Ornery-Slapstick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

147

Trades

524

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-04 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 56% +$11

Politics

11% 50% -$3

Other

9% 14% -$66

Sports

7% 31% -$19

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+34	$2	15¢	$5	+$3	05-02 19:58
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+33	$3	11¢	$3	+$1	05-07 09:31
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+48	$1	4¢	$2	+$1	05-02 19:57
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$4	6¢	$1	-$3	05-06 07:24
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$4	6¢	$1	-$3	05-02 20:06
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+18	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-02 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$159	85	85	+0	Yes	+$9	02-02 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	14	$69	47	47	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	14	$53	53	48	+5	Up	+$6	05-06 16:39
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$53	110	0	+110	No	-$53	05-31 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	9	$50	44	38	+6	Down	+$6	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	11	$46	51	45	+6	Down	+$6	05-06 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	10	$41	40	31	+9	Up	+$4	05-07 03:09
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	2	$40	78	0	+78	No	-$40	01-19 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	8	$33	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$31	27	20	+6	Down	-$1	05-06 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	8	$30	29	28	+2	Up	+$6	05-07 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$30	38	27	+11	Up	+$8	05-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$29	37	16	+21	Up	-$7	05-06 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	12	$29	29	21	+8	Down	+$2	05-09 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$28	31	17	+13	Down	+$1	05-20 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	9	$28	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	10	$27	23	23	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$24	16	16	+0	Up	-$2	05-06 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$24	26	18	+8	Down	+$2	05-06 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$24	40	10	+31	Down	-$14	05-09 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$24	29	12	+17	Up	-$4	05-03 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$23	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	9	$23	22	21	+1	Down	+$5	05-20 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	8	$22	20	16	+4	Down	+$1	05-06 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$22	35	0	+35	Down	-$13	05-03 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	7	$21	27	17	+10	Up	-$3	05-20 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$21	20	12	+9	Down	+$2	05-06 16:19
will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$20	31	31	+0	No	-$14	01-13 19:20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	121	0	+121	No	-$20	05-02 19:30
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$20	29	0	+29	No	-$20	05-04 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 19:07:16	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	89	6¢	$5	0xfd4764…
06-16 13:00:48	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xd603a6…
06-08 18:16:12	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x76300e…
06-08 18:12:45	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?	Yes	BUY	330	1¢	$3	0x3d5dc2…
06-06 19:28:46	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xc1766c…
06-06 17:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x15ee8c…
06-06 17:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5b3bc7…
06-06 17:05:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x52227e…
06-06 17:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8e97b6…
06-06 17:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe8291f…
06-06 17:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0ebe95…
06-06 17:00:49	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0xbee52a…
06-06 17:00:36	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x8bd15f…
06-06 16:59:40	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x0b4541…
06-06 16:59:15	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0x8e7f1c…
05-31 07:38:52	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x1324f6…
05-26 08:17:24	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa30510…
05-20 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x634ba7…
05-20 20:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc9ab0…
05-20 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d7db8…
05-20 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x55ca4c…
05-20 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x840596…
05-20 20:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x10ea86…
05-20 20:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2b20a2…
05-20 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6aca80…
05-20 20:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac30d7…
05-20 20:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbd6ec5…
05-20 20:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x36112a…
05-20 20:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9d7832…
05-20 20:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	61¢	$6	0xc0fe62…
05-20 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x491a56…
05-20 19:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x395826…
05-20 19:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf1f6e0…
05-20 19:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x88ceac…
05-20 19:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x31d6ca…
05-20 19:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf0a453…
05-20 19:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xf30af6…
05-20 19:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xe427b7…
05-20 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6f1e07…
05-20 19:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7d5915…
05-20 19:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3ed69d…
05-20 19:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4dc610…
05-20 19:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x2dd019…
05-20 19:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x923235…
05-20 19:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x937332…
05-20 19:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02a9cf…
05-14 15:25:22	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe6bf4a…
05-09 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x73f0c6…
05-09 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x26a580…
05-09 18:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xed51a0…
05-09 18:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbeda97…
05-09 18:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x378774…
05-09 18:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x31d0b4…
05-09 18:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd7a277…
05-09 18:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x220000…
05-09 18:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4aa2d4…
05-09 18:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc57b99…
05-09 18:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x5e8d11…
05-09 18:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaff26e…
05-09 18:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe189fd…
05-09 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc2c9b4…
05-09 17:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x97c244…
05-09 17:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x506e91…
05-09 17:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5c954e…
05-09 17:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xf82962…
05-09 17:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc0d3c1…
05-09 17:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdd7cc6…
05-09 17:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x117f02…
05-09 17:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xabcfa6…
05-09 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x902859…
05-09 17:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7c460b…
05-09 17:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc7c26b…
05-09 17:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x50f653…
05-09 17:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfbdaad…
05-09 17:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xa366b9…
05-09 17:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5cfab4…
05-09 17:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaa6870…
05-09 17:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb32574…
05-09 17:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x017b86…
05-09 17:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfc81f8…
05-09 17:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6afd8d…
05-09 17:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5cb1dc…
05-09 17:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7945e3…
05-09 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x3a25de…
05-09 17:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x30807e…
05-09 17:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc75e34…
05-09 17:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xea22d8…
05-09 17:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x34a217…
05-09 17:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x419392…
05-09 17:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcc80f7…
05-09 17:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1b9182…
05-09 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe4beb6…
05-07 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xb300f0…
05-07 13:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3c96c0…
05-07 13:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8fb50a…
05-07 13:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc76e99…
05-07 13:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6bb359…
05-07 13:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x846a9b…
05-07 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdd9add…
05-07 13:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x245a38…