Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

296

Trades

1,057

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$130

10 positions

First seen

2026-08-27

last 11-13 02:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

85% 60% +$51

Tech

5% 88% +$24

Crypto

4% 64% +$12

Politics

4% 56% -$11

Sports

2% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+81	$48	98¢	$80	+$32	09-26 13:51
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+149	$6	15¢	$23	+$17	10-18 21:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$6	76¢	$8	+$2	10-08 04:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+67	$12	10¢	$6	-$6	10-08 04:27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	+19	$6	22¢	$4	-$2	09-25 13:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	09-12 03:08
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?	No	+7	$3	33¢	$2	-$1	09-09 13:41
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	+20	$6	8¢	$2	-$4	09-11 15:13
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$0	83¢	$1	+$1	11-13 02:28
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+66	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	09-11 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	8	$48	81	0	+81	open	—	09-26 13:51
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	10	$34	32	32	+0	Yes	+$22	09-24 22:15
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$31	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	09-17 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	4	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$11	09-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 9?	4	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$11	09-09 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11?	4	$28	19	19	+0	No	+$10	09-11 06:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9?	5	$27	25	25	+0	Yes	+$9	09-09 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 10?	4	$27	21	21	+0	Yes	+$15	09-10 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 10?	5	$26	18	18	+0	No	+$8	09-10 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 12?	6	$26	17	17	+0	No	+$8	09-12 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 10?	4	$25	19	19	+0	Yes	+$13	09-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?	5	$24	21	18	+4	No	+$6	09-11 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16?	8	$22	40	32	+8	No	-$10	09-16 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 11?	5	$22	21	21	+0	No	+$4	09-11 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 10?	4	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$9	09-11 00:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	12	$21	88	88	+0	open	—	10-26 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 9?	7	$21	21	21	+0	Yes	-$3	09-09 21:10
cs2 mouz navi 2026 09 18	4	$20	53	0	+53	MOUZ	-$20	09-18 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 10?	4	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	09-10 03:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	30	$20	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	09-10 00:15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	14	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$2	08-30 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 12?	5	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	09-11 12:10
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals	8	$19	63	63	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	-$5	08-27 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 10?	6	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$1	09-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10?	5	$19	21	21	+0	No	+$1	09-10 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 11?	4	$19	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-11 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 11?	4	$19	13	13	+0	No	+$1	09-10 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 10?	4	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-09 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 11?	5	$18	23	23	+0	No	+$0	09-11 09:10
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	6	$17	45	45	+0	Yes	-$7	09-22 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 02:28:10	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xb960ef…
11-13 02:28:09	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xdcc507…
11-13 01:49:31	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x9d7d4b…
11-12 13:50:40	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6058ff…
11-09 11:39:52	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe759a4…
11-09 11:39:52	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x020e11…
11-07 07:31:31	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x7487c8…
11-06 15:05:55	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x558f92…
11-06 15:05:55	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x2bd65a…
11-04 16:49:18	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x1c9238…
11-04 14:23:37	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x2c62bd…
11-04 07:24:42	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x35b9ae…
11-02 08:17:18	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xb79040…
11-01 13:21:10	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$0	0x7f6fe4…
10-30 09:42:39	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x87177e…
10-27 06:31:50	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xd738be…
10-26 13:52:48	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x9d0c7a…
10-26 13:52:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xadb5a7…
10-26 13:52:38	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x15ece6…
10-26 13:52:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xae950a…
10-26 13:52:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x795291…
10-26 13:52:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x2f0c65…
10-26 13:52:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x0b9503…
10-26 01:12:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x8ba3ce…
10-18 21:48:21	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x717464…
10-18 21:48:21	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x43a463…
10-18 21:41:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x89de1c…
10-18 13:24:41	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x7f975b…
10-17 11:30:54	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x492460…
10-17 11:12:23	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x093d5d…
10-16 16:44:58	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x82ec78…
10-15 19:31:25	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xb08489…
10-15 19:18:32	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x130c80…
10-14 15:44:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x0f776b…
10-13 12:41:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x50a490…
10-13 12:15:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x1337b4…
10-13 12:15:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xe6305b…
10-13 12:15:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x52265f…
10-13 12:15:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x662485…
10-13 12:15:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x6bd1f0…
10-13 11:50:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xd4c1c9…
10-13 11:50:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x37dc68…
10-13 11:49:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x769cc3…
10-12 03:58:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x19b4ad…
10-12 01:56:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xf61a71…
10-11 23:29:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xaf39bb…
10-11 18:21:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x5d28ec…
10-11 16:44:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xb4e39c…
10-10 13:49:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x598df3…
10-09 18:21:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x310c97…
10-09 05:03:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x9af53d…
10-08 04:39:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0007c6…
10-08 04:37:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3ea5fe…
10-08 04:36:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xdc821c…
10-08 04:27:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x04d8e1…
10-08 04:27:08	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x73f1a3…
10-06 17:16:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x41324d…
10-03 12:05:50	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x480ace…
10-02 18:39:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x9abe70…
10-02 15:35:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x4289a5…
10-01 16:24:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x4b0e65…
10-01 14:38:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x70d7c3…
10-01 13:17:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x12cded…
09-30 12:38:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xb9a352…
09-30 03:44:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x9357ce…
09-30 00:58:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0x03a0fb…
09-29 06:59:20	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xac9a0d…
09-28 21:27:20	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x69702b…
09-28 20:29:48	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xbaf85b…
09-28 14:05:05	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x2bcb48…
09-27 11:08:08	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x36eeb0…
09-26 23:53:09	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x90d584…
09-26 13:51:30	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x7950a3…
09-26 13:43:33	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa477e6…
09-26 13:08:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x057b72…
09-26 13:03:47	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x6b613a…
09-26 12:30:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe29909…
09-26 12:22:35	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xaeebcc…
09-26 10:28:42	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x55638a…
09-26 09:43:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0e33f0…
09-26 07:53:39	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xb0592a…
09-26 05:57:12	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xdc573d…
09-26 05:57:12	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x3ebb94…
09-26 04:36:38	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc396b6…
09-26 04:35:17	OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb0dace…
09-25 13:22:54	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xc35300…
09-25 09:03:41	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xec2ced…
09-24 22:15:21	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x71b624…
09-24 21:52:02	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x395abe…
09-24 20:55:06	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xa24635…
09-24 17:07:20	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x185ac6…
09-24 16:59:47	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x453885…
09-24 16:54:23	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x691b9a…
09-24 16:49:26	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x8b828f…
09-24 13:28:12	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x63c0ba…
09-24 07:23:59	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa8495e…
09-24 05:30:35	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x9216be…
09-23 20:48:32	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x62ae36…
09-23 20:48:23	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x7dfc71…
09-23 20:48:23	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x44a34a…