Whirlwind-Mob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$486

Unrealized P&L

+$79

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,214

lifetime

Volume

$55.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$7.74K

Open exposure

$88.9K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-09 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$556

Other

34% 0% $-69

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 482 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30?	No		+55,555	$55,166	99¢	$55.2K	+$28	06-08 15:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+33,890	$33,619	99¢	$33.7K	+$51	06-09 23:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	489	$8.65M	8,679,817	0	+8,679,817	open	—	06-03 21:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1,060	$7.19M	7,225,026	4,832	+7,220,194	open	—	03-18 12:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	281	$6.34M	6,353,606	0	+6,353,606	open	—	04-30 16:29
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	403	$6.17M	6,181,301	0	+6,181,301	open	—	03-18 06:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	305	$5.18M	5,181,358	0	+5,181,358	open	—	03-25 18:20
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	44	$4.36M	4,362,802	0	+4,362,802	open	—	03-15 12:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	396	$4.10M	4,102,330	0	+4,102,330	open	—	03-13 10:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	206	$3.92M	2,580,027	1,350,659	+1,229,367	open	—	04-10 15:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	82	$3.67M	2,181,911	1,500,000	+681,911	open	—	04-08 18:48
Trump out as President by April 30?	679	$1.28M	1,294,139	0	+1,294,139	open	—	04-21 11:10
netanyahu out by march 31 854	593	$907.2K	933,203	5,555	+927,648	open	—	03-27 09:54
trump out as president by march 31	537	$712.6K	717,840	0	+717,840	open	—	03-29 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$555.0K	555,555	0	+555,555	Yes	+$556	05-09 12:32
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	48	$409.3K	205,945	205,945	+0	open	—	03-29 04:26
Trump out as President by May 31?	353	$352.5K	354,197	0	+354,197	open	—	05-23 22:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	184	$306.8K	310,914	0	+310,914	open	—	04-16 06:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	128	$262.6K	263,491	0	+263,491	open	—	04-16 06:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	167	$254.5K	196,180	60,951	+135,229	open	—	03-15 11:51
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	142	$183.6K	185,956	0	+185,956	open	—	04-16 02:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	62	$179.9K	85,821	96,114	-10,293	open	—	05-19 01:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	94	$142.1K	73,499	76,716	-3,217	open	—	04-22 07:14
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	93	$127.9K	64,839	64,839	+0	open	—	04-18 08:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	84	$114.7K	118,706	0	+118,706	open	—	05-27 02:34
Trump out as President by June 30?	23	$55.2K	55,555	0	+55,555	open	—	06-08 15:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	83	$54.3K	54,876	0	+54,876	open	—	04-24 17:12
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	19	$52.9K	27,775	25,706	+2,069	open	—	05-19 01:29
Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	6	$50.5K	51,111	0	+51,111	open	—	05-12 23:17
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$48.6K	24,423	24,832	-409	open	—	05-19 01:29
Iran leadership change by April 30?	18	$37.8K	24,219	14,798	+9,421	open	—	04-29 16:37
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	19	$37.5K	37,779	0	+37,779	open	—	03-25 05:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:21:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x138451…
06-09 23:00:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb12b44…
06-09 22:53:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0cf5c…
06-09 22:50:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9c58c…
06-09 14:25:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb451d4…
06-09 14:19:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6f971c…
06-09 13:47:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x65ec55…
06-09 07:06:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x82d40a…
06-09 07:06:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x0ad865…
06-09 07:05:52	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x39959f…
06-09 07:05:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xaf0f3e…
06-09 07:05:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xb0a425…
06-09 07:03:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0xd1b876…
06-09 07:03:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x780cb8…
06-09 07:03:15	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x4e8b9a…
06-08 23:42:30	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c9a37…
06-08 23:01:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2587bf…
06-08 22:57:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2750c…
06-08 22:23:21	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x227a74…
06-08 22:23:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	736	99¢	$730	0x0e0152…
06-08 18:49:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x854667…
06-08 18:01:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x03d9fc…
06-08 18:00:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x8084bd…
06-08 17:54:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14646b…
06-08 17:46:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf3deb9…
06-08 17:45:12	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc293e5…
06-08 17:18:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0x9cb84a…
06-08 17:17:09	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x586d1c…
06-08 17:16:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae3727…
06-08 17:09:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc7edf…
06-08 16:44:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7d8faa…
