Whirlwind-Mob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$204.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

9,953

lifetime

Volume

$58.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.92K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-23 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

48% 77% +$69,018

Other

37% 82% +$101,792

Crypto

15% 100% +$33,630

Sports

0% 100% +$96

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	489	$8.65M	8,679,817	0	+8,679,817	No	+$33,630	06-03 21:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1,060	$7.19M	7,225,026	4,832	+7,220,194	Yes	+$38,427	03-18 12:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	281	$6.34M	6,353,606	0	+6,353,606	No	+$13,983	04-30 16:29
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	403	$6.17M	6,181,301	0	+6,181,301	No	+$7,090	03-18 06:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	305	$5.18M	5,181,358	0	+5,181,358	Yes	+$5,181	03-25 18:20
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	44	$4.36M	4,362,802	0	+4,362,802	No	+$4,363	03-15 12:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	396	$4.10M	4,102,330	0	+4,102,330	Yes	+$4,102	03-13 10:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	206	$3.92M	2,580,027	1,350,659	+1,229,367	Yes	+$6,016	04-10 15:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	82	$3.67M	2,181,911	1,500,000	+681,911	Yes	-$136	04-08 18:48
Trump out as President by April 30?	679	$1.28M	1,294,139	0	+1,294,139	No	+$15,265	04-21 11:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1,510	$1.25M	1,266,103	0	+1,266,103	Yes	+$17,830	06-17 17:58
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	552	$1.05M	1,057,399	0	+1,057,399	No	+$3,172	05-11 14:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	593	$907.2K	933,203	5,555	+927,648	No	+$31,206	03-27 09:54
trump out as president by march 31	537	$712.6K	717,840	0	+717,840	No	+$5,198	03-29 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$555.0K	555,555	0	+555,555	Yes	+$556	05-09 12:32
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	48	$409.3K	205,945	205,945	+0	No	+$1,711	03-29 04:26
Trump out as President by May 31?	358	$352.7K	354,431	0	+354,431	No	+$1,740	05-23 22:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	184	$306.8K	310,914	0	+310,914	No	+$4,152	04-16 06:40
Trump out as President by June 30?	226	$285.8K	91,792	196,267	-104,475	No	-$764	06-23 16:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	128	$262.6K	263,491	0	+263,491	No	+$849	04-16 06:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	167	$254.5K	196,180	60,951	+135,229	No	+$2,202	03-15 11:51
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	84	$221.4K	222,222	0	+222,222	No	+$778	05-11 02:13
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	142	$183.6K	185,956	0	+185,956	No	+$2,361	04-16 02:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	62	$179.9K	85,821	96,114	-10,293	No	+$7	05-19 01:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	263	$143.4K	72,081	72,081	+0	No	+$331	06-23 16:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	94	$142.1K	73,499	76,716	-3,217	No	+$1,383	04-22 07:14
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	93	$127.9K	64,839	64,839	+0	No	+$1,245	04-18 08:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	92	$117.8K	121,812	0	+121,812	Yes	+$4,047	05-27 02:37
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	122	$103.9K	93,947	11,478	+82,469	Yes	+$178	05-12 03:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$102.7K	51,700	51,700	+0	No	+$362	06-23 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 16:12:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	51,700	100¢	$51,545	0xec6afb…
06-23 16:11:49	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1,225	100¢	$1,220	0xb90750…
06-23 16:11:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28,919	100¢	$28,832	0xad294d…
06-23 16:11:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,235	100¢	$2,228	0xa81ba6…
06-23 16:11:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40,927	100¢	$40,804	0x88135d…
06-23 16:11:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	109,452	100¢	$109,014	0xbfff11…
06-17 17:58:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,056	99¢	$29,846	0x1dfed4…
06-15 22:16:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,974	99¢	$8,920	0x67f67b…
06-15 21:39:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x541020…
06-15 21:38:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,705	99¢	$15,611	0xc23c2d…
06-15 21:32:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19,667	99¢	$19,549	0x970dd1…
06-15 21:31:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53,000	99¢	$52,682	0x2f4f32…
06-15 21:24:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	857	99¢	$852	0xce82d0…
06-15 21:14:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfd517…
06-15 21:12:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	99¢	$3,313	0xa50860…
06-15 21:05:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,940	0x09c0b8…
06-15 21:01:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x1427cc…
06-15 20:35:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,667	99¢	$16,567	0x4b98a0…
06-15 20:29:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd4a970…
06-15 20:25:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	810	99¢	$805	0xa548d2…
06-15 20:02:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c700a…
06-15 20:01:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbf6b53…
06-15 20:00:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,965	99¢	$2,947	0x5f1935…
06-15 19:54:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x662310…
06-15 19:51:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,833	99¢	$30,648	0xebfd79…
06-15 19:51:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40,500	99¢	$40,257	0xb2035d…
