Droopy-Sill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

32.0%

Resolved

336

Trades

980

lifetime

Volume

$141.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-31 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

54% 45% -$403

Crypto

27% 16% -$78

Politics

15% 53% +$469

Tech

4% 83% -$177

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-200	-$10	4¢	$-8	+$2	07-18 18:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-95	-$12	8¢	$-7	+$5	08-31 16:19
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	$0	2¢	$-2	-$1	08-31 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	34	$6.8K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	-$3	03-25 12:31
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	20	$4.0K	2,001	2,001	+0	No	-$2	03-29 15:17
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	14	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$1	03-13 07:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$2.7K	3,341	3,341	+0	No	-$49	03-05 11:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$2.6K	928	2,928	-2,000	Yes	-$630	03-08 10:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	12	$2.6K	1,301	1,301	+0	No	-$1	02-25 08:31
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	18	$2.5K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	-$2	03-25 12:31
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	12	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$1	02-25 08:32
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	14	$2.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	No	-$4	02-17 07:41
trump out as president by march 31	12	$2.0K	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$2	03-29 15:16
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	8	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	-$1	03-30 13:43
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	8	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	-$1	03-13 07:46
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	8	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	-$1	03-29 15:17
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	10	$1.4K	823	621	+202	Yes	+$4	02-13 10:52
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$1.2K	400	5,700	-5,300	No	+$1,056	03-05 18:31
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 240plus	4	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$0	02-21 18:13
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	$0	03-01 09:00
will a contestant numbered 1 25 win beast games season 2	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	02-16 09:51
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	04-06 07:51
will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$2	03-17 11:49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	04-06 07:51
will mrbeasts next video get between 37pt0 and 37pt5 million views on day 5	36	$1.2K	1,004	1,104	-100	No	+$25	02-26 12:13
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	5	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$2	02-13 10:45
will israel nuke iran by january 31	7	$999	602	402	+200	No	$0	01-31 14:56
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	9	$999	612	412	+200	Yes	+$3	02-06 11:11
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	5	$997	600	400	+200	No	-$1	03-20 13:04
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$875	500	500	+0	No	-$3	03-13 11:16
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	3	$804	402	402	+0	No	+$0	02-05 07:50
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	4	$800	603	201	+402	No	+$2	02-11 12:59
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 240plus	4	$799	401	401	+0	No	+$1	02-14 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 16:19:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	13¢	$12	0xd02e17…
08-31 16:19:09	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5b4cf5…
07-18 18:42:34	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xdc9819…
07-18 18:39:54	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x777ea3…
07-16 07:54:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	305	0¢	$0	0xfe3e37…
07-03 09:52:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0xa84adc…
07-03 09:51:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x1d431a…
07-01 08:04:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	450	1¢	$3	0x20f2b9…
06-25 16:54:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xceff63…
06-21 08:37:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xd22145…
06-17 07:47:56	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	350	6¢	$20	0x38d916…
06-17 07:46:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	354	0¢	$1	0x888c5a…
06-15 15:15:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	97¢	$103	0x9191a5…
06-15 15:14:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x938c20…
06-15 08:50:33	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0x0544bd…
06-09 07:24:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0x8b2fd5…
06-09 07:20:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	125	28¢	$35	0x184385…
06-04 08:48:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 4	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x839b21…
06-01 19:34:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x22ef10…
06-01 19:32:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x50e6d4…
06-01 19:29:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	210	0¢	$0	0x0763d0…
05-28 14:56:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x04f9a1…
05-24 08:43:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	190	9¢	$17	0xad3171…
05-24 08:41:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xbf0205…
05-16 14:26:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xa4c45e…
05-16 14:25:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x666874…
05-16 14:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x4a34a7…
05-16 14:19:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0xe6417e…
05-10 08:33:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x169cf4…
05-09 14:19:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0x699874…
05-09 14:05:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x011cbc…
05-09 13:57:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x0613e5…
05-07 08:17:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x48d3be…
05-01 09:06:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0x84394c…
05-01 09:05:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0xa618ae…
04-23 15:00:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	110	46¢	$51	0xe14d56…
04-22 17:28:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	192	21¢	$40	0xec421d…
04-22 08:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x1f1ad5…
04-19 08:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x906088…
04-19 08:52:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x957d22…
04-17 09:30:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x92e556…
04-17 09:28:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	90	87¢	$78	0x529eef…
04-16 17:25:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x3090d2…
04-13 08:13:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	90	53¢	$48	0xd14fc8…
04-12 11:11:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x5fe2aa…
04-12 11:10:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x00641b…
04-12 11:09:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x06247d…
04-08 17:34:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	11¢	$44	0xa3ebf0…
04-08 17:30:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xc25d99…
04-06 19:53:13	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 60 79	Yes	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x6887f8…
04-06 19:53:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 60 79	Yes	BUY	246	53¢	$131	0x3866dd…
04-06 07:51:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xb08caf…
04-06 07:51:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x10a034…
04-06 07:51:01	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xd98aeb…
04-06 07:50:51	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x153c4b…
04-05 17:03:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4def03…
04-05 17:01:53	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4fa14e…
04-05 17:01:31	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xec5345…
04-05 17:00:57	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x983a3f…
04-05 08:33:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xbabe41…
04-05 08:33:27	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x502c0c…
04-05 08:33:19	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 240plus	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x8d3b0e…
04-05 08:33:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x6949c0…
04-05 08:32:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0xecd3cb…
04-04 14:30:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x025570…
04-04 14:30:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x027fb9…
04-04 14:29:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 440 459	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x906c03…
04-04 14:29:01	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 240plus	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x23f3b2…
04-04 14:07:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xa6f011…
04-04 14:02:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x1ee76e…
04-04 14:02:05	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x88b51d…
04-04 14:01:59	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x645414…
04-03 15:18:49	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x71a4f6…
04-03 15:18:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xe06711…
04-03 15:18:19	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc716ec…
04-03 15:18:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x026d7e…
04-02 20:42:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	SELL	15	43¢	$7	0x646d96…
04-02 20:41:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x41f689…
04-02 19:58:23	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	218	54¢	$119	0x06ca80…
04-02 19:58:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	300	55¢	$164	0xbb309b…
04-02 19:57:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	218	55¢	$120	0xb7688d…
04-02 19:37:25	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 100 119	No	SELL	293	54¢	$158	0x4c12f2…
04-02 19:36:51	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 100 119	No	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x0d8244…
04-02 19:28:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	SELL	72	44¢	$32	0xf54e1d…
04-02 19:28:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	BUY	72	45¢	$32	0x3e1872…
04-02 19:19:51	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xef5a98…
04-02 19:19:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf51b9b…
04-01 17:31:27	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x36d235…
04-01 17:30:55	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x38bb29…
04-01 17:11:23	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xd02f3c…
04-01 17:10:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x524c22…
04-01 17:10:27	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe79a24…
04-01 17:05:23	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x29d385…
04-01 17:05:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x18a692…
04-01 17:05:07	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x04762c…
04-01 17:04:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x5bd796…
04-01 17:04:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb58729…
04-01 17:04:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x41e4b1…
04-01 17:04:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x33ef21…
04-01 17:03:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xce9716…