Stingy-Solicitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$42.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$307

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-18 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

59% 91% +$63

Crypto

32% 100% +$16

Politics

7% 100% +$15

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$3.5K	1,745	1,745	+0	No	+$10	03-06 21:53
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?	4	$2.1K	1,049	1,049	+0	No	+$1	05-21 02:17
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	3	$2.1K	1,049	1,049	+0	No	+$11	07-14 20:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	12	$2.0K	1,024	1,024	+0	No	+$9	06-23 06:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	No	+$2	05-27 14:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	+$1	05-25 13:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	05-14 11:37
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	10	$2.0K	998	998	+0	No	+$1	03-17 06:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	No	-$17	03-23 14:07
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2.0K	984	984	+0	No	+$5	03-26 08:42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	13	$1.9K	966	966	+0	No	+$2	05-21 18:16
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	2	$1.7K	877	877	+0	No	+$3	02-23 04:15
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	2	$1.7K	855	855	+0	No	+$3	02-26 13:46
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	+$3	02-12 03:30
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	6	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$2	01-30 07:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	4	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$17	09-18 05:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$18	09-13 12:31
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$1.0K	514	514	+0	No	+$4	06-28 01:41
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	23	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$4	06-30 00:40
will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	1	$983	984	0	+984	No	+$1	04-04 08:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	1	$982	983	0	+983	No	+$1	03-27 15:10
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$977	0	995	-995	Yes	-$18	01-28 16:54
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	2	$881	442	442	+0	No	+$1	06-29 08:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	2	$615	309	309	+0	Yes	+$2	06-12 16:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$598	402	201	+201	Yes	+$4	04-27 05:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$545	285	284	+1	No	+$7	04-17 13:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$421	428	0	+428	No	+$6	04-08 01:34
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	4	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$7	06-29 15:29
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$295	148	148	+0	No	+$0	07-31 18:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$293	147	147	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 05:40:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x68d179…
09-13 12:31:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x78344f…
09-13 12:31:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xd8ae61…
08-04 00:02:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	310	95¢	$296	0xba01c6…
08-02 21:09:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x7f9f98…
07-31 18:37:11	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$147	0x37c7c9…
07-31 09:09:05	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x65804f…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0xb1392c…
07-23 12:52:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x14240d…
07-21 14:42:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x99765c…
07-21 14:42:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x24c06f…
07-15 03:11:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$577	0x0a9124…
07-14 20:06:23	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1,049	100¢	$1,046	0xd9888d…
07-01 12:10:08	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	249	98¢	$245	0xa0f3a5…
06-30 11:24:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	800	99¢	$790	0x754659…
06-30 00:40:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	276	98¢	$270	0x617d69…
06-30 00:31:04	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x737e11…
06-30 00:01:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1ff162…
06-29 22:16:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xe4e59c…
06-29 21:52:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3c6fdb…
06-29 21:30:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0fb5af…
06-29 18:44:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8b1498…
06-29 17:38:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x38f73b…
06-29 15:29:53	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	164	100¢	$163	0x5e04d7…
06-29 11:29:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfdb192…
06-29 08:45:58	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	442	100¢	$441	0x7f4e9c…
06-29 00:46:20	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	442	100¢	$440	0x4617b2…
06-28 01:41:20	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	514	100¢	$514	0xd943b6…
06-27 15:43:40	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x374f50…
06-25 03:56:38	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xa74518…
06-25 02:13:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6b4d31…
06-25 00:41:37	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xf61af2…
06-24 23:57:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7717ae…
06-24 21:29:20	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf8df2d…
06-24 19:28:47	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbd2950…
06-24 18:52:23	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd77a4a…
06-24 18:38:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb09aba…
06-24 18:18:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xda19c7…
06-24 17:31:44	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0d6f79…
06-24 11:24:22	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa242f1…
06-24 11:19:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7be59c…
06-24 10:03:11	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xc3b23c…
06-24 09:16:23	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xd3d43c…
06-24 09:16:23	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x6a5d82…
06-23 10:53:41	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	525	97¢	$510	0x90af59…
06-23 06:56:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x0e2e4a…
06-23 06:49:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8112b3…
06-23 06:48:47	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x59095d…
06-23 06:48:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$134	0x9be90d…
06-23 06:48:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x2a4032…
06-23 06:48:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x40db11…
06-13 12:32:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	514	99¢	$510	0xe34759…
06-12 16:19:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	309	100¢	$308	0xa7aca9…
06-10 16:22:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0x2ecc54…
06-03 02:23:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	309	99¢	$306	0x35af12…
06-01 08:45:09	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x8f172f…
06-01 08:45:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf9cf9b…
05-30 01:49:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xd22728…
05-28 20:12:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x2e877a…
05-27 15:21:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,024	99¢	$1,010	0x2b5fb5…
05-27 14:16:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1,012	100¢	$1,010	0x24e838…
05-25 13:06:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1,012	100¢	$1,008	0x18ee6f…
05-25 13:02:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1,010	100¢	$1,008	0x2440ab…
05-22 03:32:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,010	100¢	$1,007	0x1b578f…
05-21 18:16:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xe19681…
05-21 18:13:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x8f0349…
05-21 18:13:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x0fb650…
05-21 18:11:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xa3acc1…
05-21 18:11:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x979e23…
05-21 18:10:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x53bb28…
05-21 18:06:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x1ce2b3…
05-21 18:06:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xfaa594…
05-21 18:04:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x47d150…
05-21 18:03:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x319257…
05-21 02:17:24	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x3bef80…
05-20 13:07:21	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x504b4c…
05-20 04:43:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa19bf6…
05-20 03:16:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbe3d85…
05-20 03:05:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	940	100¢	$937	0x71949a…
05-20 01:51:48	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	1,007	100¢	$1,006	0xf144ac…
05-19 04:51:44	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	1,007	100¢	$1,005	0x416896…
05-14 11:37:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,060	95¢	$1,003	0x19ed83…
05-07 08:53:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,060	94¢	$1,001	0xf466ec…
04-27 05:30:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x646beb…
04-25 13:59:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0xe32b58…
04-17 13:33:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	277	99¢	$275	0xb5c2b4…
04-17 13:33:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	284	97¢	$276	0xa0efe6…
04-08 01:37:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	98¢	$197	0xa005b8…
04-08 01:35:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xb93dca…
04-08 01:35:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	285	94¢	$269	0xbbc6db…
04-08 01:34:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	428	98¢	$421	0x8e5bfb…
04-04 08:43:23	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0x91e617…
03-27 15:10:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	983	100¢	$982	0x27f569…
03-26 08:42:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	984	100¢	$982	0xf8478b…
03-23 14:07:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	984	99¢	$977	0x042e22…
03-23 14:07:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,010	97¢	$977	0xfa2058…
03-18 15:59:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,010	98¢	$994	0x6acb50…
03-17 06:45:15	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	445	100¢	$443	0x38d947…
03-17 06:07:45	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	101	99¢	$101	0xb7e956…
03-17 05:51:27	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97a606…