Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.61K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

706

Trades

1,811

lifetime

Volume

$58.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 09-11 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

31% 34% +$213

Other

29% 53% -$1,281

Sports

19% 57% +$94

Politics

17% 39% -$709

Tech

4% 50% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes		+30	$10	20¢	$6	-$4	09-11 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	17	$2.5K	3,446	3,446	+0	No	-$611	02-23 22:18
epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	5	$2.3K	1,371	1,371	+0	No	-$74	02-10 21:18
nba cle okc 2026 02 22	12	$2.0K	2,280	2,004	+276	Thunder	-$406	02-22 20:08
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$1.6K	1,335	1,048	+287	Yes	+$85	02-14 19:25
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	8	$1.3K	1,463	1,463	+0	No	+$101	03-03 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:30 UTC	10	$1.2K	1,237	835	+403	Down	+$654	02-28 08:33
nba hou okc 2026 02 07	8	$1.1K	1,089	1,041	+48	Rockets	+$50	02-07 15:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$1.1K	1,380	1,380	+0	Yes	-$167	02-23 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	16	$948	1,058	1,058	+0	Up	+$98	09-09 16:28
ucl int ars1 2026 01 20 ars1	4	$913	646	646	+0	Yes	+$173	01-20 21:57
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	8	$783	610	610	+0	No	+$2	02-17 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:10 UTC	19	$649	2,074	572	+1,501	Up	+$134	03-02 18:14
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$590	523	523	+0	Yes	-$10	02-22 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:05 UTC	5	$579	860	0	+860	Up	-$567	02-22 09:08
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$568	469	469	+0	Yes	+$7	02-05 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:00 UTC	1	$552	620	0	+620	Down	+$69	02-22 10:02
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	7	$541	402	402	+0	No	-$4	02-23 22:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 19:15 UTC	19	$516	2,356	566	+1,790	Down	+$6	03-04 19:27
will germany strike iran by march 31	7	$512	3,628	3,628	+0	No	-$369	03-24 20:26
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$508	355	355	+0	Yes	-$12	02-01 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:10 UTC	4	$500	714	0	+714	Down	+$214	02-22 18:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	3	$495	297	297	+0	No	+$83	03-02 18:05
ucl rma asm1 2026 01 20 rma	3	$474	271	271	+0	Yes	+$66	01-20 21:23
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	3	$467	284	284	+0	Yes	+$67	02-11 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:20 UTC	5	$463	441	318	+123	Down	+$42	02-28 08:24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$459	392	392	+0	Yes	+$59	02-22 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	15	$455	424	424	+0	Down	+$75	09-09 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	10	$445	401	401	+0	Up	+$15	09-09 20:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$435	304	304	+0	Yes	+$3	01-20 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	11	$421	1,767	0	+1,767	Down	-$421	09-09 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 17:42:30	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x60c1a2…
09-11 17:41:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xd507bd…
09-10 14:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x812b26…
09-10 14:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	86	76¢	$65	0xe692b3…
09-10 14:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x964113…
09-10 14:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x61e7d2…
09-10 14:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x64a6fa…
09-10 14:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xf1608c…
09-10 14:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	72	48¢	$34	0x19876a…
09-10 13:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x36992c…
09-10 13:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b5c9e…
09-10 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x50e121…
09-10 06:11:03	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xb93051…
09-10 04:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	157	43¢	$68	0xaeb5ee…
09-10 03:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6de66e…
09-10 03:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x272d78…
09-10 03:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x9f4147…
09-10 03:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x13954c…
09-10 03:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	136	15¢	$20	0x49b21d…
09-10 03:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x090e80…
09-10 03:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xe6ad24…
09-10 03:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	46	56¢	$26	0x8ece75…
09-10 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x364c8a…
09-09 20:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	203	58¢	$117	0x8c6b58…
09-09 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9e45a5…
09-09 20:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xd26b95…
09-09 20:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	198	57¢	$113	0x7e9052…
09-09 20:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb2d2e4…
09-09 20:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe1f132…
09-09 20:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xc837bc…
09-09 20:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x724b62…
09-09 19:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x693cb4…
09-09 19:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x286fe3…
09-09 19:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x00d88c…
09-09 19:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xcd8a69…
09-09 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0x4e1cec…
09-09 19:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xfbeea7…
09-09 19:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x40643e…
09-09 19:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	51	58¢	$30	0x55615a…
09-09 19:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x8cdf17…
09-09 19:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf03359…
09-09 19:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	92	52¢	$48	0x646e56…
09-09 19:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x516e71…
09-09 19:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xab1161…
09-09 19:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0x7ffb73…
09-09 19:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x3fbd0e…
09-09 19:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	58	41¢	$24	0xb5dcfd…
09-09 19:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xc6d40c…
09-09 19:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	189	63¢	$119	0x08fc5a…
09-09 19:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd3d6ba…
09-09 19:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x137df5…
09-09 19:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x10bae3…
09-09 19:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xa53360…
09-09 19:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	105	61¢	$64	0xd66b2e…
09-09 18:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x2f0a40…
09-09 18:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x562522…
09-09 18:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd90e33…
09-09 18:53:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x899f53…
09-09 18:53:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	177	14¢	$25	0x307f57…
09-09 18:53:00	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	332	9¢	$30	0x117f5e…
09-09 18:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	550	17¢	$95	0x58e20b…
09-09 18:24:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	116	86¢	$101	0xda1a51…
09-09 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5f9a8b…
09-09 18:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x6b7a85…
09-09 18:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x397eb5…
09-09 18:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	207	22¢	$46	0x890360…
09-09 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x9fc376…
09-09 18:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0xd0bfcc…
09-09 18:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x2f6a4d…
09-09 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x934ba7…
09-09 18:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xcbe38e…
09-09 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0xac287d…
09-09 16:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	122	47¢	$57	0x9789e2…
09-09 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x904238…
09-09 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x07ca83…
09-09 16:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	701	50¢	$347	0x983daf…
09-09 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	261	38¢	$100	0xf86eb9…
09-09 16:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x63248c…
09-09 16:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xca8630…
09-09 16:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x6b8597…
09-09 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x39ca10…
09-09 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	57	48¢	$27	0xba895b…
09-09 16:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1b4356…
09-09 16:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	118	51¢	$60	0x4242ef…
09-09 16:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xe090c4…
09-09 16:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x4c29a8…
09-09 16:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	61	52¢	$31	0x3f0a61…
09-09 16:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x715fad…
09-09 16:02:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	143	6¢	$9	0xc85434…
09-09 16:02:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0xa3c425…
09-09 16:02:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	SELL	750	1¢	$9	0x33db39…
09-09 16:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	588	2¢	$9	0x1fae0b…
09-09 15:57:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x2e4599…
09-09 15:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x72c3cd…
09-09 15:50:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xd854b0…
09-09 15:50:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	750	1¢	$10	0xf97ef1…
09-09 15:49:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xabb904…
09-01 18:23:21	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x939a7e…
08-22 18:20:27	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	101	12¢	$12	0x276251…
08-01 09:20:29	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	73	33¢	$24	0x8c1d58…