06-08 16:19:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa7dfb4…
06-08 16:19:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58bb49…
06-08 15:59:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf10ec4…
06-08 15:55:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7849d3…
06-08 15:54:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x16c632…
06-08 15:30:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc36bb9…
06-08 15:20:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf1ef81…
06-08 15:17:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	750	99¢	$744	0x521354…
06-08 15:00:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0x87a6ae…
06-08 14:37:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x39a610…
06-08 14:34:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	515	99¢	$511	0x528c6c…
06-08 14:23:12	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb94109…
06-08 14:13:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6794f8…
06-08 14:07:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x81593f…
06-08 14:02:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x452694…
06-08 13:56:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc3c484…
06-08 13:51:30	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x76147f…
06-08 13:49:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf36d58…
06-08 13:46:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa24ac4…
06-08 12:51:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x47ff79…
06-08 12:50:09	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7e4ef6…
06-08 12:39:46	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	13,720	99¢	$13,624	0x1c20ec…
06-08 12:12:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0xa892cf…
06-08 12:01:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	750	99¢	$744	0x3de936…
06-08 11:52:28	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1,155	99¢	$1,147	0x2e124e…
06-08 11:37:03	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9588c4…
06-08 11:19:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6dd067…
06-08 11:10:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x57b358…
06-08 11:09:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x431fda…
06-08 11:09:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6fc2d1…
06-08 11:09:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5fcd3e…
06-08 11:08:04	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x761c4b…
06-08 11:06:12	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x0791dd…
06-08 11:05:30	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbd349f…
06-08 11:02:34	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	762	99¢	$757	0x7795c2…
06-08 10:59:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59d812…
06-08 10:56:34	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	7,143	99¢	$7,093	0x8e982c…
06-08 10:56:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0xb88997…
06-08 10:55:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf6a50c…
06-08 10:55:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xce8337…
06-08 10:39:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,737	99¢	$4,699	0xde141f…
06-08 10:36:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc980ba…
06-08 10:35:06	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7315b2…
06-08 10:13:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64b4c6…
06-08 10:07:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x07b260…
06-08 09:43:51	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xbeafa4…
06-08 09:40:36	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x778461…
06-08 08:27:51	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x6d8f81…
06-08 08:10:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07fb4b…
06-08 08:02:52	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0x72c49d…
06-08 08:00:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x007a04…
06-08 07:52:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x4281d4…
06-08 07:50:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	531	99¢	$527	0x745f54…
06-08 07:30:55	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0078da…
06-08 05:17:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8e83cb…
06-08 05:16:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8f80e1…
06-08 05:15:27	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5ed5ad…
06-08 05:09:15	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x1ed97e…
06-08 05:05:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x277492…
06-08 05:05:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x7241cb…
06-08 04:55:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8086b9…
06-08 04:55:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4baf91…
06-08 04:51:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcf9d38…
06-08 04:23:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xe9eb16…
06-08 04:03:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	9,500	99¢	$9,434	0x98afb0…
06-08 04:03:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda23ba…
06-08 04:01:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaaca4f…
06-08 04:01:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf378ac…
06-08 03:59:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x20749b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	46	$16.8M	17,464	06-03 23:05
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$468.9K	7,042	06-07 06:00
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	43	$88.5K	1,676	06-03 15:46
Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1	42	$5.17M	7,434	06-05 16:44
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	42	$202.8K	591	06-07 21:33
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	42	$43.3K	9,744	06-05 16:44
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	41	$213.8K	15,073	05-31 21:27
Impressionable-Set 0xd6c2…a53d	41	$192.6K	4,471	06-03 14:20