:17