Whirlwind-Mob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$486

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,306

lifetime

Volume

$56.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$7.69K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-23 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$556

Other

34% 0% $-69

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 482 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	489	$8.65M	8,679,817	0	+8,679,817	open	—	06-03 21:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1,060	$7.19M	7,225,026	4,832	+7,220,194	open	—	03-18 12:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	281	$6.34M	6,353,606	0	+6,353,606	open	—	04-30 16:29
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	403	$6.17M	6,181,301	0	+6,181,301	open	—	03-18 06:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	305	$5.18M	5,181,358	0	+5,181,358	open	—	03-25 18:20
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	44	$4.36M	4,362,802	0	+4,362,802	open	—	03-15 12:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	396	$4.10M	4,102,330	0	+4,102,330	open	—	03-13 10:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	206	$3.92M	2,580,027	1,350,659	+1,229,367	open	—	04-10 15:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	82	$3.67M	2,181,911	1,500,000	+681,911	open	—	04-08 18:48
Trump out as President by April 30?	679	$1.28M	1,294,139	0	+1,294,139	open	—	04-21 11:10
netanyahu out by march 31 854	593	$907.2K	933,203	5,555	+927,648	open	—	03-27 09:54
trump out as president by march 31	537	$712.6K	717,840	0	+717,840	open	—	03-29 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$555.0K	555,555	0	+555,555	Yes	+$556	05-09 12:32
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	48	$409.3K	205,945	205,945	+0	open	—	03-29 04:26
Trump out as President by May 31?	353	$352.5K	354,197	0	+354,197	open	—	05-23 22:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	184	$306.8K	310,914	0	+310,914	open	—	04-16 06:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	128	$262.6K	263,491	0	+263,491	open	—	04-16 06:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	167	$254.5K	196,180	60,951	+135,229	open	—	03-15 11:51
Trump out as President by June 30?	25	$185.3K	76,840	109,452	-32,612	open	—	06-23 16:11
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	142	$183.6K	185,956	0	+185,956	open	—	04-16 02:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	62	$179.9K	85,821	96,114	-10,293	open	—	05-19 01:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	238	$142.1K	70,816	72,081	-1,265	open	—	06-23 16:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	94	$142.1K	73,499	76,716	-3,217	open	—	04-22 07:14
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	93	$127.9K	64,839	64,839	+0	open	—	04-18 08:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	84	$114.7K	118,706	0	+118,706	open	—	05-27 02:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$86.2K	34,992	51,700	-16,708	open	—	06-23 16:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	83	$54.3K	54,876	0	+54,876	open	—	04-24 17:12
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	19	$52.9K	27,775	25,706	+2,069	open	—	05-19 01:29
Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	6	$50.5K	51,111	0	+51,111	open	—	05-12 23:17
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$48.6K	24,423	24,832	-409	open	—	05-19 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 16:12:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	51,700	100¢	$51,545	0xec6afb…
06-23 16:11:49	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1,225	100¢	$1,220	0xb90750…
06-23 16:11:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28,919	100¢	$28,832	0xad294d…
06-23 16:11:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,235	100¢	$2,228	0xa81ba6…
06-23 16:11:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40,927	100¢	$40,804	0x88135d…
06-23 16:11:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	109,452	100¢	$109,014	0xbfff11…
06-14 23:08:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xb4d310…
06-14 23:01:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	659	99¢	$652	0xf0f2f7…
06-14 20:25:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	33,333	99¢	$33,000	0x72d9a0…
06-14 04:32:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$95	0x3707e3…
06-14 04:11:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3f7b42…
06-14 04:06:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26a7ca…
06-14 03:40:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x2f4e64…
06-14 02:57:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xda2755…
06-14 02:35:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6a90af…
06-14 01:39:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6ab666…
06-14 01:33:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5f0c6a…
06-14 01:27:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb4d305…
06-14 00:45:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x10f708…
06-14 00:37:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3be940…
06-14 00:35:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc09425…
06-14 00:26:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe3dd7f…
06-13 23:51:30	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2f69f2…
06-13 23:47:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xbc2e3e…
06-13 22:52:36	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xbcea91…
06-13 22:51:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee9e59…
06-13 22:48:16	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xf3d31f…
06-13 22:45:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05ccf9…
06-13 22:43:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb8074c…
06-13 22:31:36	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1e2463…
06-13 22:28:03	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x45fbb3…
06-13 22:27:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba05ce…
06-13 22:24:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x93184b…
06-13 22:23:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x923206…
06-13 22:12:37	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xb5a9e0…
06-13 22:07:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a3e53…
06-13 21:45:31	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x503d75…
06-13 21:33:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3c568f…
06-13 21:28:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53fe84…
06-13 20:52:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	324	99¢	$322	0x885eba…
06-13 20:48:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x964a0c…
06-13 20:36:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7bf2c4…
06-13 20:15:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf6b5cb…
06-13 19:57:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x1b5c39…
06-13 19:50:46	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa380ad…
06-13 19:43:46	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x5f149c…
06-13 19:41:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	21,285	99¢	$21,072	0xfa401b…
06-13 19:33:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x4aa397…
06-13 19:32:40	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf967ad…
06-13 19:18:28	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x2e61f5…
06-13 18:29:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7c20b…
06-13 18:22:58	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$212	0xed9403…
06-13 18:04:06	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c9ab0…
06-13 17:11:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x73ed9a…
06-13 16:58:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xd3dee5…
06-13 16:55:52	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xb1e100…
06-13 16:34:21	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0xb762b3…
06-13 15:51:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0973e2…
06-13 15:21:00	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa6bedc…
06-13 15:20:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	723	99¢	$719	0x47e5f5…
06-13 15:05:51	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	451	99¢	$448	0xa38622…
06-13 15:03:12	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xccff3b…
06-13 13:59:46	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x98a166…
06-13 13:47:57	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xe71246…
06-13 12:25:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x120e55…
06-13 12:09:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,170	99¢	$7,127	0xeff2c6…
06-13 12:09:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,630	99¢	$2,614	0xb9f2e0…
06-13 12:09:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,348	99¢	$2,334	0xb685aa…
06-10 03:00:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,987	99¢	$1,972	0x28bc28…
06-10 02:27:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xe0e090…
06-10 02:27:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x309300…
06-10 02:27:27	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x217c08…
06-10 02:27:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xd14f2f…
06-10 02:27:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xf5145c…
06-10 02:27:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xf39962…
06-10 02:27:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x5a2b21…
06-10 02:27:21	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x65fdad…
06-10 02:27:21	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x2d0df2…
06-10 02:27:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x1dd327…
06-10 02:18:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe93268…
06-10 01:26:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x93aad7…
06-10 01:22:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bbec8…
06-10 01:20:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35f0b6…
06-10 01:01:27	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x789b98…
06-10 00:36:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x96e753…
06-10 00:35:27	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x135c2e…
06-10 00:23:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	99¢	$19,840	0xdf38ad…
06-09 23:46:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x904d06…
06-09 23:21:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x138451…
06-09 23:00:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb12b44…
06-09 22:53:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0cf5c…
06-09 22:50:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9c58c…
06-09 14:25:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb451d4…
06-09 14:19:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6f971c…
06-09 13:47:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x65ec55…
06-09 07:06:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x82d40a…
06-09 07:06:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x0ad865…
06-09 07:05:52	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x39959f…
06-09 07:05:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xaf0f3e…
06-09 07:05:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xb0a425…