06-15 19:47:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xce580e…
06-15 19:35:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	99¢	$1,657	0xcd8534…
06-15 19:27:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x6d9e8c…
06-15 19:19:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xf13876…
06-15 19:17:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,333	99¢	$1,325	0x779223…
06-15 19:12:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12f930…
06-15 19:02:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x6f87a6…
06-15 18:58:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xc4a231…
06-15 18:37:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	244	99¢	$242	0x2d5285…
06-15 18:32:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,093	0xea25ff…
06-15 18:28:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0x80b022…
06-15 18:25:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x1e3572…
06-15 18:18:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	317	99¢	$315	0xbbb99f…
06-15 18:13:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,950	99¢	$4,920	0x182a01…
06-15 18:12:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	292	99¢	$290	0xfde9a9…
06-15 18:12:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$547	0xdd34d4…
06-15 18:06:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x095ec3…
06-15 17:59:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,485	0xcc8259…
06-15 17:58:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xf1faba…
06-15 17:53:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x149d43…
06-15 17:48:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x201941…
06-15 17:46:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6da38…
06-15 17:44:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,496	99¢	$2,481	0xcd8f91…
06-15 01:14:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,409	99¢	$5,382	0xa7ce5a…
06-15 01:10:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x611b1c…
06-15 01:04:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x898afe…
06-15 01:01:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19,898	99¢	$19,799	0x7ffdc7…
06-15 01:01:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	74,461	99¢	$74,089	0x86b373…
06-15 00:46:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	376	100¢	$374	0xc85324…
06-15 00:29:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xa6d064…
06-15 00:23:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x993bcb…
06-15 00:21:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xe017df…
06-15 00:21:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,466	100¢	$6,434	0x719ef7…
06-15 00:16:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	100¢	$378	0x30dcef…
06-15 00:09:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	904	100¢	$899	0xfeb1f0…
06-15 00:00:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x3d0030…
06-14 23:30:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9a4f0…
06-14 23:29:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd0608f…
06-14 23:29:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,142	100¢	$1,136	0x2a33f2…
06-14 23:17:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,320	100¢	$1,313	0xdebace…
06-14 23:08:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xb4d310…
06-14 23:01:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	659	99¢	$652	0xf0f2f7…
06-14 23:00:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	911	99¢	$902	0x684902…
06-14 22:59:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	15,797	99¢	$15,639	0xaec106…
06-14 21:36:24	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	95¢	$128	0x47f57b…
06-14 21:35:52	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	92	95¢	$87	0x4e8e23…
06-14 21:35:16	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x2f3667…
06-14 21:34:48	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xde1da9…
06-14 21:34:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x428642…
06-14 21:33:55	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x4001b4…
06-14 21:33:03	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc7bde3…
06-14 21:32:36	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x595165…
06-14 21:32:28	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	628	95¢	$597	0xc30af8…
06-14 21:32:25	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xa78046…
06-14 21:32:22	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xa18e1c…
06-14 21:32:01	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfea19b…
06-14 21:31:58	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xa0a2b8…
06-14 21:31:55	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x7c3a7e…
06-14 21:31:55	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x1137bd…
06-14 21:31:46	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x134529…
06-14 21:31:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xdb1b65…
06-14 21:31:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x91ec58…
06-14 21:31:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x7b8afe…
06-14 21:31:42	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x5108c0…
06-14 21:31:40	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	244	95¢	$232	0xe3225d…
06-14 21:31:40	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x8f8a38…
06-14 21:17:51	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	74¢	$61	0xc32141…
06-14 21:17:51	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x3dd602…
06-14 21:17:46	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xf6252e…
06-14 21:17:46	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x612f1e…
06-14 21:17:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	194	74¢	$144	0xe8e073…
06-14 21:17:42	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x024aa2…
06-14 21:17:40	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x6722ee…
06-14 21:17:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x40d741…